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Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Trump Victory Odds Soar As The Hillary Clinton ‘Death Cross’ Strikes

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By Tyler Durden

ABC, Fox News, and Rasmussen now have polls suggesting Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton nationally and for the first time during this campaign RealClearPolitics 'tracker' has Trump with a 0.2pt lead – the unofficial “death cross” of Clinton's campaign as Wayne Allyn Root right remarks “Hillary is sinking faster than the Titanic.” Voters are putting their money where their polls are too as bookies odds of a Hillary victory in November are tumbling.

Hillary's lead has gone as the blue line “death cross”-es below Trump's rising red line…

Source: RealClearPolitics

And the bookies' odds of a Clinton victory in November are sliding to 2-month lows as Trump's hit record highs…

Source: PredictIt

This comes as Mark Cuban said in an interview with NBC anchor Chuck Todd on “Meet the Press,” that he would consider being the running mate for either Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton or presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump.

He said he liked that Clinton “had thought out proposals.”

“That's a good thing because at least we get to see exactly where she stands,” he said. “But I think Sen. [Bernie] Sanders has dragged her a little bit too far to the left.”

And Cuban, who called himself an independent, said he would also be open to discussing a vice presidential spot with Trump.

“I’d have the same conversation for Donald,” he said. “I think Donald has a real chance to win, and that’s scary to a lot of people. But what's scary about it to me is that you can see him now trying to do what he thinks is right to unify the party.”

Either way America remains deeply divided…

And try as they might, The Donald does not fit neatly into the liberal/conservative stereotypes beloved by journalists, especially pinko ones. As CLSA's Chris Wood notes,

The pinko paper’s aggregate demand obsessed Martin Wolf stated this week: “Mr Trump is a misogynist, a racist and a xenophobe” (see Financial Times article “An elite at the mercy of its own creation”, 18 May 2016).

Meanwhile, the establishment media’s continuing efforts to disparage The Donald are likely to backfire in GREED & fear’s view because the electorate at large is fed up with politically correct discourse, most particularly white men. On the latter point, GREED & fear’s attention was caught by a poll this week which showed that Trump has a 53% support rating among whites whereas he only has 28% support among Hispanics and a mere 9% among blacks. This is an important point in a country which remains obsessed about “race”, and which politics remains strongly influenced by race, just as Britain remains obsessed by “class” even if no one wants to admit it.

Still if Trump’s lack of appeal outside the white world represents a formidable obstacle in an election, it does not mean it is impossible for him to win since whites, for now at least, are still the majority in America accounting for 66% of the voting-age population. …read more

Source: Trump Victory Odds Soar As The Hillary Clinton ‘Death Cross’ Strikes

    

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These Americans Are Preparing For War With Their Own Government

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By Tyler Durden

During the Oregon standoff, where a group of US citizens calling themselves the Citizens for Constitutional Freedom, seized control of a federal wildlife refuge in protest of harsh sentences being given to members of a ranching family for allegedly allowing fires set on their property to spread on to federal land, Ron Paul posed a question: Is the event isolated, or a sign of things to come?

It is becoming increasingly apparent that the Oregon standoff was the latter.

As the Washington Post writes, there is a significant movement among US citizens that are demanding that the federal government adhere to the Constitution, and stop what they see as systematic abuse of land rights, gun rights, freedom of speech and other liberties.

One example of this movement is a group in Oregon that calls itself the Central Oregon Constitutional Guard. The group refers to themselves as patriots, and is made up of people from all walks of life. The organization describes itself as a “defensive unit against all enemies foreign and domestic”, mainly because they believe the government is capable of unprovoked aggression against its own people.

Deep in the heart of a vast U.S. military training ground, surrounded by spent shotgun shells and juniper trees blasted to shreds, the Central Oregon Constitutional Guard was conducting its weekly firearms training.

“The intent is to be able to work together and defend ourselves if we need to,” said Soper, 40, a building contractor who is an emerging leader in a growing national movement rooted in distrust of the federal government, one that increasingly finds itself in armed conflicts with authorities.

Those in the movement call themselves patriots, demanding that the federal government adhere to the Constitution and stop what they see as systematic abuse of land rights, gun rights, freedom of speech and other liberties.

Law enforcement officials call them dangerous, delusional and sometimes violent, and say that their numbers are growing amid a wave of anger at the government that has been gaining strength since 2008, a surge that coincided with the election of the first black U.S. president and a crippling economic recession.

Soper started his group, which consists of about 30 men, women and children from a handful of families, two years ago as a “defensive unit” against “all enemies foreign and domestic.” Mainly, he’s talking about the federal government, which he thinks is capable of unprovoked aggression against its own people.

The group’s members are drywallers and flooring contractors, nurses and painters and high school students, who stockpile supplies, practice survival skills and “basic infantry” tactics, learn how to treat combat injuries, study the Constitution and train with their concealed handguns and combat-style rifles.

“It doesn’t say in our Constitution that you can’t stand up and defend yourself,” Soper said. “We’ve let the government step over the line and rule us, and that was never the intent of this country.”

Law enforcement officials and watchdog groups are branding such organizations as anti-government extremists of course, and even …read more

Source: These Americans Are Preparing For War With Their Own Government

    

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Hedge funds hate Apple … but love Facebook

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Apple was dumped most often by hedge funds in the first quarter while big money managers added a big chunk of Facebook. Still, most top hedge fund holdings lagged the performance of the S&P 500.

…read more

Source: Hedge funds hate Apple … but love Facebook

    

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Democratic Party Warns Sanders Supporters May "Instigate Actual Violence" At Convention

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By Tyler Durden

While Hillary continues to remind everyone that her nomination is a “done deal”, supporters of Bernie Sanders refuse to go quietly into the night. Bernie’s supporters put so much pressure on establishment Senator Barbara Boxer that she suffered an unfortunate meltdown in Nevada recently; they plan to do the same at the Democratic National Convention in July as well.

According to The Hill, Sanders supporters are planning a massive rally that could have as many as 30,000 participants, although organizers hope to have the number end up much larger. Permits for four demonstrations at the Philadelphia convention have already been secured, and now the focus is on getting as many people to attend as possible.

More from The Hill:

Bernie Sanders’s supporters have secured permits for four demonstrations near July’s Democratic National Convention, according to a new report.

The events will rally support for Sanders’s message while Democrats select their presidential nominee in Philadelphia, according to The Wall Street Journal.

The Wall Street Journal on Friday reported that one permit authorizes an event consisting of four days of all-day rallies at FDR Park.

Philadelphia expects at least 30,000 participants; organizers are hoping the turnout is even higher. The park is located close to the Wells Fargo Center, putting it in close proximity to the convention’s epicenter.

The Wall Street Journal said that the other three events are scheduled for Thomas Paine Plaza, which is located a few miles from the convention’s venue. Philadelphia expects around 2,000 to 3,000 fans demonstrating for the independent Vermont senator at those events.

Just like in the case of the Republican race before it was made clear that Trump would win by a landslide, now it is the Democratic establishment’s turn to use every trick in the playbook to try and marginalize anyone who dares go against them, with the Nevada State Democratic Party warning recently that the demonstrations may be used to instigate “actual violence.Which is even more ironic because until recently its was Trump supporters who were saying precisely that only to be laughed down by the media.

The claim of violence was quickly downplayed by Bill Taylor, one of the events organizers.

“We are marching,” he said. “If you’re planning on coming here with violence in mind, we don’t want you.”

The Democratic establishment will likely end up winning the push for Hillary as its nominee, but one major legacy has remained as a result of what already has been the most surreal presidential race in history: the voices of those who are not part of the establishment, and who want real genuine change to a broken system, are no longer silent and have understood they too can and will be heard.

"I Am Not Your Experiment" – Thousands Around The World Protest GMO Giant Monsanto

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By Tyler Durden

A little over a year ago, GMO giant Monsanto was furious at the World Health Organization for linking glypshophate, the chief ingredient in weed killer Roundup, to cancer. As a result Monsanto immediately demanded that WHO retract said report, saying that the report was biased and contradicts regulatory findings that the ingredient, glyphosate, is safe when used as labeled.

A working group at WHO said after reviewing scientific literature it was classifying glyphosate as “probably carcinogenic to humans.” Howeber Monsanto was relentless and said that “we question the quality of the assessment,” according to Philip Miller, Monsanto vice president of global regulatory affairs. “The WHO has something to explain.”

In retrospect it may have been Monsanto who had something to explain, which it did, indirectly, when last week another report was released, this time from the U.N.’s Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), according to which Roundup’s glyphosphate is unlikely to cause cancer in people. Continuing the explanation, diazinon and malathion, two other pesticides reviewed by the committee, which met last week and published its conclusions on Monday, were also found to be unlikely to be carcinogenic.

“In view of the absence of carcinogenic potential in rodents at human-relevant doses and the absence of genotoxicity by the oral route in mammals, and considering the epidemiological evidence from occupational exposures, the meeting concluded that glyphosate is unlikely to pose a carcinogenic risk to humans from exposure through the diet,” the committee said.

As Reuters itself notes, the conclusions appear to contradict the abovementioned finding by the WHO’s Lyon-based International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), which in March 2015 said glyphosate is “probably” able to cause cancer in humans and classified it as a ‘Group 2A’ carcinogen. This is when the alarm bells at Monsanto went off and, according to some, the company’s spending on favorable reports shot through the roof. The result was immediate.

Seven months after the IARC review, the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), an independent agency funded by the European Union, published a different assessment, saying glyphosate is “unlikely to pose a carcinogenic hazard to humans”. The United States’ Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), which first assessed glyphosate in 1986 and has reviewed it several times since then, had also previously concluded it has “low toxicity for humans”.

In other words, whether or not a Monsanto compound is carcinogenic may depend on how much in “research funding” Monsanto has spent in advance to the writers of the study.

In any case, whether Roundup causes cancer or not, the opinion of millions of people around the world is already be made up, and as RT reports more than 400 simultaneous demonstrations around the world are voicing fury at US biotech leviathan Monsanto, which is now facing a hostile takeover from German pharmaceuticals company Bayer (a transaction which ha stunned analysts and shareholders who warn Bayer would need to take on too much debt and dilute equity holdings in its quest to acquire an embattled target).

But while Bayer …read more

Source: "I Am Not Your Experiment" – Thousands Around The World Protest GMO Giant Monsanto

    

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Iran Mocks Obama Again, Test-Fires 2 More Ballistic Missiles

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By Tyler Durden

Following numerous violations of last summer’s landmark comprehensive nuclear agreement, as Iran repeatedly test fired ballistic missile rockets in direct contravention of the treaty terms, a curious tangent emerged last week when a senior Iranian military commander claimed that U.S. officials had been “appeasing” the Iranian regime, and quietly encouraging the Islamic Republic to keep its illicit ballistic missile tests a secret so as not to raise concerns in the region, according to Persian language comments.

As the Free Beacon reported, Amir Ali Hajizadeh, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps’ Aerospace and Missile Force, said in recent remarks that the Obama administration does not want Iran to publicize its ongoing missile tests, which have raised questions about the Islamic Republic’s commitment to last summer’s comprehensive nuclear agreement.

“At this time, the Americans are telling [us]: ‘Don’t talk about missile affairs, and if you conduct a test or maneuver, don’t mention it,’” Hajizadeh was quoted as saying during a recent Persian-language speech that was translated by the Middle East Media Research Institute.

“If we agree to this, they will advance another step, and say: ‘Don’t conduct [a missile test] at this time, and also don’t do it in the Persian Gulf region.’ After that, they will tell us: ‘Why do you need your missiles to have a range of 2,000 km anyway?’ Hajizadeh reportedly said.

In other words, far from giving the US a right of first refusal on Iranian military activity, the Obama administration had effectively lost all control over what the National Guard would do, and its only recourse was to hope Iran keeps quiet.

That plan, however, appears be a spectacular failure as overnight the Mehr news agency announced reported that the Iranian military has successfully carried out launches of two short-range ballistic missiles during ground forces exercises, local media reported Sundayl it added that the improved versions of Nazeat and Fajr-5 missiles were used during the first stage of the two-day drills in Kashan’s Maranjab Desert and Isfahan’s Nasrabad region.

Mehr adds that the Iranian Army’s Ground Forces have successfully test-fired Naze’at rockets in Beit-ul-Muqaddas 28 drill on Suanday.
Launched in central Iran on Sunday, the Beit-ul-Muqaddas 28 war game started with successful test-fire of N-6 and N-10 Naze’at and Fajr 5 rockets. Army’s long-ranged artillery also hit the predetermined targets successfully during the operation.

“The message of Beit-ul-Muqaddas 28 military drill is peace and friendship in the region; Iranian Army is getting ready to confront extra-regional threats and the aim of the maneuver is to improve the defense capabilities and exercise the tactics practiced at military courses during proxy and asymmetric wars,” said Iranian Army’s Ground Forces Commander Brigadier General Ahmad Reza Pourdastan before the drill opening on Sunday.

He added that “the Beit-ol-Moqaddas-28 military drills aimed at enhancing defensive capabilities, training techniques in asymmetric war and test-firing improved weapons of the Iranian Army.”

As Sputnik reminds us, Iran’s target of boosting its national defense program has sparked concerns among the international community, despite reassurances from …read more

Source: Iran Mocks Obama Again, Test-Fires 2 More Ballistic Missiles

    

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Fight for Viacom and Redstone’s empire heats up

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Viacom fired back at its Chairman Emeritus Sumner Redstone on Saturday. The move came after Redstone ousted Viacom CEO Philippe Dauman from the board of the company that controls both Viacom and CBS. …read more

Source: Fight for Viacom and Redstone’s empire heats up

    

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Buy Silver – “Best Precious Metals Trade”

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By GoldCore

Gold/silver ratio chart

Buy Silver – “Best Precious Metals Trade”

“Buy silver, sell gold” is the bold call of currency, bullion and money analyst Dominic Frisby in the latest edition of best selling Money Week.

Frisby looks at the relative value of silver to gold and comes to the conclusion that silver is a better buy right now. We share his bullish view on silver and hence our current campaign regarding VAT free silver coins.

From the article:

“Today we consider gold and silver.

We suggest that you should buy one and sell the other.

We then advise walking away for a couple of years…

Silver and Mother Nature’s ratio

There is, say the wise old men of geological lore, something like 15 times as much silver in the Earth’s crust as there is gold. Received wisdom is that in days gone by, the value of silver relative to gold reflected the amount of metal Mother Nature has given us: gold was, for hundreds of years, about 15 times the price of silver.

Last year 27,579 tonnes of silver were produced (according to my most reliable of precious metal data sources, Nick Laird of Sharelynx) and about 3,000 tonnes of gold. In other words, just over nine times as much as silver as gold was produced.

However, the gold price – about $1,270 an ounce – is about 75 times silver’s price of $17 an ounce. What gives?”

Dominic kindly mentions us as a bullion dealer who will buy gold bullion from you and sell silver coins and bars to you:

“If you want to buy physical silver, our friends in Dublin, the precious metals dealers GoldCore, have a new scheme whereby you can buy silver coins VAT-free. They’ll also, as most dealers will, buy your gold”.

We make a market in all popular bullion formats from small gold sovereigns to large 400 ounce gold bars and at the risk of doing ourselves out of business, we would caution against selling gold bullion right now.

Sell paper and digital gold, like Bullion Vault, maybe but not physical gold coins and bars. Rather both physical gold and silver bullion should be owned as financial insurance and hedges against currency debasement, bail ins, systemic and counter party risks and the myriad other risks today.

There is the possibility that gold continues to outperform silver in the short term. This is quite likely if we get another bout of severe deflation and the next stage of the global financial crisis. There is also the real chance of the currency reset where gold prices are revalued by the global monetary authorities to $5,000 to $10,000 per ounce. This could see silver underperform in the short term.

Silver remains severely undervalued versus gold but more particularly versus stocks, bonds and other financial – digital and paper – assets and we believe will outperform most assets in the coming years. Allocations to both depend on risk appetite and motivations for buying.

Read the full article by Dominic Frisby on MoneyWeek here.

Market Updates This Week

Bank Bail-Ins Pose Risks To Depositors, …read more

Source: Buy Silver – “Best Precious Metals Trade”

    

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Stock Share Buybacks Now Bought Out — American Enterprise in Decline

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By Knave Dave

Published originally on The Great Recession Blog

by David Haggith

I have pointed out in previous articles how most of the growth in stocks over the past few years has been due to stock share buybacks. Without this hideous (and at one time illegal) practice, there would have been no bull market over the last few years.

That’s right. Research from no other place than Wall Street, itself, indicates that almost all of the returns since 2009 have been due to stock share buybacks!

Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist and perma-bull at Charles Schwab, recently acknowledged that “… there has not been a dollar added to the U.S. stock market since the end of the financial crisis by retail investors and pension funds….” Since every buyer has a seller (and vice versa), what group or groups had enough of a buying presence to push the S&P 500 14.2% off of the February closing lows? Corporations. (Seeking Alpha)

Most people assume what has kept the market afloat this year after sinking 11% at the start of the year was a mixture of better news out of China, oil prices stabilizing, and indications that the Fed won’t raise rates as much as thought. But the real thing bouying the market could be something else: Stock buybacks…. The stock buybacks come at a time when major investors including individuals, foreign investors, and pension funds have been selling off their shares, according to a note from Goldman Sachs, amid market volatility and weak oil prices. (Fortune)

Stock share buybacks may be winding down

But you cannot do share buybacks forever. Companies have been using profits and loading up on debt to make these share buybacks for so long that the law of diminishing returns is kicking in here, too.

First, it is kicking in because companies are nearing the end of their capacity to keep eating themselves. Earnings have been falling while debt has been stacking up, and so the capacity just isn’t there any more. (And I mean even the doctored earnings — as almost all major corporations have moved away from GAAP reporting policies — have been falling badly.)

Secondly, buybacks have gone insane to the point where the practice is even starting to reek of death to market bulls who are growing wary of them.

Over the past five weeks, the value of shares bought back has fallen 42% (yoy). The number of scheduled buybacks has fallen off substantially this year (35% below last year’s pace). So, we can anticipate the market will lose some of the hot air that once kept it aloft.

Here are two confusing headlines for you, released this week within 24 hours of each other: First comes Bloomberg’s “Bull Market Losing Biggest Ally as Buybacks Fall Most Since 2009.” Ah, but then came the Financial Times, with “US companies step up share buybacks in the first quarter of 2016….” At face value this would seem difficult. However, Bloomberg and the FT are in fact …read more

Source: Stock Share Buybacks Now Bought Out — American Enterprise in Decline

    

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WWIII? A "Hybrid Geo-Financial War" Between NATO and Russia Is Dangerously Escalating

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By Tyler Durden

ww3-horizon

Submitted by Mac Slavo via SHTFPlan.com,

Russia is preparing for war against the West.

Putin is being urged to do so because the U.S. and NATO have been preparing for war themselves.

Syria and Ukraine have just been warm ups. The real thing could be around the corner, and other proxy flashpoints are ready to line up.

The rising tensions for military conflict are sharply complicated by the stealthier financial war that is nonetheless taking a serious toll across the globe, in particular as collapsing oil prices put incredible pressure on those regimes who have cast a big social benefits net financed primarily by $100/barrel oil.

As SHTF previously reported, that made Venezuela the most vulnerable, and it is plain today that the oil rich nation is collapsing. However, the manipulation of these prices was also meant to put pressure on Russia (as well as other countries)… while the attempt to undercut Russian natural gas by taking over Ukraine and have NATO supply gas to Europe instead of Russia has so far failed.

It is a sophisticated geopolitical gamble that perhaps no one is winning, apart from who manages not to topple over.

A detailed, but nonetheless alarming article by Alastair Crooke reports that there is significant pressure on Putin from other Russian leaders to take a hard line in the days ahead.

via the Huffington Post:

Putin carries, at one end of his balancing pole, the various elites more oriented toward the West and the “Washington Consensus“ and, at the pole’s other end, those concerned that Russia faces both a real military threat from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and a hybrid geo-financial war as well. He is being pressed to come down on the side of the latter, and to pry the grip of the former from the levers of economic power that they still tightly hold.

In short, the issue coming to a head in the Kremlin is whether Russia is sufficiently prepared for further Western efforts to ensure it does not impede or rival American hegemony. Can Russia sustain a geo-financial assault, if one were to be launched? And is such a threat real or mere Western posturing for other ends?

What is so important is that if these events are misread in the West, which is already primed to see any Russian defensive act as offensive and aggressive, the ground will already have been laid for escalation. We already had the first war to push back against NATO in Georgia. The second pushback war is ongoing in Ukraine. What might be the consequences to a third?

In mid-April, General Alexander Bastrykin, the head of Russia’s Investigative Committee (a sort of super attorney general, as Cohen describes it), wrote that Russia — its role in Syria notwithstanding — is militarily ill prepared to face a new war either at home or abroad, and that the economy is in a bad way, too. Russia, furthermore, is equally ill prepared to withstand a geo-financial war. He goes on to say that the …read more

Source: WWIII? A "Hybrid Geo-Financial War" Between NATO and Russia Is Dangerously Escalating

    

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