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The Carry Trade and The Fed Rate Hike This Week (Video)

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By EconMatters

By EconMatters


We discuss the important event of the week in the Federal Reserve Meeting on Wednesday and its effects on the Carry Trade which has been so pivotal in this rally up in stocks. Do we get a buy the rumor and sell the news event, or does the US Dollar take the next leg up after the Fed Quarterly FOMC Meeting? And at what point does the strong US Dollar start negatively impacting US Multi-National companies from an Earning`s standpoint? Big week for currency traders this FOMC Meeting week!

© EconMatters All Rights Reserved | Facebook | Twitter | YouTube | Email Digest | Kindle

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Source: The Carry Trade and The Fed Rate Hike This Week (Video)

    

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Monte Paschi "Scrambles" With Last Minute Capital Increase To Avoid Nationalization

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By Tyler Durden

Having picked a new prime minister to replace Matteo Renzi, when as reported this morning Italian president Sergio Mattarella asked Foreign Minister Paolo Gentiloni, a loyalist from Renzi’s Democratic Party, to form a new government, the chaos surrounding Italy’s political future appears to be subsiding, which as we said this morning, is welcome news for the future of Monte Paschi, as Italy’s third largest bank may once again avoid a state bailout should enough private investors turn up and inject funds into the failing financial institution, the world’s oldest.

So it comes as no surprise that, facing a third nationalization in just a few years, Bloomberg reports that Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena plans to step up efforts to win investors for a debt-for-equity swap in the coming days, and will once again press ahead with a €5 billion capital raise to avoid a state rescue that would impose losses on bondholders and shareholders, an outcome the ECB suggested on Friday would be unavoidable absent a private sector rescue.

Bloomberg adds that the bank’s board is meeting Sunday to review a fresh offer for note holders that would allow more retail investors to participate after money managers already swapped €1.02b, although it remains unclear why more investors would take on the bank’s offer.

Following the swap, a stock sale to an anchor investor and a public share placement would follow, to complete the full capital raise.

Meanwhile, Reuters writes that Monte Paschi was “scrambling on Sunday to thrash out a last-ditch plan to raise €5 billion on the market by year-end after the European Central Bank refused to give it more time to recapitalize.” Rome is ready to intervene with an emergency decree to rescue the bank if needed, a government source said on Friday. Such an intervention would impose losses on bondholders as per European bail-in regulations.

As Bloomberg has now confirmed, the eleventh-hour private solution being drawn up by the bank, advised by JPMorgan and Mediobanca, involves reopening a debt-to-equity swap offer to 40,000 retail investors holding 2.1 billion euros of the bank’s subordinated bonds, but this needs the approval of market watchdog Consob. The initial offer, which raised 1 billion euros from institutional investors, had been deemed too risky for the vast majority of ordinary investors.

A major wildcard is whether Qatar, long seen as an anchor investor would provide as much as €1 billion in fresh capital. Under the plan, Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund could put in another 1 billion euros, while a consortium of banks would try sell shares for the remainder in the market but without underwriting the issue, a senior banking source said.

As Monte dei Paschi’s board met on Sunday, a source close to the board said the fact that Gentiloni had been asked to form a government gave the bank confidence it could still pull off the privately funded capital raise. “There’s still time. Qatar is in the game and available to put in the amount that is being talked about,” the source …read more

Source: Monte Paschi "Scrambles" With Last Minute Capital Increase To Avoid Nationalization

    

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Trump Reignites China Diplomatic Spat, Says Not Bound By "One China" Policy

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By Tyler Durden

While the domestic US audience was focused on what Trump would say about the latest scandal of alleged Russian intervention in the US presidential elections, which as a reminder, he called “ridiculous” and suggested that democrats are behind the report, China was more curious by Trump’s foreign policy thoughts, which may have sparked yet another diplomatic spat, because one week after Trump snubbed America’s long-running “One China” policy, today the President-elect questioned whether the United States had to be bound by its long-standing position that Taiwan is part of “one China” and brushed aside Beijing’s concerns about his decision to accept a phone call from Taiwan’s president.

“I fully understand the ‘one China’ policy, but I don’t know why we have to be bound by a ‘one China’ policy unless we make a deal with China having to do with other things, including trade,” Trump said. Trump’s decision to accept a congratulatory telephone call from Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen on Dec. 2 prompted a diplomatic protest from Beijing, which considers Taiwan a renegade province.

Following Trump’s decision to nominate Iowa Governor Terry Branstad as the next U.S. ambassador to China, choosing a long-standing friend of Beijing after rattling the world’s second largest economy with tough talk on trade and the call with the leader of Taiwan, pundits thought that Trump would moderate his diplomatic outbursts vis-a-vis China. However, in the Fox interview, Trump brought up a litany of complaints about China which he had emphasized during his presidential campaign, and which may provoke an fresh bout of harsh criticism from China.

We’re being hurt very badly by China with devaluation, with taxing us heavy at the borders when we don’t tax them, with building a massive fortress in the middle of the South China Sea, which they shouldn’t be doing, and frankly with not helping us at all with North Korea,” Trump said. “You have North Korea. You have nuclear weapons and China could solve that problem and they’re not helping us at all.”

Here, contrary to Trump’s allegations, over the past two years China has been doing everything in its power to prop up its rapidly devaluing currency, which recently hit record lows against the dollar as a result of ongoing capital flight by domestic depositors who are scrambling to park their savings offshore realizing just how insolvent local financial institutions are.

The President-elect further criticized China over its currency policies, its activities in the South China Sea and its stance toward North Korea and said it was not up to Beijing to decide whether he should take a call from Taiwan’s leader.

“I don’t want China dictating to me and this was a call put in to me,” Trump said. “It was a very nice call. Short. And why should some other nation be able to say I can’t take a call?”

“I think it actually would’ve been very disrespectful, to be honest with you, not taking it,” Trump added.

Trump questioning of long-standing U.S. policy risks antagonizing Beijing …read more

Source: Trump Reignites China Diplomatic Spat, Says Not Bound By "One China" Policy

    

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Exxon’s Rex Tillerson has deep ties with Russia

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Rex Tillerson, the leading candidate to become Trump’s Secretary of State, has close ties to Russia that go back many years. His relationship with Russia even helped land Tillerson the top job as Exxon CEO. …read more

Source: Exxon’s Rex Tillerson has deep ties with Russia

    

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Somebody Has To Go Out of Business in the Oil Market (Video)

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By EconMatters

By EconMatters


Economic theory suggests that ultimately somebody still needs to go out of business in the oil industry, and after 2 plus years of massive declines in prices we seem to be right back where we started with this oversupply crisis in the oil market.

US Oil Production seems to have bottomed at 8.4 Million Barrels per day and is rising again, and headed for moving back above 9 Million Barrels per day in 2017. The Trump administration seems to be bullish for more US Oil Production, and I am not sure that is good longer term for the overall price in the market.

© EconMatters All Rights Reserved | Facebook | Twitter | YouTube | Email Digest | Kindle

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Source: Somebody Has To Go Out of Business in the Oil Market (Video)

    

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Rick Perry Is Trump’s Top Pick To Head Energy Department

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By Tyler Durden

With many of the key cabinet positions in Trump’s administration having been filled, one major post remained open: that of Energy Secretary. However according to Bloomberg, the mystery is almost over as Donald Trump has narrowed his search for energy secretary to four people.

Which is amusingly ironic, because five years ago, Perry wanted to eliminate the Energy Department: in an infamous 2011 Republican primary debate, Perry forgot that the Energy Department was one of the three federal government agencies he wanted to do away with. The other two were the Commerce and Education Departments. According to some pundits, the gaffe may have cost him a shot at the party’s 2012 nomination.

Texas’ longest-serving governor Gary was indicted in 2014 for abuse of power and coercion after threatening to veto funds for a Travis County office that investigates corruption unless the district attorney, who had pleaded guilty to driving while intoxicated, resigned. Another potential conflict of interest: Perry serves on the board of Energy Transfer Partners LP, the company whose pipeline project has drawn opposition in North Dakota and has become a rallying cry from environmentalists. While the Obama administration has stalled the project, Trump has said federal approvals for energy infrastructure need to come quicker.

As BBG notes citing two sources, two Democratic senators from energy-producing states – Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota and Joe Manchin of West Virginia – are also in the mix, along with Ray Washburne, a Dallas investor and former chairman of the Republican National Committee. If Trump picks any of the four he will break with recent tradition of putting scientists at the top of the Energy Department. Among other things, the agency is responsible for policies on the safe handling of nuclear material.

Some details on how the final four was selected: Trump met with former presidential candidate Perry and Washburne while attending the Army-Navy football game in Baltimore on Saturday. It was at least the second time he’d spoken to the two men for potential roles in the new administration. Trump met with Heitkamp at Trump Tower in New York on Dec. 2, and is scheduled to meet with Manchin in New York. Jay Martin Cohen, a retired Rear Admiral of the U.S. Navy, is said to be Trump’s choice for Under Secretary for Nuclear Security.

Two leading scientists have run the energy department during the Obama administration: Ernest Moniz, the incumbent, is a nuclear physicist who previously headed an energy initiative at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His predecessor was self-professed nerd Steven Chu, a Novel laureate who directed the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab and was a professor of physics and molecular and cellular biology.

The lack of yet another career scientist at the head of the DOE likely means that the US push against “climate change” will become decidedly more muted over the next few years.

Trump has promised to unleash domestic oil, gas and coal production, largely by rescinding “job-killing” rules and environmental regulations, without detailing specific plans for the Energy Department and its nuclear-heavy …read more

Source: Rick Perry Is Trump’s Top Pick To Head Energy Department

    

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Trump: I’m turning away ‘billions’ to avoid biz conflicts

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President-elect Donald Trump is set this week to detail how he will remove himself from his businesses to avoid conflicts of interest. …read more

Source: Trump: I’m turning away ‘billions’ to avoid biz conflicts

    

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Trump: I have ‘the right’ to do business deals

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President-elect Donald Trump is set this week to detail how he will remove himself from his businesses to avoid conflicts of interest. …read more

Source: Trump: I have ‘the right’ to do business deals

    

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Boeing sells 80 jets to Iran Air in $16B deal

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Boeing has finalized its agreement to sell 80 airplanes to Iran Air, despite staunch opposition. …read more

Source: Boeing sells 80 jets to Iran Air in $16B deal

    

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Trump Picks Exxon CEO Rex Tillerson As Secretary Of State

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By Tyler Durden

In a move that is certain to infuriate those who see Trump as nothing more than a puppet of the Kremlin, moments ago NBC reported that Rex Tillerson, CEO of Exxon Mobil and late entrant into the SecState race after his first meeting with the president elect this past Tuesday at the Trump Tower, has been picked by Trump to serve as his next Secretary of State.

JUST IN: Trump to name Exxon Mobil CEO Rex Tillerson as secretary of state, sources say https://t.co/kthwSkGc0j pic.twitter.com/vZmWztv0qn

— NBC News (@NBCNews) December 10, 2016

As NBC adds, Tillerson met Saturday with Trump at Trump Tower in New York, the president-elect’s spokesperson confirmed. The selection of Tillerson comes after Trump and his transition team spent weeks searching for someone to fill the post of the top U.S. diplomat. Former Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani were reportedly in the running. Giuliani said Friday he had taken his name out of consideration.

The 64-year-old Texas oilman, whose friends describe as a staunch conservative, emerged as a Secretary of State contender only last week following a meeting with Trump, when it was speculated that he would consider the offer “due to his sense of patriotic duty and because he is set to retire from the company next year.” Tillerson’s appointment would introduce the potential for sticky conflicts of interest because of his financial stake in Exxon: he owns Exxon shares worth $151 million, according to recent securities filings.

A quick biographical sketch of Tillerson courtesy of the WSJ:

The son of a local Boy Scouts administrator, Tillerson was born in Wichita Falls, Texas. He attended the University of Texas, where he studied civil engineering, was a drummer in the Longhorn band and participated in a community service-oriented fraternity.

He joined Exxon in 1975 and has spent his entire career at the company.

For most of his adult life, he has also been closely involved with the Boy Scouts of America, even occasionally incorporating the Scout Law and Scout Oath into his speeches. Mr. Tillerson played an instrumental role in leading the organization to change its policy to allow gay youth to participate in 2013, Mr. Hamre said. Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates subsequently moved to lift the organization’s ban on gay adult leaders as Boy Scouts president in 2015. “Most of the reason that organizations fail at change is pretty simple: People don’t understand why,” Mr. Tillerson said in a speech after the 2013 decision, urging leaders to communicate about the policy to help make it successful. “We’re going to serve kids and make the leaders of tomorrow.”

* * *

However it is not his Boy Scout exploits that will be the key talking point for pundits in the coming days, but rather his close relationship with Russian president Vladimir Putin.

According to the WSJ, few U.S. citizens are closer to Mr. Putin than Mr. Tillerson, a recipient of Russia’s …read more

Source: Trump Picks Exxon CEO Rex Tillerson As Secretary Of State

    

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