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Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

China ETF Tumbles After MSCI Snubs China For 2nd Time, Delays Inclusion In Emerging Market Index

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By Tyler Durden

While nowhere near comparable to the euphoria from last year, when hopes that China would be included in the MSCI emerging market index led to a tremendous rally in Chinese stocks on expectations of substantial inflows once asset managers had to allocate funds to China…

… today’s silver lining for the US bulls, and certainly China mainland investors, was the expectation that after having snubbed China last year, MSCI would at least include it today.

Alas no such luck, because moments ago Bloomberg reports that…

  • MSCI TO DELAY CHINA A-SHARES IN EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

As MSCI notes there are “significant improvements” in accessibility of the China A shares market for global investors and MSCI will retain China A shares inclusion proposal as part of 2017 market classification review, however not yet. MSCI also doesn’t rule out potential off-cycle announcement should added significant positive developments occur before June 2017.

They won’t.

Sorry China, and better luck in 2017. Meanwhile, the China CSI-300 ETF tracker is tumbling as all those who had frontrun an event which Goldman said had a 74% probability of happening, unwind their positions.

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Source: China ETF Tumbles After MSCI Snubs China For 2nd Time, Delays Inclusion In Emerging Market Index

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Stocks Plunge Most In 4 Months As Yuan Turmoils To 5-Year Lows

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By Tyler Durden

Stallone plays Janet Yellen (sarah is 'the market') ahead of tomorrow…

Bunds joining the Swiss and Japanese in negative 10Y yields land was perhaps the biggest news today…

And the market now sees a higher risk of a rate cut tomorrow than a rate hike..

Which is ironic since US equities are now unchanged since The Fed raised rates in December…

But European stocks won't stop falling… Portugal, Spain, and Italy down 10% in June so far

Led by the big banks at record lows…

And counterparty risk and funding markets are beginning to stress…

As Brexit odds soar to record highs…

Yuan plunged to new 5 year lows.. along with US Treasury curve… as stocks ignore everything (for now)

The last 3 days' drop in the S&P is the biggest in over 4 months…as S&P cash broke back below the crucial 50-day moving average…

The European close marked the near lows today as stocks bounced…

VIX broke above 22 today briefly before sliding back lower (seems like some lifting of hedges and reduction of underlying exposure)…

But the afternoon meltup was all about making sure the S&P closed above its 50DMA at 2076…but failed…

Since the piss-poor payrolls print, things have gone a little turbo…

Credit card companies tumbled on Synchrony concerns on consumer loans…

As financials start to catch down to the yield curve… again!

Treasury yields rose today after initially plunging but remain lower on the week (though 2Y managed to get back to unch – will The Fed hike?)…

The US Dollar Index rose for the 3rd time in 4 days…

As Cable plunged to 2 month lows…(down 4 of the last 5 days – biggest 5day drop in 4 months)

Despite the USD gains, Gold eked out a small gain today as crude slipped lower (ahead of tonight's API data)

Gold topped $1290, ramping off European opening slam…

Finally, we note that Credit Suisse Fear Barometer has soared back near record highs…

And CNN's Fear & Greed index – that we warned about here – has tumbled from “Extreme Greed”..

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: A Year ago, China …read more

Source: Stocks Plunge Most In 4 Months As Yuan Turmoils To 5-Year Lows

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Leno relieved to be out of late-night amid Trump era

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Jay Leno spent 20 years at the epicenter of political comedy, but he’s watching this year’s historic campaign from the sidelines. And what he mostly feels, he said, is a sense of relief.

Podcast favorites: Blindsided: How ISIS Shook The World | Bernie gets the Axe | Guns in America

…read more

Source: Leno relieved to be out of late-night amid Trump era

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Now The Podesta Group Gets Involved: Claims Story Of Saudi Funding For Hillary Was "A Hack"

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By Tyler Durden

In what may have been the most surprising news yesterday, we cited a report by Middle East Eye, which caught a release posted on the official Jordan News Agency (Petra), which was subsequently promptly taken down, according to which Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman made various traditionally diplomatic statements about the US ahead of his visit to the US, which also included the stunning claim that Riyadh has provided 20% of the total funding to the prospective Democratic candidate’s campaign, something which is considered illegal.

This is what bin Salman was quoted as saying:

“Saudi Arabia always has sponsored both Republican and Democratic Party of America and in America current election also provide with full enthusiasm 20 percent of the cost of Hillary Clinton’s election even though some events in the country don’t have a positive look to support the king of a woman (sic) for presidency.“

Many questions emerged: was this true; why did the Saudi prince say this; but most notably, why was it taken down so fast?

In a bizarre explanation, MEE reports today that the official Jordan news agency said on Tuesday that it was hacked when, over the weekend, when the story briefly appeared on its website.

As we reported yesterday, while this stunning report was hosted by Petra for a few hours, the report did not remain on the website for long. In the meantime, the Washington-based Institute for Gulf Affairs later re-published an Arabic version of it, which quoted Prince Mohammed as having said Saudi Arabia had provided with “full enthusiasm” an undisclosed amount of money to Clinton.

The story quickly made the rounds, and prompted Donald Trump to post the following note on his Facebook page: “Crooked Hillary says we must call on Saudi Arabia and other countries to stop funding hate. I am calling on her to immediately return the $25 million plus she got from them for the Clinton Foundation!”

At this point the big guns had no choice but to get involved

According to an update by MEE today, on Monday a spokesperson for American public relations firm the Podesta Group contacted MEE to say that they work with the Saudi Royal Court and to request a correction to the earlier story that said the Jordanian news agency had deleted the quotes from Prince Mohammed.

Senior global communications specialist Will Bohlen – who, prior to joining Podesta, was chief researcher for a best-selling history of Bill Clinton’s presidency – sent a link to a clarification issued by the Petra News Agency which said it was “totally false and untrue” that they had published then deleted the quotes from Prince Mohammed about funding the Clinton campaign.

“A technical failure on Petra ’s website occurred for a few minutes on Sunday evening, 12 June 2016,” the Jordanian news agency said. “Protection systems at the agency as well as the technical department noticed that and therefore, they suspended the transmission system and the electronic site and moved to the alternative …read more

Source: Now The Podesta Group Gets Involved: Claims Story Of Saudi Funding For Hillary Was "A Hack"

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Bilderberg Chairman Warns Brexit Possibility "Extremely High"

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By Tyler Durden

Just day after their mysterious annual meeting in Dresden, it appears The Bilderberg Group’s gravest concern is Brexit. While everything from The Middle East to Donald Trump was on the agenda, the remarks this week from AXA CEO (and Chairman of The Bilderberg Group) Henri de Castries that there is an “extremely high” probability that the U.K. will vote to leave the European Union and investors will face “a true landscape of uncertainties,” suggest the establishment is concerned.

As Bloomberg reports, neither the U.K. nor the EU region is prepared for negotiations that would follow a vote to leave on June 23, de Castries said at a conference in Paris…

“If they remain, the situation isn’t simple either, and this is underestimated by lots of people,” because the result will be interpreted differently by each side, he said.

De Castries, who is stepping down from France’s largest insurer at the start of September, became one of the few executives to speak out on the likelihood of a British vote to exit the EU. The Sun, Britain’s biggest-selling newspaper, backed a so-called Brexit on its front page on Tuesday. Several polls on Monday also put the “Leave” campaign ahead. The pound and European stocks plunged.

If the U.K. votes to leave the EU, any complacency in the subsequent negotiations could encourage some other countries to seek special treatment within the political bloc, threatening “to accelerate the unraveling of Europe,” de Castries said.

Think that this is a “tempest in a teapot”? Think again. If the chairman of The Bilderberg Group is worried, then that means all of these entitites are ‘worried’ and preparing…

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Source: Bilderberg Chairman Warns Brexit Possibility "Extremely High"

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

There Needs to be a Chinese Wall between Monetary Policy and Markets (Video)

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By EconMatters

By EconMatters

The Paul Krugman if we only do more ZIRP model has officially and finally been proven a failure with absolute certainty. Anybody asserting this economic nonsense should be embarrassed by the Academic community writ large. New legislation is required for restricting Central Bank Authority going forward.

Central Banks are doing the exact opposite of what they should be doing, causing the very conditions they are trying to fix through continued policy methods of ZIRP and Asset Purchases. Not only are Central Banks the initial cause of the existing deflationary growth spiral around the world, they are exacerbating the problem by doubling down on ineffectual policy and thereby causing additional downward impetus to the negative feedback loop of inefficient capital allocation choices by investors and capital markets.

If you want to spur growth around the globe start respecting capital, pay a respectful interest rate for capital, positively reinforce investors to put capital to work in the actual economy with real growth projects and not stuck chasing low margin yield strategies in bond markets further reinforced by Central Bank Asset Purchases – this is the definition of Capital Hoarding and Deflationary for Global Growth from a capital allocation standpoint.

The Japan Economic Model has failed and the closer other Central Banks come to emulating this model the more their economies will resemble Japan`s slow growth economy. I realize this is a hard concept for economist`s to get because it is slightly counter intuitive to economics in general, but makes sense when talking about setting incentives for financial markets and capital investment choices. If you want to incentivize positive investment strategies and get this money out chasing real growth opportunities you don`t do this with negative interest rates but the exact opposite you do it with higher interest rates. You don`t effectuate this change in investor behavior by charging interest on deposits this is backward thinking policy, you just raise interest rates dramatically around the world and watch what happens to all this hoarded capital in storage around the globe in the banking and financial market system.

Because we are just not talking about the banking system but financial markets as well which have become inexorably linked and meshed with the banking system even more so with the advent of ZIRP. A low interest rate has negative consequences that reverberate throughout the entire financial market system and eventually resulting in what we have now – a capital hoarding bubble just on the verge of a tipping point of absurdity reflected in the German 10 Year Bund today finally going negative in one of the best performing economies in Europe.

Forget about providing the necessary conditions for the next financial market instability black swan event, ZIRP and Asset Purchases just plain don`t work on any extended time frame past an emergency liquidity shortage phase of 6-8 months. Where is the academic community in all this as well, we have over 30 years of documented evidence that ZIRP fails …read more

Source: There Needs to be a Chinese Wall between Monetary Policy and Markets (Video)

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

US Equity Plunge Erases All Post-Fed-Rate-Hike Gains

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By Tyler Durden

Well that escalated quickly…

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Source: US Equity Plunge Erases All Post-Fed-Rate-Hike Gains

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

GoFundMe for Orlando victims hits $2.4 million

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Source: GoFundMe for Orlando victims hits $2.4 million

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

One Day After Warning Of World War III, Gartman Turns "Marginally Net Long"

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By Tyler Durden

Few things are as amusing as the embedded humor in Dennis Gartman’s daily newsletter.

For today’s moment of comedic Zen, we read that one day after the “world-renowned commodity guru” and familial tie-facilitated CNBC Fast Money fixture warned that “the world is finally awakening to the fact that World War III has begun in earnest; that the Islamic World and the Judeo-Christian world are now truly at war in the aftermath of the murders in Orlando over the weekend”, warning that “in this light equity investment is wholly ill-advised” and that as a result he had flip-flopped from a “modest” net long, ending “last week in our retirement account here at TGL modestly net short of the market in general”, he has once again flipped, and is now, drumroll please, “marginally net long.”

To wit:

Stocks in global terms have fallen by 0.8% since we marked the markets for the first time this week. For the year-to-date, stocks in global terms are actually down 2.2% while stocks here in the US as represented by the S&P are up 1.7%. Further, the bear market that began in late May of last year when our International Index hit 11,185… its all-time high…is now all the more severe for stocks globally are down 17.2% and a decline by that sum is bearish in anyone’s estimation. More weakness is likely.

Note then the swift/sharp decline that has taken place in the CNN Fear & Greed Index. This index has fallen from 80… a historically high level that argued for weaker share prices… to 53 presently and it is heading toward “fear” levels with uncommon speed. It may take several weeks and a great deal of distance to the downside before “Fear” is the driving force in the markets and it shall then be right to be a buyer of equities once again.

As for our own positions in our retirement fund, for the year-to-date we are +3.3% and are thus beating the year-to- date returns of both our International Index and of the S&P. We are marginally net long as of last night’s close although we became marginally net less so early in the session as we added a bit to our short derivatives position. We are long of the same high-tech, “cloud” related equity that we have been long of for the past two weeks and we are long of metals, but rather than being long of aluminium we sold out of those shares and replaced them once again with the shares of the US largest steel manufacturers. We are long also, of course, of gold in EUR and Yen denominated terms.

And that’s how you “beat” the “market.”

Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

ISIS-Linked Islamist Kills Two French Policemen In Latest "Abject Act Of Terrorism"

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By Tyler Durden

A few new details have emerged in the murder of a policeman and his wife (also a police officer) in a Paris suburb that we reported late last night in which ISIS has taken credit for.

#ISIS ‘Amaq posted report in Arabic & English, saying that perpetrator was an “Islamic State fighter ” #LesMureaux pic.twitter.com/D6j6Y6hfcI

— SITE Intel Group (@siteintelgroup) June 13, 2016

“God has enabled one of the caliphate’s soldiers in city of Les Mureaux near Paris to stab to death the deputy police chief and his wife,” an official broadcast on its Albayan Radio said.

Sources have identified the assailant as Larossi Abballa, 25, a Frenchman of Moroccan origin, who had previously been was jailed in 2013 for helping Islamist militants go to Pakistan and had been under security service surveillance, including wiretaps, at the time of the attack, police sources said. Abballa walked up to a policeman (not in uniform) and stabbed him repeatedly outside of his home in Magnanville, a northwestern suburb of Paris, before going into the house and holing up with the policeman’s partner and the couple’s three-year-old son.

“An abject act of terrorism was carried out yesterday in Magnanville,” Interior Minister Bernard Cazeneuve said after an emergency government meeting, before visiting Les Mureaux, where the police commander worked.

Abballa allegedly posted a 13 minute video to Facebook Live in which he swore allegiance to IS, and was apparently shown considering what to do with the couple’s son – “I don’t know yet what I’m going to do with him” Abballa is heard saying according to French jihad expert David Thompson, who saw the video. AP adds that Abballa was once convicted of recruiting jihadi fighters.

A Facebook profile bearing the name Larossi Abballa — which vanished from the internet early Tuesday — showed a photo of a smiling, bearded man. Two recent posts featured videos critical of Israel and Saudi Arabia. The last publicly available post was a mock-up of the European Championship logo, highlighting what the poster said were masonic and occult symbols. “Some will say we see evil everywhere!” Abballa said in a message posted about 18 hours before the attack.

Loud detonations were heard at the scene as elite RAID police moved in around midnight following failed negotiations with the attacker. The attacker was killed during the assault, and sadly the woman was found dead inside the house. However, thankfully, the little boy was “in shock but unharmed.”


Sources close to the inquiry and speaking on condition of anonymity said Abballa claimed allegiance to Islamic State while talking to officers, and witnesses told investigators the man may have shouted “Allahu akbar” as he stabbed the policeman.

The killer had a prior terrorism conviction French officials say. Abballa was convicted in 2013 to three years in prison, including six months suspended for “criminal association with the aim of preparing terrorist acts.”

President Hollande said …read more

Source: ISIS-Linked Islamist Kills Two French Policemen In Latest "Abject Act Of Terrorism"

    

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Posted June 14th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

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