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The Gold Standard: Friend Of The Middle Class

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By Tyler Durden

In-Gold-We-Trust

Via AntoniusAquinas.com,

It has been theoretically demonstrated and seen in general practice that a monetary system of 100% metallic money devoid of central banking checks monetary inflation, prevents a general rise in the price level, and eliminates the dreaded business cycle while making all sorts of monetary mischief nearly impossible. A gold standard is not only economically superior to any paper money scheme, but is morally just, which is why it is hated by the politically well-connected, academics, politicians, and the rest of the Establishment.

Often not discussed, however, even by its proponents is the beneficial effect that “hard money” has for the middle class.

It is not a coincidence that since the U.S. left the last vestiges of the gold standard in 1971with President Nixon’s nefarious decision to no longer redeem international central bank payments in gold, real wages for Americans have stagnated. Nixon’s decision to put the nation on an irredeemable paper money standard set it on a course of economic ruination, which is why he should have been hounded from office not for his role in the bungled, petty cover up at the Watergate.

Stagnating wage rates have been confirmed by a number of studies, take, for instance one from the Pew Research Center which states that “today’s average hourly wage has just about the same purchasing power as it did in 1979. . . . [I]n real terms the average wage peaked more than 40 years ago: The $4.03-an-hour rate recorded in January 1973 has the same purchasing power as $22.41 would today.”*

While the absence of the gold standard has impoverished laborers, it has benefitted (not surprisingly) the very wealthy – hence, the reason why it was abandoned, as the Pew Study reports: “What gains have been made, have gone to the upper income brackets. Since 2000, usual weekly wages have fallen 3.7% (in real terms) among workers in the lowest tenth of the earnings distribution, and 3% among the lowest quarter. But among people near the top of the distribution, real wages have risen 9.7%.”

Of course, this was part of Nixon’s plan: redistribution of wealth from the middle class and low income groups via money printing to the political class. Such a scheme, however, could have only happened if the gold standard was eliminated.

Since the start of the abominable Obama Administration in 2009, the adjusted monetary base of the U.S. rose from $1.772 trillion to $3.966 trillion as of March 16, 2016. Of course, even these unfathomable figures as well as all other information supplied by the dominant media and government cannot be trusted. It, therefore, can be safely assumed that the real money supply is more than officially reported.

Money, like every other good, is subjected to the immutable law of supply and demand. Every increase in the money supply reduces the purchasing power of the monetary units which are already in circulation. Naturally, since wages are paid in dollars, increases in the supply of them will decrease their …read more

Source: The Gold Standard: Friend Of The Middle Class

    

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The Revolt Against Globalism… Is Going Global

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Justin Raimondo via AntiWar.com,

There was William Galston at the European Council on Foreign Relations, listening to his fellow elitists and foreign policy honchos caviling about the rise of Donald Trump and bemoaning the fate of the European Union (EU) at the hand’s of Britain’s Euro-skeptics. As the assembled luminaries had a collective sad in their five-star hotel, wondering how the proles could’ve gotten so far out of hand, Galtson – longtime Democratic party hack, former domestic advisor to Bill Clinton, and a senior fellow at the “centrist” Brookings Institution – heard a call to arms. It was almost as if Cecil Rhodes, the British imperialist and original founder and financier of the Council on Foreign Relations, had spoken to him from on high – or, rather, from below – and commanded him to spread the Word far and wide:

“I realized that the stakes in the U.S. presidential election are even higher than I had thought. The fate of the entire postwar order hangs in the balance, and with it the prospects for democracy world-wide. Without vigorous American leadership, the prospects are not bright.”

Oh, yes, those shortsighted Little People are “turning inward,” and “this is understandable,” but, hey, “liberal internationalism is back on its heels” and the dreaded “ethno-nationalist populism” – i.e. resistance to the One World “global governance” schemes of Galston and his comrades – “is on the march.” What’s a globalist to do?

And it’s not just the English-speaking world that’s resisting the globalist agenda. Those Frenchies are getting restive, too, and the rest of Europe is balking at “the obvious candidate for continental leadership” for “historical reasons.” After all, everyone remembers the last time the Germans tried to impose “union” on the Europeans, so there’s that. See how prejudiced the Little People can be? They just don’t have the foresight to worry about the New Hitler – Vladimir Putin, if you even have to ask – who “senses a historic opportunity to exploit Europe’s divisions for his own purposes.” Why, he actually wants to trade with Europe, and that would undermine the war plans of the CFR types, who are fixated on restarting the cold war. Of course, they don’t actually say that in so many words, but the intent is clear enough. They put it like this:

“If Europe doesn’t hold together when facing a rearmed and resurgent Russia, the gains for democracy and free markets since the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of the Soviet Union may well be rolled back.”

You know, “democracy” – like in Ukraine, where EUinspired mobs overthrew the elected President and the coup leaders immediately launched a vicious war against their own people in east Ukraine, killing many thousands and unleashing neo-Nazi regiments like the Azov Battalion on those who dared to resist. That’s “democracy” for you! And alarm bells should go off whenever you hear a top advisor to Bill Clinton, Al Gore, and Walter Mondale hail …read more

Source: The Revolt Against Globalism… Is Going Global

    

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Small Business Owner Explains Options: "Close, Hike Prices, Or Eliminate Jobs"

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By Tyler Durden

The mad dash to increase the minimum wage continues. Earlier we reported that New York and California had passed legislation that would raise the minimum wage to $15, and in June the District of Columbia also voted unanimously to raise the minimum wage to $15 as well.

In a statement sent to The Daily Signal, D.C. Council Chairman Phil Mendelson said the following:

The District can be an expensive place to live and therefore the concern about the minimum wage is more acute than would be the case is other areas of the country. I expect that the District will not be alone in the Washington metropolitan region, as similar legislation is pending in populous Montgomery County, Maryland.

One small business owner is not so thrilled about the announcement however. Carolina Story, co-owner of Straw Stick & Brick Delicatessen in northwest Washington said she is in shock about the minimum wage hike. “It puts a big stop on little startups like ours” Story said.

As The Daily Signal reports, Story took to Facebook in order to rant a bit about what the hike means to small business, especially Straw Stick & Brick. Story quickly added up the additional labor costs that the deli would would be forced to deal with as it struggles to stay profitable.

This means that a small business like mine—that needs to fill at least 11 entry level positions would have to pay those employees around $31,000 each per year which would amount to approximately $363,000 per year. Of course we would still need to fill at least [three] management positions which would obviously demand more than minimum wage—say maybe $40,000 per year on the low end (these positions deserve more pay but because of the entry level positions I am forced to be conservative).

That means that our yearly labor cost might rise to $483,000 in 2020. Business owners in my situation would need to make $1,932,000.00 per year in order to have a healthy business, pay ourselves a living wage, and cover fixed and variable costs.

Story went on to tell The Daily Signal that her original business plan now needs to be changed completely.

“All I know is that when I was working on my business plan, I knew what the cost was and I did not anticipate it growing from that to this within such a short period of time. It completely changes the business plan.”

The deli, which has a staff of less than a dozen people, hires college and high school students to fill some positions and all current employees make above minimum wage. Story also hits upon the primary function of entry level jobs, which is to gain experience and move on – something that will go away as minimum wages continue to increase and small businesses can't afford to pay the labor cost.

I have people who we hire to slice meat. They don't want to do that forever. They basically come in here so they can go on to their next …read more

Source: Small Business Owner Explains Options: "Close, Hike Prices, Or Eliminate Jobs"

    

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Banks Battered As Bond Yields ‘Comey-kaze’ Dive To Record Lows

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By Tyler Durden

Seemed appropriate for today…

Bullion and bonds continue to dramatically outperform post-Brexit…

Following the best week for stocks in two years, having failed to reach the pre-Brexit highs, stocks rolled over today led by Trannies and Small Caps…

Post-Brexit Trannies and Small Caps are also the biggest losers…

Futures show the selling began Sunday night and has been 'well behaved' for now…

Banks were battered…

Tesla did what Tesla does…

VIX pushed back above 16.5 briefly before being hit in the last hour…

Stocks began to catch down to bonds and FX reality…

The USD Index rose modestly today as Cable tumbled and JPY rallied against the USD…

Cable fell to fresh 31 year lows (below 1.3000)…

Difficult to see the pound forming the Dying Elephant pattern as good news pic.twitter.com/aVx5DqVTaD

— Giles Wilkes (@Gilesyb) July 5, 2016

And as gilt yields tumbled, swissy govies went negative out to 50Y, so US Treasury yields plunged to fresh record lows…having crashed post-Brexit…

With 2s30s collapsing to new cycle lows… (dragging financials lower)…

With global developed market bond yields collapsed to record lows at just 42bps…

Commodities were mixed with copper and crude clubbed and PMs bid since Friday…

But note the craziness in Silver over the last 48 hours…

And crude was not pretty…biggest drop in 9 months

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: A gentle reminder of the utter farce that the US equity market has become…

…read more

Source: Banks Battered As Bond Yields ‘Comey-kaze’ Dive To Record Lows

    

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"The Dominoes Are Fallling": Three Largest UK Property Funds Freeze $12 Billion In Assets, More To Come

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By Tyler Durden

As first reported last night, and following up this morning, in an episode painfully reminiscent of the Bear hedge fund “freezes” that preceded the bank’s 2008 collapse and the great financial crisis , first Standard Life halted trading in its property fund, followed hours later by both Aviva and M&G which likewise announced they are suspending trading in their own portfolio funds. And, as Bloomberg summarizes, three of the U.K.’s largest real estate funds have frozen almost 9.1 billion pounds ($12 billion) of assets after Britain’s shock vote to leave the European Union sparked a flurry of redemptions.

These were the first major dominoes to fall as a result of the confusion resulting from the Brexit vote. M&G Investments, Aviva Investors and Standard Life Investments halted withdrawals because they don’t have enough cash to immediately repay investors. About 24.5 billion pounds is allocated to U.K. real estate funds, according to the Investment Association.

The rush by private investors to withdraw money prompted M&G, which held 7.7% in cash before the vote, to suspend its 4.4 billion-pound Property Portfolio fund and Aviva Investors to freeze its 1.8 billion-pound Property Trust on Tuesday. Standard Life halted trading on its 2.9 billion-pound U.K. real estate fund on Monday. The cash position for Aviva and Standard Life’s funds at the end of May was 9.3% and 13.1% respectively.

The market reaction has been swift and brutal, sending stocks of the property-linked asset managers crashing.

Standard Life is among firms, including Aberdeen Asset Management Plc, Henderson Group Plc, Legal & General Group Plc and M&G to adjust the value of assets in their property funds last week. Holdings in the funds range from an office building in Birmingham, to a mall in Newcastle and retail warehouses in Northampton.

“Investor redemptions in the fund have risen markedly because of the high levels of uncertainty in the U.K. commercial property market since the outcome of the European Union referendum,” M&G said on its website. Outflows “have now reached a point where M&G believes it can best protect the interests of the funds’ shareholders by seeking a temporary suspension.”

“The dominoes are starting to fall in the U.K. commercial property market,” said Laith Khalaf, a senior analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. “The problem these funds face is that it takes time to sell commercial property to meet withdrawals, and the cash buffers built up by the managers have been eroded by investors heading for the door.”

Cited by Bloomberg, “the drop-off in inflows and then redemptions forces these funds to eat into their liquidity buffer,” much of which is held in real estate investment trust shares, Mike Prew, an analyst at Jefferies LLC, said in a note to clients on Tuesday.

While traders around the globe had been mostly focused on the downstream effects slamming Italian banks in recent weeks, the news of “freezing” UK property funds spooked global markets, and as a result the pound fell to its weakest level in three decades against the dollar Tuesday, surpassing lows reached in the aftermath …read more

Source: "The Dominoes Are Fallling": Three Largest UK Property Funds Freeze $12 Billion In Assets, More To Come

    

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Climate, Energy, Economy: Pick Two

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog,

We used to have this saying that if someone asks you to do a job good, fast and cheap, you’d say: pick two. You can have it good and cheap, but then it won’t be fast, etc. As our New Zealand correspondent Dr. Nelson Lebo III explains below, when it comes to our societies we face a similar issue with our climate, energy and the economy.

Not the exact same, but similar, just a bit more complicated. You can’t have your climate nice and ‘moderate’, your energy cheap and clean, and your economy humming along just fine all at the same time. You need to make choices. That’s easy to understand.

Where it gets harder is here: if you pick energy and economy as your focus, the climate suffers (for climate you can equally read ‘the planet’, or ‘the ecosystem’). Focus on climate and energy, and the economy plunges. So far so ‘good’.

But when you emphasize climate and economy, you get stuck. There is no way the two can be ‘saved’ with our present use of fossil fuels, and our highly complex economic systems cannot run on renewables (for one thing, the EROEI is not nearly good enough).

It therefore looks like focusing on climate and economy is a dead end. It’s either/or. Something will have to give, and moreover, many things already have. Better be ahead of the game if you don’t want to be surprised by these things. Be resilient.

But this is Nelson’s piece, not mine. The core of his argument is worth remembering:

Everything that is not resilient to high energy prices and extreme weather events will become economically unviable…

…and approach worthlessness. On the other hand,…

Investments of time, energy, and money in resilience will become more economically valuable…”

Here’s Nelson:

Nelson Lebo: There appear to be increasing levels of anxiety among environmental activists around the world and in my own community in New Zealand. After all, temperature records are being set at a pace equal only to that of Stephen Curry and LeBron James in the NBA Finals. A recent Google news headline said it all: “May is the 8th consecutive month to break global temperature records.”

In other words, October of last year set a record for the highest recorded global monthly temperature, and then it was bettered by November, which was bettered by December, January, and on through May. The hot streak is like that of Lance Armstrong’s Tour De France dominance, but we all know how that turned out in the end.

Making history – like the Irish rugby side in South Africa recently – is usually a time to celebrate. Setting a world record would normally mean jubilation – not so when it comes to climate.

Responses to temperature records range from sorrow, despair, anger, and even fury. Anyone with children or grandchildren (and even the childless) who believes in peer review and an overwhelming scientific consensus has every right to feel these emotions. So why do I …read more

Source: Climate, Energy, Economy: Pick Two

    

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A Mob Of ‘Foreign Youths’ Assault 35 Females At Swedish Music Festival

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By Tyler Durden

The number of sexual assaults in Europe as a result of the refugee crisis has been something that we have covered extensively, most notably the “monstrous” attacks by men “of Arab or North African origin” that occurred on German women in Cologne during a New Year celebration (that led to the ministry actually trying to scrub the word “rape” from internal reports). However, there have been other instances, such as an assault by a “dark skinned” man on a 13 year old girl at a pool in the town of Mistelbach, Austria. Now we learn that a mob of “foreign youths” sexually assaulted 35 females as young as 12 years old at a Swedish music festival.

At least 35 females aged between 12 and 17 reported being attacked during the Party in the Park festival in Karlstad on Friday and Saturday night, and some of the alleged victims reported being 'kissed and groped' in a situation reminiscent of the Cologne New Year attacks the Daily Mail reports.

17 year old victim Alexandra Larsson waived her right to anonymity to describe in detail how an attacker targeted her while Larsson was watching the event. Larsson tells how boys that “were not from a Swedish background” started groping her, and threatening her by saying “you will die, b***h.”

From The Daily Mail

'Everything was okay at the beginning of the evening. But things got out of hand during the last concert with John de Sohn that started at midnight.

'At first we were pushed right up against the stage by the massive crowd. Everyone around us behaved really badly and my friends told a couple of boys to quieten down.

They were then threatened by the boys who said “you will die, b***h”. But the verbal abuse was just beginning. It would become much worse.

'We managed to walk away from those boys after a while and started watching the concert. That was when I felt the first touch against my bottom.

'Then someone took the liberty of grabbing my butt really hard. I turned away and said to the group of boys behind us that this was not okay, but I did not know who had done it. After a while, I felt someone running his fingers between my legs touching my genitals. Luckily, I had jeans on me.'

After the harassment, she turned around and said to the group of young men standing next to her that they should stop what they were doing. But everyone around her claimed to be innocent. It then happened again, she said.

'I turned around and screamed right out that “whoever it was – you're a pig!” I told my friends what had just happened and they were all shocked. Me and my girlfriends decided to leave the concert, because we could not see who it was. It was just a sea of ??people.'

Ms Larsson described a feeling of powerlessness as the festival she and her friends had been looking …read more

Source: A Mob Of ‘Foreign Youths’ Assault 35 Females At Swedish Music Festival

    

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Saxo Fears "Cascading Implosion" As Italian Bank Collapse Continues

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By Tyler Durden

While the picture is a little more mixed today in Italian banks, as it appears investors are picking winners and losers rather than just broadly dumping it all, Monte Paschi is a standout disaster. Having crashed 45% since Brexit and with CDS implying a 40%-plus probability of default, the major Italian bank also has the worst 'Texas ratio' as stress tests loom… As Saxo's Peter Garnry warns “an implosion of the Italian banking system would cascade into other European banks and the funding market, creating disorderly markets and lower sentiment causing a slowdown in economic growth and also prices.”

From bad to worse…

And as Saxo Bank's head of equity strategy Peter Garnry notes, Italian banks need a solution… quickly!

The biggest theme emerging in the post-Brexit world is the evolving banking crisis in Italy which has actually been under way since the beginning of the year as the new non-performing exposure rules started to be enforced by the European Banking Authority.

UniCredit, Intesa, Monte Paschi, Banco Popolare, and UBI collectively had €119 billion in unprovisioned non-performing loans at the end of Q1 with UniCredit’s exposure being the critical piece in the overall European banking system.

The Italian banking system has around €400bn in total non-performing loans. The aggregate common equity among Italian publicly-listed banks was around €125B (as of the end of Q1) and around 75% of the uncovered non-performing loans.

Another way to understand the Italian banking crisis is through the lens of the Texas Ratio, which measures the amount of non-performing assets and loans (including loans delinquent for more than 90 days) divided by the bank’s tangible equity plus its loan loss reserve.

A ratio above 100% is big warning signal.

Seven out of the 47 banks in the Euro STOXX 600 Banks Index are currently above that threshold with three of those being Italian banks. But just below the threshold two Italian banks – UniCredit and Intesa – follow, showing the magnitude of the Italian banking crisis.

* * *

While 'hope' for non bail-in bailouts remains, Garnry concludes, it is more likely, should the situation deteriorate further, that the European Central Bank will inject capital into Italian banks in return for collateral under the mandate of price stability. An implosion of the Italian banking system would cascade into other European banks and the funding market, creating disorderly markets and lower sentiment causing a slowdown in economic growth and also prices.

As inflation is already barely above zero, another wave of downward pressure on consumer prices would force the ECB to act. Under such interpretation of price stability, the ECB could become the bailout mechanism for Italian banks, but it would come at a cost to shareholders and creditors.

"Here They Come Again!" – Precious Metals Traders See Third Smackdown

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By Tyler Durden

For the third time since Friday’s close, gold and silver prices are being vertically challenged by an urgent ‘seller’. In the latest round of monkey-hammering ‘someone’ decided to opportunistically sell over $1 billion notional gold in 5 minutes…

As one veteran PM trader exclaimed “here they come again,” – we presume meaning The BIS…

…read more

Source: "Here They Come Again!" – Precious Metals Traders See Third Smackdown

    

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WTF Chart Of The Day – Factory Orders Collapse To Longest Streak In US History

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By Tyler Durden

For the 19th month in a row, US Factory Orders decline YoY (-1.2% for May) with a 1% drop MoM. Simply put, in 60 years of historical data, the US economy has never, ever suffered a 19 month stretch of consecutive annual declines

And yet we are supposed to believe there is no recession?

What happens next?

Charts: Bloomberg

…read more

Source: WTF Chart Of The Day – Factory Orders Collapse To Longest Streak In US History

    

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