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Uber’s Massive Cash Burn Problem: 2016 Loss Set To Hit A Record $3 Billion

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By Tyler Durden

With a valuation of $68 billion as of December 2016 – more than GM and Twitter combined – Uber is, according to the WSJ’s Unicorn Database, the most valuable private company in the world.

And yet, despite its eye-popping valuation courtesy of a growth curve which until recently was truly unprecedented (at least until the company’s sudden withdrawals from China), Uber has a big problem: an unprecedented cash burn, which if not getting worse with every passing quarter, is certainly not getting better.

Back in August, Bloomberg reported that Uber’s first half loss roughly $1.4 billion ($580MM in Q1 and well over $800MM in Q2) on just over $2 billion in revenue ($960MM in Q1 and $1.1BN in Q2): it was burning approximately $1.6 dollars in costs and overhead (mostly in the form of an ongoing attempt to price the competition out of business by subsidizing drivers using VC cash).

This follows a loss of $2 billion in 2015, and had, as of Q2, lost at least $4 billion in the history of the company. Of this, however, Uber reportedly lost at least $2 billion in China as a result of a failed attempt to penetrate the local market which it abandoned later in the summer, which while sapping growth potential in China, also supposedly stem losses associated with the Chinese market.

Furthermore, the H1 loss came at a time when its fortunes in the US were said to be changing, and the company vowed it was turning a profit in Q1, only to revert back to its money losing ways in Q2 and onward.

As Bloomberg said at the time, “It’s hard to find much of a precedent for Uber’s losses. Webvan and Kozmo.com—two now-defunct phantoms of the original dot-com boom—lost just over $1 billion combined in their short lifetimes. Amazon.com Inc. is famous for losing money while increasing its market value, but its biggest loss ever totaled $1.4 billion in 2000. Uber exceeded that number in 2015 and is on pace to do it again this year.”

Fast forward three months, when overnight Bloomberg reported that Uber’s cash burn problems continued, and in the third quarter, Uber lost another $800 million, bringing its total loss for the first nine months of the year to “significantly more” than $2.2 billion. The good (and bad) news is that even as its cash burn grew, so did Uber’s revenue which rose even leaving the world’s most populous country, and is said to have generated about $3.76 billion in net revenue in the first nine months of 2016, or about $1.7 billion in Q3 revenue and, according to Bloomberg, is on track to exceed $5.5 billion this year. The problem – if only from a cash burn basis – is that when 2016 closes in ten days, Uber is also expected to have burned a record $3 billion.

Another problem, one which comes as less of a surprise, is that growth in Uber’s bookings – the total combined value of the fares that riders …read more

Source: Uber’s Massive Cash Burn Problem: 2016 Loss Set To Hit A Record $3 Billion

    

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Posted December 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

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