Who Will Win The Next Five States: The "Presidential" Walk-Thru
By Tyler Durden
Coming off big wins in New York this week, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton look to move one step closer to the nomination next Tuesday as five states (Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island) will be choosing their candidate.
Hillary appears to now be in complete control of the race for the Democratic nomination, while on the Republican side, although Trump is on much better footing after taking the majority of the delegates in New York, speculation remains as to whether or not The Donald can reach the required number of delegates before the GOP convention in July.
Here is where each party stands through the New York primary.
The Wall Street Journal has a good state-by-state preview of Tuesday’s primaries:
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is the next big prize on the presidential primary calendar, but for Republicans, the state’s delegate-selection process gives the statewide winner only 17 of the state’s 71 delegates. The rest are directly elected—and aren’t bound to support any of the Republican presidential contenders at the July convention in Cleveland, making them the ultimate free agents.
Under the decades-old system, well organized campaigns can line up delegates who have committed to backing their candidates and then alert supporters which delegates to vote for on primary day. But even those commitments aren’t binding, giving the 54 remaining delegates big sway at a contested convention.
This year, polls suggest GOP front-runner Donald Trump is primed to steamroll his rivals in Pennsylvania. But the state’s unique delegate-selection process opens the door for Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich to siphon some of the 54 unbound delegates.
The Democratic race in Pennsylvania is much more straightforward. Hillary Clinton and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders are running for a share of the state’s 189 pledged delegates, to be allocated according to the candidates’ performance statewide and in each of Pennsylvania’s 18 congressional districts.The state was a rare bright spot for Mrs. Clinton in her 2008 primary fight with then-Sen. Barack Obama. She won 54% of the vote, carrying most parts of the state. The exception was Philadelphia and its suburbs, thanks to Mr. Obama’s dominance among the city’s black voters. He won 92% of African-American voters, according to exit polls.
In some ways, this year’s race could flip that script. Those same African-American voters have been the key to Mrs. Clinton’s success this year in her primary fight with Mr. Sanders. Polls show her with a solid lead heading into next week’s contest, thanks in some measure to her strength with nonwhite voters.
Maryland
Mr. Kasich, eyeing a loss in New York’s primary, set his sights on Tuesday’s contest in Maryland as a way to gain momentum ahead of a possible contested GOP convention.
Mr. Kasich has won one state to date—his home state of Ohio—and is hundreds of delegates behind Messrs. Trump and Cruz. The Ohio governor’s only hope of winning his party’s nomination is through a contested convention in the summer. A strong finish in Maryland, which awards 38 delegates, could help …read more
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