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Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Is Another 9/11 Necessary To Re-Direct American Anger?

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By Tyler Durden

Via The Daily Bell,

America’s Anger Is Out of Control, Jeffrey Kluger … After the September 11 attacks, TIME’s Lance Morrow wrote a powerful essay titled, “The Case for Rage and Retribution,” in which he argued:

“For once let’s have no fatuous rhetoric about ‘healing.’ A day cannot live in infamy without the nourishment of rage. Let’s have rage. What’s needed is a unified, unifying, Pearl Harbor sort of purple American fury—a ruthless indignation that doesn’t leak away in a week or two…”

– TIME

As we can see from the above statement, Jeff Kluger has in mind another convulsive episode like Pearl Harbor or 9/11 that will unify the “anger” that Americans feel.

Kluger seems to imply that this anger is stemming from current elections. His concern is that it is spilling over into other areas of life.

If every offensive, unjust or insulting incident turns into a jolt of high-fructose fury mainlined straight to the brain’s amygdala, what’s left when there’s a truly right and righteous reason to rise up in anger? And those important moments do occur.

Kluger seems to be saying that anger has become fashionable and applying anger liberally trivializes it.

Also, if Americans are angry about many things, that makes for a dysfunctional society rather than a unified one.

Kluger obviously wants a unified America. In order for rage to be unifying it needs to be a “purple American fury.”

This is actually a somewhat cynical assessment of how to manipulate anger in our view.

Why do we need another Pearl Harbor or 9/11 just so Americans can feel unified?

Why should “Americans” feel unified anyway? And, really, what is an “American?”

Because the “anger in America” meme is ubiquitous in the mainstream media at the moment, there are many other commentaries on it.

Here’s one from CNN by Michael Smerconish:

Are the voters really mad as hell? … voters, many of them in the GOP, have outsized weight in politics … The anger that threatens Washington based on partisanship is metastasizing. Now is the time to take back control of our political debate.

Remember, when Howard Beale asked Americans to shout outside that they were “mad as hell”, many followed. It’s time for the rest of us to close our windows.

CNN is asking us to “close our windows” and not listen to people who are “angry” about the state of America’s politics and economy.

TIME is hopeful that this anger can be channeled into some horrible, outsized event that will unify the current emotional anarchy.

Both of these editorials seem frightened by anger. But the description trivializes what is going on.

People aren’t just “angry.” Many are extraordinarily upset about certain events taking place in the USA. It’s not simply an inchoate emotion.

Millions upon millions are angry over the reduction in freedoms and the rise of the fedgov political class.

They are worried and anxious about police shootings, gun confiscation and a general trend toward increased authoritarianism all around them.

They don’t recognize America anymore. It feels like a fascist or socialist country.

Like Kluger’s …read more

Source: Is Another 9/11 Necessary To Re-Direct American Anger?

    

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How To Fix The FBI’s History Of Political Abuse – Abolish It!

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Ryan McMaken via The Mises Institute,

Like all employees of the FBI, James Comey lives off the sweat of the American taxpayer. His large salary, upon retirement, will be converted into a very generous pension. Like most federal employees in a high ranking position like his, Comey continues to look forward to decades of living at a standard of living far above what is experienced by ordinary people in the private sector.

To maintain this life of comfort, all he had to do was agree to look the other way as a powerful politician clearly — by Comey's own admission — broke federal law.

Naturally, this same treatment would never be afforded to an ordinary taxpayer, who would likely be looking at years in federal prison for offenses similar to that which Hillary Clinton has apparently committed. Moreover, Comey even went out of his way to do his best to ensure no federal prosecutor would proceed with charges when he claimed that “no reasonable prosecutor” would proceed with charges. It wasn't enough for Comey to simply not recommend charges. He had to pre-emptively condemn any prosecutor who might proceed with charges.

Some have claimed that Comey was forced to cave to Obama administration pressure in order to protect his family. Of course, Comey could have resigned his position rather than take a position he regarded as unethical. Then the task of clearing Clinton would have fallen to Comey's successor. There are precedents for this. When ordered by Nixon to fire the special prosecutor in the Watergate scandal, Attorney General Elliot Richardson resigned rather than do what the president mandated. Comey could have done the same, but then he would have had to give up some of his comforts and privileges. To find work, he might have had to move to an unexciting place like Indianapolis or Albuquerque.

Nevertheless, Comey has accidentally done us a great service by publicly exhibiting the true nature of the FBI: it is a political organization that expands the reach and prerogatives of the federal government over citizens and taxpayers, while protecting the powerful.

Of all federal police forces, the FBI is the most romanticized, and every FBI agent is assumed to be the modern embodiment of a fictionalized version of Eliot Ness: incorruptible, professional, and efficient. Decades of pop culture has driven this home with TV series and movies such as The Untouchables, The FBI Story, and This Is Your FBI have long perpetuated the idea that when local police fail, the FBI will step in to be more effective and simply better than every other law enforcement agency. Corruption cannot touch the FBI, we are told, and they apply the law equally to everyone.

A History of Abuse

This was always obviously untrue to anyone not suffering from crippling naïvete, but Comey has helped make the political nature of the Bureau plain for all to see.

The reality and the romance, of course, have always been two totally different things, and it's helpful …read more

Source: How To Fix The FBI’s History Of Political Abuse – Abolish It!

    

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Charting The Epic Collapse Of The World’s Most Systemically Dangerous Bank

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By Tyler Durden

It’s been almost 10 years in the making, but the fate of one of Europe’s most important financial institutions appears to be sealed.

After a hard-hitting sequence of scandals, poor decisions, and unfortunate events,Visual Capitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes that Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank shares are now down -48% on the year to $12.60, which is a record-setting low.

Even more stunning is the long-term view of the German institution’s downward spiral.

With a modest $15.8 billion in market capitalization, shares of the 147-year-old company now trade for a paltry 8% of its peak price in May 2007.

Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist

THE BEGINNING OF THE END

If the deaths of Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns were quick and painless, the coming demise of Deutsche Bank has been long, drawn out, and painful.

In recent times, Deutsche Bank’s investment banking division has been among the largest in the world, comparable in size to Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. However, unlike those other names, Deutsche Bank has been walking wounded since the Financial Crisis, and the German bank has never been able to fully recover.

It’s ironic, because in 2009, the company’s CEO Josef Ackermann boldly proclaimed that Deutsche Bank had plenty of capital, and that it was weathering the crisis better than its competitors.

It turned out, however, that the bank was actually hiding $12 billion in losses to avoid a government bailout. Meanwhile, much of the money the bank did make during this turbulent time in the markets stemmed from the manipulation of Libor rates. Those “wins” were short-lived, since the eventual fine to end the Libor probe would be a record-setting $2.5 billion.

The bank finally had to admit that it actually needed more capital.

In 2013, it raised €3 billion with a rights issue, claiming that no additional funds would be needed. Then in 2014 the bank head-scratchingly proceeded to raise €1.5 billion, and after that, another €8 billion.

A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS

In recent years, Deutsche Bank has desperately been trying to reinvent itself.

Having gone through multiple CEOs since the Financial Crisis, the latest attempt at reinvention involves a massive overhaul of operations and staff announced by co-CEO John Cryan in October 2015. The bank is now in the process of cutting 9,000 employees and ceasing operations in 10 countries. This is where our timeline of Deutsche Bank’s most recent woes begins – and the last six months, in particular, have been fast and furious.

Deutsche Bank started the year by announcing a record-setting loss in 2015 of €6.8 billion.

Cryan went on an immediate PR binge, proclaiming that the bank was “rock solid”. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble even went out of his way to say he had “no concerns” about Deutsche Bank.

Translation: things are in full-on crisis mode.

In the following weeks, here’s what happened:

Obama Blames "Easy Access To Guns" For Surge In Violence Between Police And Minorities

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By Tyler Durden

Some were wondering how Obama would spin the surge in violence between police and minorities into yet another push for gun control.

We didn’t have long to wait.

Speaking in a news conference in Poland, the US president made the claim that contrary to all evidence, “racial relations have improved during his presidency”, to wit:

Now, when it comes to crime, generally, I think it’s just important to keep in mind that our crime rate today is substantially lower than it was five years ago, 10 years ago, 20 years ago, 30 years ago. Over the last four or five years, during the course of my presidency, violent crime in the United States is the lowest it’s been since probably the 1960s, maybe before the early 1960s. There’s been an incredible drop in violent crime.

So that doesn’t lessen, I think, people’s understandable fears if they see a video clip of somebody getting killed. But it is important to keep in perspective that in places like New York, or Los Angeles, or Dallas, you’ve seen huge drops in the murder rates. And that’s a testimony to smarter policing, and there are a range of other factors that have contributed to that.

Reading from a teleprompter, Obama said he’s tried to get all Americans to listen to each other on matters of race, and added that he believes his voice has “been true in speaking about these issues.” Oddly enough it would appear that all Americans have not listened. What he didn’t say is that under his divisive, race/class/ethnicity-baiting presidency, whether due to his social politics or his disastrous economic agenda which has let the Fed’s market boosting, monetary policy as the only game in town, and led to record wealth redistribution that has transferred trillions from the future to the richest 0.01% now (one look at a chart of the $19.3 trillion in US debt should be sufficient evidence) gun sales under Obama have been absolutely unprecedented, as even the NYT has shown:

As we reported two weeks ago, under Obama, background checks for guns reached 141.4 million through the end of May, amounting to sales of about 52,600 a day, according to the FBI… And 2016 is on pace to surpass last year’s record.

But ignore all that. Instead, Obama pledged on Saturday to seek ways to calm racial tensions and reduce divisions between police and minorities during his final months in office, but he warned that easy access to guns nationwide exacerbated the problem. “The proliferation of guns among the U.S. citizenry contributes to lethal encounters between minorities and police, heightening the danger law enforcement officers face in even routine interactions with the public,” Obama said.

Odd: no comments about “Obama’s city”, Chicago, where “only” 10 people being shot on any given weekend is considered a victory. The same Chicago which has ultra strict gun laws, that is.

Just like Hillary Clinton, Obama also blamed YouTube clips:

“with respect to, finally, the issue of police shootings, there’s no …read more

Source: Obama Blames "Easy Access To Guns" For Surge In Violence Between Police And Minorities

    

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Carlson v. Ailes case deepens

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The Gretchen Carlson v. Roger Ailes case deepened after decades-old sexual harassment claims surfaced on Saturday. …read more

Source: Carlson v. Ailes case deepens

    

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Hillary’s Seven Biggest Lies Refuted By The FBI, And The "Smoking Gun"

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By Tyler Durden

When FBI director James Comey stunned America last week by exonerating Hillary Clinton for being “grossly negligent” in her abuse of professional duties, but not criminal, he opened up a whole new can of worms for the presidential candidate, namely that she had repeatedly perjured herself and lied to both Congress and the American people.

As a result, House Republicans said Thursday they would seek a new FBI probe whether Clinton lied to Congress about her handling of classified information, as well as whether she perjured herself under oath during an 11-hour testimony before the House Select Committee on Benghazi, That referral could lead to a new investigation, once again putting Clinton under the glare of the Justice Department.

It will hardly be difficult for an objective investigation to refute that Hillary lied: here is a brief summary of points which Hillary has made both on Capitol Hill and elsewhere, which the FBI report officially refuted:

“I did not email any classified material to anyone on my email”

As the Hill reminds us, this was one of first claims that Clinton made about her email setup, in a press conference at the United Nations shortly after it was revealed last year. We now know that more than 2,000 emails now contain information considered classified, but most of that was upgraded after it was sent. According to Comey, a total of 113 emails contained information that was classified at the time the messages were sent or received. Among those are eight threads containing 22 emails classified as top secret — the highest tier of classification. “There was classified material emailed,” Comey told the House Oversight Committee on Thursday.

“It was allowed, but it was not a good choice”

Clinton has repeatedly described her email setup as permitted under the letter of the rules, though perhaps “unwise” as she put it in the middle of her Benghazi Committee testimony. Both the State Department’s inspector general and the FBI disagree with that claim. The department’s internal watchdog released a harshly critical report earlier this year saying that the setup “would not” have been approved, had Clinton sought permission. Had employees within the FBI had a similar system, Comey testified this week, they might have been subject to a range of punishments up to and including being fired. “You could be walked out or, depending on the nature of the facts, you could be reprimanded,” the FBI director testified in the House.However, the bureau would not have been able to prosecute them for federal crimes, he added. And there would be no punishments that could be handed down after the official had left office.

“I provided the department with all of my work-related emails, all that I had”

Hillary also claimed repeatedly that all of her work-related messages were contained within the roughly 30,000 messages given to the State Department in 2014. Another batch of a similar size was purely personal, she has said, and those messages destroyed. …read more

Source: Hillary’s Seven Biggest Lies Refuted By The FBI, And The "Smoking Gun"

    

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"Remain" Loses Again – British Government Officially Rejects Petition For 2nd Referendum

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By Tyler Durden

Having previously been exposed as a 'scam', the petition – with over 4.1 million signatures – for a second UK referendum has officially been rejected by the British government.

On June 23, on a 72 percent turnout, 52 percent (17.4 million people) voted in favor of Britain leaving the European Union.

This prompted a teddy-bear-throwing temper-tantrum among the elites (for not listening to their demands) as well as many younger Brits that it's just not fair… and so a petition was launched:

We the undersigned call upon HM (Her Majesty's) government to implement a rule that if the remain or leave vote is less than 60 percent based a turnout less than 75 percent there should be another referendum,” the petition said.

And gathered 4.1 million signatures (well over the 100k required to prompt a parliamentary debate), despite questions over the validity of many of those signatures.

But today, as Reuters reports, the British government formally rejected the petition calling for a second referendum on Britain's membership of the EU.

The Foreign Office, the ministry that had steered through parliament the EU Referendum Act setting out the rules, responded that the legislation did not set a threshold for the result or for minimum turnout.

“The Prime Minister and Government have been clear that this was a once in a generation vote and, as the Prime Minister has said, the decision must be respected,” it said.

“We must now prepare for the process to exit the EU and the Government is committed to ensuring the best possible outcome for the British people in the negotiations.”

Both candidates to replace David Cameron as leader of the ruling Conservative Party and prime minister have said the result of the referendum should not be questioned and Brexit should be delivered.

“Brexit means Brexit,” front-runner Theresa May, the interior minister, said in a speech announcing her bid. May had advocated staying in the bloc, but was not a leading figure in the “remain” campaign.

Her rival, junior energy minister Andrea Leadsom, was one of the most passionate advocates of Brexit ahead of the referendum and has said that Britain would flourish outside the EU.

Bregret is back…

…read more

Source: "Remain" Loses Again – British Government Officially Rejects Petition For 2nd Referendum

    

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Larry Summers Wants To Give You A Free Lunch

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com,

The existing capital stock continues to be frittered away at the expense of savers and retirees. Nonetheless, central bankers don’t give a doggone about it. This, after all, is one consequence of roughly eight years of near zero interest rate policy.

Another related consequence is that the pricing equilibrium of capital markets has broken down. In particular, bond yields no longer reflect a market determined price of money established by the economy’s demand for credit. Hence, previously unfathomable interest rate movements are now happening with regular occurrence.

Presently, the yield on the 10-Year U.S. Treasury note is sliding into the abyss. On Wednesday a new record low yield of 1.34 percent was reached. This is the lowest historical yield we could find based on a review of 10-Year Treasury rate data going back to about 1870.

The last time the interest rate cycle bottomed out was during the early 1940s. The low inflection point at that time was somewhere around 2 percent. Where and when rates will finally turn this time is anyone’s guess.

In the meantime, who in their right mind is plowing their hard earned money into Treasuries at these negligible returns? Obviously, it’s better than the negative rate of return that Swiss 50-year bonds are yielding. But come on. Is it not conceivably possible, with the Fed’s desired 2 percent inflation target, that inflation could run-up above 1.34 percent at some time over the next decade?

A Matter of Life or Death

By way of full disclosure, we’ve been anticipating the conclusion of the great Treasury bond bubble for about 8 years – possibly longer. After a 25-year soft slow slide down from a peak above 15 percent in 1981, it only seemed logical that yields would bottom out around 2 percent and then resume a new, generation long uptrend. So far this hasn’t happened. Yields, in practice, have gone down…and then they’ve gone down some more.

In hindsight, we’ve come to recognize that for a number of years we didn’t fully appreciate the significance of one very important component to this credit cycle. Moreover, it’s something that’s unlike the last credit cycle.

Specifically, with a fiat based paper money system, and extreme central bank intervention, we didn’t account for just how far the limits of illogicality could push beyond what is honestly conceivable. Perhaps a better imagination was needed.

Over the last few years we’ve made painstaking efforts to recalibrate our expectations. Namely, we’ve done away with them.

But just because we have no expectations doesn’t mean we are indifferent. To the contrary, we are far from indifferent. We observe 10-Year Treasury yield movements with the same acute interest we observe an amorphous skin discoloration appearing on our torso.

What do each day’s slight changes mean? Will they eventually become a matter of life or death? These are the questions. What are the answers?

Larry Summers Wants to …read more

Source: Larry Summers Wants To Give You A Free Lunch

    

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The Great Market Tide Has Now Shifted

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith via PeakProsperity.com,

In the conventional investment perspective, risk-on assets (i.e. investments with higher risks and higher potential returns) such as stocks are on a see-saw with risk-off assets (investments with lower returns and lower risk, such as Treasury bonds). When risk appetites are high, institutional managers and speculators move money into stocks and high-yield junk bonds, and move money out of safe-haven assets such as gold and U.S. Treasuries.

But recently, markets are no longer following this convention. Safe haven assets such as precious metals and Treasuries are soaring at the same time that stock markets bounced strongly off the post-Brexit lows.

Risk-on assets (stocks) rising at the same time as safe-haven assets is akin to dogs marrying cats and living happily ever after.

What the heck is going on?

Why is the market acting so schizophrenic? What’s changed?

Before we cover the dynamics that are in play, let’s review the market gyrations so far in 2016.

The Market Gyrations Of 2016

Risk-off / safe havens

  • Gold: from $1,060/oz in January to $1,360/oz (as of July 5)
  • Silver: from $13.90/oz to $20/oz
  • U.S. dollar: from 99 in January to 92 in May to a current level around 96. (The DXY dollar index was 80 in mid-2014 and topped 100 in March 2015.)
  • U.S. 30-year Treasury bond yield: from 3.00% in January to 2.14% in early July.
  • TLT (20 year bond ETF): from 120 in early January to 142 in early July.

Risk-on

  • S&P 500: from around 2,035 in early January to 1,820 in February, topping 2,100 in April, then a decline below 2,000 in June and back to 2,100 by July 1 – and a new all-time high just today. (SPX was above 2,100 in mid-2015, then it plummeted to 1,825 before bouncing back to 2,100 in late 2015.)
  • JNK (high-yield bond ETF): from 36.5 in May 2015 to 32.5 in early January to 30.5 in February to 35.5 on July 1.

In broad brush, the tide that raised all risk-on boats for the past seven years is now ebbing.

The momentum that drove the stock market higher since early 2009 has weakened. Stocks have repeatedly plummeted sharply over the past year, only to be saved by central bank jawboning of the now-shopworn “whatever it takes” variety, or by coordinated central bank purchases of stocks, futures, ETFs, etc.

The momentum has clearly shifted to the risk-off safe-haven assets such as precious metals and sovereign bonds. This flood-tide of cash into bonds has helped push yields into negative territory, an unprecedented development: owners of capital are so concerned about getting their money back that they are accepting negative returns, i.e. guaranteed losses, to park their cash.

In effect, capital is focusing less on earning a return on cash and more on making sure the cash is returned. Paying 1% for the privilege of parking capital is making cash and gold look attractive, as the cost of holding cash and precious metals is relatively modest, and the upside is potentially significant.

Indeed, the flood-tide of money into precious metals is attracting speculative hot money: Chinese …read more

Source: The Great Market Tide Has Now Shifted

    

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Lin-Manuel Miranda takes ‘Hamilton’ stage one last time

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Lin-Manuel Miranda will have to teach himself how to say goodbye as he takes the “Hamilton” stage for the final time Saturday night. …read more

Source: Lin-Manuel Miranda takes ‘Hamilton’ stage one last time

    

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