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Europe Proposes Confiscating Gold In Crackdown On "Terrorist Financing"

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By Tyler Durden

Hot on the heels of China gold import restrictions, and India's demonetization and gold confiscations, The European Commission proposed tightening controls on cash and precious metals transfers from outside the EU under the guise of shutting down one route for funding of militant attacks on the continent, following the Berlin Christmas attack.

China has already begun de facto gold import restrictions, and as Jayant Bhandari detailed previously, India is experiencing a continuation of new social engineering notifications, each sabotaging wealth-creation, confiscating people’s wealth, and tyrannizing those who refuse to be a part of the herd, in the process destroying the very backbone of the economy and civilization. There are clear signs that in a very convoluted way, possession of gold for investment purposes will be made illegal. Expect capital controls to follow.

And now, as Reuters reports, it appears last Monday's attack on a Christmas market in Berlin, where 12 people were killed as a truck ploughed into a crowd, has given The European Commission just the excuse to tighten capital controls – specifically cash and precious metals – into and out of Europe.

It is part of an EU “action plan against terrorist financing” unveiled after the bombings and shootings in Paris in November 2015.

Under the new proposals, customs officials in European Union states can step up checks on cash and prepaid payment cards sent by post or in freight shipments.

Authorities will also be able to seize cash or precious metals carried by suspect individuals entering the EU.

People carrying more than 10,000 euros (8,413.56 pounds) in cash already have to declare this at customs when entering the EU. The new rules would allow authorities to seize money below that threshold “where there are suspicions of criminal activity,” the EU executive commission said in a note.

EU officials said some of the recent attacks in Europe were carried out with limited funds, sometimes sent from outside the EU by criminal networks.

The Commission is also considering whether to set up an EU-focussed “terrorist finance tracking programme” along the lines of the U.S.-EU TFTP, which has long been opposed by EU lawmakers and privacy campaigners because it allows widespread checks on consumers' bank transfers.

The plan complements Commission proposals after the Paris attacks to tighten controls on virtual currencies such as bitcoin, and prepaid cards, which French authorities said were used to fund the bombings.

EU states backed these proposals on Tuesday. Under the deal, which still needs European Parliament approval, holders of prepaid cards would have to show some form of identity when they make payments of 150 euros or more.

But it gets better…

The Commission is also proposing common rules for the 28 EU countries on freezing “terrorists' financial resources” and on confiscating assets even from those thought to be connected to criminals.

So – cash, bitcoin, precious metals, and prepaid cards over $150 are all instruments of the “terrorists” and are now open to confiscation if you are a suspicious person… which, by their rhetoric, you are …read more

Source: Europe Proposes Confiscating Gold In Crackdown On "Terrorist Financing"

    

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Circle January 15th: 70 Nations Will Gather In Paris To Discuss The Creation Of A Palestinian State

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By Michael Snyder

15-ball-public-domain

On January 15th, representatives from 70 different countries will gather in Paris, France for an unprecedented global conference.  The stated goal of this conference is to promote a “two-state solution” as the way that lasting peace will be brought to the Middle East.  In Israel, there is a tremendous amount of concern that whatever is agreed upon at this conference will immediately be used as the basis for a UN Security Council resolution that would permanently divide the land of Israel and create a Palestinian state.  But things would have to move very rapidly in order for that to happen, because Barack Obama’s time in the White House comes to an end on January 20th, and Donald Trump has already made it exceedingly clear that he would never support such a resolution.

The UN Security Council resolution that was passed on Friday was one of the most significant events that we have witnessed in decades.  Resolution 2334 made all Israeli settlements in the West Bank and in East Jerusalem illegal, it set the 1967 ceasefire lines as the border between the Israelis and the Palestinians, and it granted every single inch of East Jerusalem to the Palestinians.  But it stopped short of giving official UN Security Council recognition to a Palestinian state, and that is why this conference on January 15th is so important.

On Wednesday, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry will lay out a plan which many believe will serve as the blueprint for the upcoming conference in Paris.  This is something that I discussed yesterday.  Apparently Kerry has been working on this for quite some time, and according to the Times of Israel, Jewish officials are fearful that he may propose something drastic…

At a press briefing Tuesday, State Department spokesman Mark Toner confirmed Kerry’s plans for the speech, though he refused to detail whether the top US diplomat would use the opportunity to announce a new American initiative, which officials in Jerusalem fear he may.

Toner said the secretary holds the conviction that “it is his duty in his remaining weeks and days as secretary of state to lay out what he believes is a way towards a two-state solution” and that “it’s always important to keep the process moving forward.”

If Kerry’s plan is embraced by the conference in Paris, it is anticipated by many that it would serve as the basis for a UN Security Council resolution that would formally create a Palestinian state before Donald Trump is inaugurated on January 20th.  The following comes from the Guardian…

The Israeli government is reportedly fearful that any guidelines agreed in Paris would be turned into another UN resolution before Trump’s inauguration, and it has ratcheted up its rhetoric, presenting itself as the victim of an international conspiracy.

A spokesman for Netanyahu claimed to have “ironclad evidence” that the Obama administration had plotted behind the scenes to promote the UN resolution. Israel has said it will <a target=_blank rel="nofollow" href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/26/israel-un-resolution-settlements-obama-trump" data-link-name="in …read more

Source: Circle January 15th: 70 Nations Will Gather In Paris To Discuss The Creation Of A Palestinian State

    

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CNBC’s John Harwood Blames "White Fear" For Democrat Losses Under Obama

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By Tyler Durden

In the months leading up the 2016 election, daily WikiLeaks dumps repeatedly exposed CNBC’s John Harwood as nothing more than a pawn of the Hillary Clinton campaign who constantly behaved like a subservient puppy who would stop at nothing to garner his master’s love and affection (see our posts on the topic here and here). And while the embarrassment of being exposed as a complete fraud would be sufficient motivation for most people to actually start performing their jobs with some level of integrity, John Harwood is apparently immune to the side effects of public humiliation that afflict the masses.

As the latest testament to his extreme impartiality as CNBC’s chief Washington Correspondent, Harwood sent out the following tweet storm aimed at all of “those making [the] silly argument that Obama hurt [the] Democratic Party” to confirm, once and for all, that “white fear” (aka racism) was responsible for democratic losses in Congress under Obama’s leadership and not his failed policies.

for those making silly argument that Obama hurt Democratic Party: last 5 presidents have left both houses of Congress in opposition hands

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) December 27, 2016

drivers of D casualties under Obama: a) depth of financial crisis/Great Recession b) accumulated angst over 30-year income stagnation 1/2

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) December 27, 2016

drivers of D casualties under Obama: c) effective/unified R opposition, esp to ACA; d) Obama’s race amid white fear of cultural change 2/2

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) December 27, 2016

among 2-term presidents, Clinton/Bush/Obama all began w/both houses of Congress run by their party, saw both flip. Reagan had & lost Senate

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) December 27, 2016

If true, perhaps Mr. Harwood could explain to us why the “racist” and “angry” white people of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania voted for Obama by margins of 10-20 points in 2008 before suddenly turning on Democrats in 2016? Did those people who voted overwhelmingly for the first black President in U.S. history in 2008 suddenly become racists over the course of 8 years? Or, is it just maybe possible that those people were disappointed that Obama’s “Hope and Change” rhetoric turned out to be nothing more than a pretty speech by yet another superficial politician?

…read more

Source: CNBC’s John Harwood Blames "White Fear" For Democrat Losses Under Obama

    

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Things That Make You Go Hmm… Like The Death Of The Petrodollar, And What Comes After

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By Tyler Durden

Excerpted from “Get It. Got It. Good” by Grant Williams, author of “Things That Make You Go Hmm…”

The story begins in the 1970s when Henry Kissinger and Richard Nixon struck a deal with the House of Saud — a deal which gave birth to the petrodollar system.

The terms were simple The Saudis agreed to ONLY accept U.S. Dollars in return for their oil and that they would reinvest their surplus dollars into U.S. treasuries.

In return, the U.S. would provide arms and a security guarantee to the Saudis who, it has to be said, were living in a pretty rough neighbourhood. As you can see, things went swimmingly (chart below)

Saudi purchases of treasuries grew along with the oil price and everyone was happy. (We’ll come back to that blue box on the right shortly)

The inverse correlation between the dollar and crude is just about as perfect as one could expect (until recently that is… but again, we’ll be back to that).

And, as you can see here, beginning when Nixon slammed the gold window shut on French fingers and picking up speed once the petrodollar system was ensconced, foreign buyers of U.S. debt grew exponentially.

Having the world’s most vital commodity exclusively priced in U.S. dollars meant everybody needed to hold large dollar reserves to pay for it and that meant a yuuuge bid for treasuries. It’s good to be the king.

By 2015, as the chart on the next page shows quite clearly, there were treasuries to the value of around 6 years of total global oil supply in the hands of foreigners (if we assume a constant 97 million bpd supply which I think is a pretty reasonable estimate).

Now… with that brief background on the petrodollar system, here’s where I need you to stick with me. I promise you it’ll be worth the mental effort

Ready? Here we go.

Now, back in 2010, then-World Bank President Robert Zoellick caused something of a commotion when he suggested that an entirely new global monetary system maybe wasn’t such a bad idea.

The system he had in mind involved a freely-convertible Yuan and, controversially was constructed around gold as its central reference point:

(Robert Zoellick, November 8, 2010): …the G20 should complement this growth recovery programme with a plan to build a co-operative monetary system that reflects emerging economic conditions. This new system is likely to need to involve the dollar, the euro, the yen, the pound and a renminbi that moves towards internationalisation and then an open capital account.

The system should also consider employing gold as an international reference point of market expectations about inflation, deflation and future currency values. Although textbooks may view gold as the old money, markets are using gold as an alternative monetary asset today.

In seemingly unrelated news, two years later, Iran began accepting Yuan in payment for its oil amid US sanctions. The transactions were conducted through Russian banks:

(Financial Times, May 2012): Iran is accepting renminbi …read more

Source: Things That Make You Go Hmm… Like The Death Of The Petrodollar, And What Comes After

    

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Ron Paul Suggests Four New Year’s Resolutions For Donald Trump And Congress

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By Tyler Durden

Authored by Ron Paul via The Ron Paul Institute,

In the spirit of New Year’s, here are four resolutions for President-elect Trump and Congress that will enable them to really make America great again:

1) Audit the Fed….and then end it: The Federal Reserve Bank's easy money policies have eroded the American people’s standard of living and facilitated the growth of the welfare-warfare state. The Fed is also responsible for the growth in income inequality. Yet Congress still refuses to pass Audit the Fed, much less end it.

During the campaign, then-candidate Donald Trump promised that Audit the Fed would be part of his first 100 days agenda. Unfortunately, he has not spoken of auditing the Fed or another aspect of monetary policy since the election. President-elect Trump should keep his promise and work with Congress to pass Audit the Fed and finally let the American people know the truth about the Fed’s conduct of monetary policy. Then, of course, end the Fed.

2) Bring the troops home: President Barack Obama has not only failed to withdraw American forces from Afghanistan and Iraq, he has further destabilized the Middle East with reckless interventions in Egypt, Libya, and Syria. The Obama administration has also brought us to the brink of a new Cold War.

President-elect Trump has criticized the 2003 Iraq war and promised to end nation-building. However, he has also made hawkish statements such as his recent endorsement of increased US military intervention in Syria and has appointed several hawks to key foreign policy positions. President-elect Trump also supported increasing the Pentagon’s already bloated budget.

America cannot afford to continue wasting trillions of dollars in a futile effort to act as the world’s policeman. Rejecting the neocon policies of nation-building and spreading democracy by force of arms is a good start. However, if Donald Trump is serious about charting a new course in foreign policy, his first act as president should be to withdraw US troops from around the globe. He should also veto any budget that does not drastically cut spending on militarism.

3) Repeal Obamacare: Obamacare has raised healthcare costs for millions of Americans while denying them access to the providers of their choice. Public dissatisfaction with Obamacare played a major role in Donald Trump’s election.

Unfortunately, since the election President-elect Trump and the Republican Congress have talked about retaining key parts of Obamacare! While it is reasonable to have a transition to a new healthcare system, Congress must avoid the temptation to replace Obamacare with “Obamacare lite.” Congress must pass, and President Trump must sign, a true free-market health care plan that restores control over healthcare to individuals.

4) Cut Taxes and Spending: President-elect Trump and Congressional leadership both favor tax reform. However, some leading Republicans have recently said they will not support any tax reform plan that is not “revenue neutral.” A true pro-liberty tax reform would reduce government revenue by eliminating the income tax. Fiscal hawks concerned with increasing federal deficits should stop trying to increase …read more

Source: Ron Paul Suggests Four New Year’s Resolutions For Donald Trump And Congress

    

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David Collum: We’ve Got A Recession Coming

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Adam Taggart via PeakProsperity.com,

Whether or not you've had time yet to plow your way through David Collum's excellent 2016 Year in Review, our annual podcast with Dave always brings additional color to light — and this year's is no exception.

Any model based on an assumed 7.5% return is doomed. As you get low returns, our pensions get in trouble. And whenever the returns shoot above the norm they say “Well, this is excess.” And they scoop it up. So every time they are above water they scoop it up. How? They stop contributing. They start using the money for other stuff. Think of a sine wave oscillating about the mean — even if you guessed the mean correctly, if every time it is on the high side you skim it you'll never get the mean; and that's what the pension managers have done. And companies just stop contributing to pension plans and started calling the retained funds “profits”, which causes equities to go up and makes the thing get out of whack.

We've got a recession coming, one of the full-blown kind. And I don’t know what will happen. My prediction is that it is going to be a bad one. But what a lot of people don’t realize is that is when things start unwinding, counter party risk kicks in and faulty business models start showing up as bad and they start collapsing. All the accounting problems that built up behind the scenes so that the people cook the books to get their bonuses up and they made these crazy assumptions — under the protective cloak of a recession, CEOs can get away with announcing anything because they say Hey, don’t look at me. It’s a recession. So they write down huge blocks of cost. This actually exacerbates the downswing because people are dumping all their cooked books and getting all the fraud off their books so they don’t have to fess up to the fact that they cooked them. In actuality, they're getting ready to then start building up their stock options again from some bottom somewhere.

This is going to unwind. It has to unwind. This is like a person who weighs 850 pounds — they're not going to make it into their 90s, right?

Click the play button below to listen to Chris' interview with David Collum (49m:26s).

…read more

Source: David Collum: We’ve Got A Recession Coming

    

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Is The "Deplorable Economy" Flashing Warning Signs About Overall Economic Growth Prospects?

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By Tyler Durden

Auto ABS Issuance

For months we’ve been warning that soaring auto sales represent nothing more than the latest bubble created courtesy of low interest rates, deteriorating lending standards in the form of stretched maturities and weaker credit profiles, and an insatiable demand for auto securitizations from yield-thirsty pension funds which wall street is happily trying to meet (see here, here and here).

Of course, with subprime auto ABS issuance soaring past 2006 levels last year…

…and total outstanding auto loans up 34% over the previous peak set back in 2005, it’s not that difficult to understand our concern.

Meanwhile, as Craig Kennison of Baird’s Consumer Leisure Group points out, the “Deplorable Economy” (i.e. demand for big-ticket discretionary goods like RV’s, boats and 4-wheelers) may also be getting “ahead of itself” despite the expectation of lower taxes rates from the Trump administration.

We like ideas exposed to the deplorable economy, but our powersports checks suggest the Trump-trade may be ahead of itself. Early 2017 could repeat the trading action in early 2016, when many stocks bottomed only after management teams reset expectation. Look for a post-Christmas sale on deplorable ideas like Polaris. We also would look for discounts in the marine space, including Brunswick and MasterCraft, which should benefit from a boot in wealth fueled by a higher stock market, healthy real estate values, and tax cuts. Beyond a job, a tax cut for individuals remains the single most important catalyst for discretionary spending (but a corporate tax cut may be a more important factor for stocks). With that in mind, we favor stocks with heavy U.S. exposure and higher tax rates that have the potential to drop.

We are optimistic that policy changes will benefit our coverage universe but see huge risks in trade policy and international exposure. A NAFTA reboot could harm Polaris and BRP. Meanwhile, Harley-Davidson could benefit from policies favoring the American worker – but a strong dollar and foreign retaliation may make life more difficult overseas.

A wealth effect among affluent consumers (and expanding credit availability) fueled robust demand for big-ticket recreation products from 2010-2015. However, in 2016, a divergence in growth between various Leisure categories emerged – and our view of the wealth effect became more nuanced. We saw that Leisure categories whose wealth effects are tied to the stock market and real estate values (e.g., marine, RV) continued to grow, while categories whose wealth effects are tied more heavily toward oil and ag prices (e.g., powersports) saw a sharp decline in demand in 2016. We see a bottom forming in oil and ag markets which we believe supports stable to modestly increasing demand in the powersports space in 2017 – and expect fundamentals to support continued steady growth in the marine and RV markets over the next year.

As Kennison notes, the expansion of cheap credit has driven the demand for “Deplorable Toys” like towable RVs to 131% of their previous peak demand set before the “great recession.” Meanwhile, demand for autos has also …read more

Source: Is The "Deplorable Economy" Flashing Warning Signs About Overall Economic Growth Prospects?

    

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Trump Tower Being Evacuated By FDNY, NYPD Due To "Suspicious Package" – Live Feed

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By Tyler Durden

Trump Tower is being evacuated due to a “suspicious package” according to NYPD. The president-elect is not at that location (currently in Florida).

Live Feed (via NBC4):

…

NYPD spox just confirmed to me that the Trump Tower was being evacuated due to a “suspicious package at the location”

— Philip Klein (@philipaklein) December 27, 2016

  • *NYPD INVESTIGATING SUSPICIOUS PACKAGE AT TRUMP TOWER: NYPD
  • *NYPD SPOKESWOMAN COMMENTS IN PHONE CALL ON TRUMP TOWER
  • *PRESIDENT-ELECT DONALD TRUMP HAD NO PUBLIC EVENTS TODAY

…

BREAKING: Trump Tower in New York City being evacuated, no word on cause; the president-elect is not at the location

— BNO News (@BNONews) December 27, 2016

@writefreedom09 pic.twitter.com/A0wAeibTFo

— Cielo (@cielo_celest) December 27, 2016

…read more

Source: Trump Tower Being Evacuated By FDNY, NYPD Due To "Suspicious Package" – Live Feed

    

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Dow 20k Disappoints For 10th Day Despite Market Optimism Surging Most Since Dot-Com Peak

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By Tyler Durden

Dow 20k is “inevitable”, it's a “no brainer” according to the business news punditry…

pic.twitter.com/hcY9afHumx

— StockCats (@StockCats) December 27, 2016

Maybe just don't play…?

Volume was terrible…lowest Dec 27th volume in at least 10 years…

Before we start on today's disappointing miss of Dow 20k once again, we want to note that the level of equity market exuberance is almost unprecedented…

The last time Americans’ optimism about the stock market registered such a dramatic one-month surge was during the dot-com boom. As stocks reached a record, the share of households anticipating higher equity prices a year from now surged to 44.7 percent in December from 30.9 percent a month earlier, the biggest monthly advance since November 1998, the Conference Board’s report on consumer confidence showed Tuesday. The group’s overall measure of sentiment rose this month to the highest level since August 2001.

So with that said – let's look at today's failed ramp for Dow 20k…the 10th day in a row…

Nasdaq hit another new high, but note that the S&P (green) managed to squeeze to unchanged post-Fed before running out of steam…

Dow was today's laggard (barely able to stay green) as Nasdaq (record high above 5500) and Small Caps led…with an ugly close just when everyone hoped for the 330 Ramp…

Financials (red) and Tech (blue) were ripped higher at the open but faded for the rest…

VIX and Stocks fell together again today after the initial flurry until shortly after Europe closed…

Treasury yields rose across the complex and a weak 2Y auction sent the short-end notably higher (in yield) later in the day…

With 5Y yields dramatically underperforming since Trump…

Bloomberg notes that Treasury five-year notes are lagging behind surrounding maturities by the most since July 2015 as traders price in a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a pickup in economic growth. The underperformance is seen in the so-called butterfly-spread index, which measures how the five-year note is performing against the two- and 10-year Treasury by replicating a trade involving the three securities. A positive reading signals investors are more bearish on the middle of the three maturities, making it relatively cheap versus the others.

The USD Index rose again today but has generally been range-bound since the initial Fed reaction (in a very tight range)…

CAD weakness is notable post-xmas, and AUD strength yesterday has been erased…

Despite USD strength, commodities gained…

With WTI crude topping $54…

But notably, Gold also gained for the 2nd day in …read more

Source: Dow 20k Disappoints For 10th Day Despite Market Optimism Surging Most Since Dot-Com Peak

    

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Hatchimals hatch into duds on Christmas

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Parents are complaining the hot toy isn’t hatching. …read more

Source: Hatchimals hatch into duds on Christmas

    

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