#FatLivesMatter – America’s Most Obese States
By Tyler Durden
Americans have never been fatter, but beneath the surface of the 'union', some states and ethnicities are more obese than others…
At 18.5%, Hawaii has the lowest adult obesity rate in the U.S., closely followed by Colorado at 19.8%. As Gallup reports, they are the only two states in which the obesity rate is below 20%. West Virginia has the highest adult obesity rate, at 37.0%. In addition to West Virginia, at least one in three adults are obese in Mississippi, Delaware, Arkansas and Oklahoma.
Of the 18 states with obesity rates of at least 30.0%, all but one are located in the South or Midwest. Meanwhile, all 11 states with obesity rates below 25.0% are located in the Northeast or West.
The national obesity rate reached a new high of 28.0% in 2015, up significantly from 25.5% in 2008, when Gallup and Healthways began tracking obesity. Fourteen states had statistically significant increases in their obesity rates from 2008 to 2015, while no state registered a statistically significant decline. Maine, West Virginia, Idaho and Oklahoma experienced the sharpest upticks in obesity.
Since 2008, the obesity rate for the Midwest has increased by 3.2 percentage points, more than any other region. The South followed closely behind, with a 2.9-point increase. The Northeast and West have seen smaller, but still statistically significant, increases of 2.0 and 1.8 points, respectively.
As the adult obesity rate continues to rise both nationally and within many states, preventable healthcare costs will also rise. If states can lower their obesity rates, even modestly, they can achieve significant cost savings and improve their residents' well-being.
Given that obesity is associated with illnesses such as heart disease, diabetes, stroke, osteoarthritis and some forms of cancer, the medical costs for an obese person amounted to $1,429 more per year than for a person of a normal weight, according to research conducted in 2008 by RTI International and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. After adjusting for inflation, the annual medical costs for 2015 are $1,573 more for a person who is obese than for a person of a normal weight.
Gallup calculated the incremental cost of healthcare per year for each state by multiplying the estimated number of obese people in the state's population by the annual incremental $1,573 cost of obesity per person.
In the five most obese states, the annual incremental cost of obesity per 100,000 residents averages $54 million. By contrast, the average cost is $34 million in the five least obese states. In other words, per capita medical costs attributable to obesity are about 1.6 times higher in the five states with the highest obesity rates than in the states with the five lowest rates.
#FatLivesMatter
Stocks Bloody On Friday 13 As Treasury Curve Crashes To 9 Year Lows
By Tyler Durden
Scared… you should be…
These guys were…
Can it get worse?
Flight 666 to HEL on Friday 13th pic.twitter.com/sZeaSFpVCD— Mike (@FR24mike) May 13, 2016
Trannies plunged back to unchanged year-to-date…
On the week, bad news was bad news and good news was worse news…Nasdaq could not cling on to green but Trannies were trounced…
Once again – the 4th time – S&P 500 was “bounced” off unchanged year-to-date, thanks to some VIX action…
Head-and-shoulders, touch your ties…
Worst 4-week drop for Retail Stocks since Sept 2011…
AAPL is back at 2 year lows – suffered its biggest 4-week crash since Lehman…
Bonds are beating stocks post-payrolls now…
And stocks are catching down to yields this week…
Treasury yields plunged after jerking higher on “good” news this morning…it seems good news is bad news (short-end sells off as good news means higher risk of rate hike and long-end rallies betting on policy failure)
Don;t forget this is the “growth” that bonds are looking at and that is in peril if The Fed hikes…
With the curve flattening dramatically on the week…2s10s now flattest since Dec 2007!!
Rsuming its plunge a la 2006…
Bank-buyers starting to worry?
The USD Index surged today driven by commodity currency weakness and JPY tumbling after Abe opened his mouth… the USD Index is up 8 of thelast 9 days…The biggest 9-day rise since Oct 2015…
USDJPY seems to be unable to break 109.50 no matte rhow much they jawbone…
Crude bucked the trend across commodities which all suffered both liquidation from China's bubble unwind and a stronger dollar…
Crude is just funny…
Charts: Bloomberg
Bonus Chart: Bonds get it…
Bonus Bonus Chart: How long before the horde calls for Facebook to replace Apple in The Dow?
Source: Stocks Bloody On Friday 13 As Treasury Curve Crashes To 9 Year Lows
Hedge Fund Billionaire Spends $13 Million Supporing Ted Cruz, Then Immediately Flips To Hillary Clinton
By Tyler Durden
For those confused by the whole power triangle between Ted Cruz, Hillary Clinton, and Donald Trump, and which candidate stood for what and represents whom, the following brief anecdote from the Guardian should explain all one needs to know.
The world’s top 25 hedge fund managers earned $13bn last year – more than the entire economies of Namibia, the Bahamas or Nicaragua. Kenneth Griffin, founder and chief executive of Citadel, and James Simons, founder and chairman of Renaissance Technologies, shared the top spot, taking home $1.7bn each.
Simons, a string theory expert and former cold war codebreaker, has made an estimated $15.5bn from Renaissance Technologies the mathematics-driven “quant” hedge fund he set up 34 years ago.
The fund, which is run from the tiny Long Island village of Setauket where Simons owns a huge beachfront compound, has donated $13m to Cruz’s failed campaign. With Cruz out of the race, Renaissance has switched donations to Hillary Clinton, with more than $2m donated so far. Euclidean Capital, Simon’s family office, has donated more than $7m to Clinton.
That is all.
h/t @LibertyBlitz
Genscape: "Inventories At Cushing Are Close To Maximum Operating Capacity"
By Tyler Durden
By Dylan White of Genscape
Cushing, OK, Crude Stocks, USGC Exports Hit Record Highs after U.S. Midcontinent Refinery Work
Cushing, OK, crude inventories reached a record high May 3, 2016 of more than 70mn bbls after refinery outages in the U.S. Midcontinent displaced barrels to both storage tanks and the U.S. Gulf Coast. Without significant new storage capacity, Midcontinent stocks could reach maximum operating capacity this year, according to Genscape.
Cushing inventories increased 1.3mn bbls week-on-week following the spring maintenance season, which also caused Patoka, IL, stocks to climb 1.4mn bbls to a record high above 11mn bbls week ending April 29, 2016.
Meanwhile, along the Gulf Coast, waterborne loadings to international and domestic destinations recently hit a 2016 high while stocks increased in the Midcontinent.
– See more at: http://www.genscape.com/blog/cushing-ok-crude-stocks-usgc-exports-hit-re…
Cushing stocks border maximum capacity utilization
Inventories at Cushing are close to maximum operating capacity, and on May 3, 2016 reached utilization just shy of 80 percent, a record high since Genscape began monitoring the hub in 2009. Genscape has never observed capacity utilization higher than 80 percent based on historical data, though utilization may breach 80 percent depending on the utilization of merchant capacity, or capacity that is leased by an owner to other users.
Utilization of operational capacity has remained above 70 percent at Cushing since November 2015. Storage capacity at six of 16 operators at Cushing was utilized above 80 percent as of May 3, 2016.
There is little help on the horizon from new storage capacity to prevent Cushing from hitting maximum operating capacity. There are two tanks under construction at Cushing, totaling 540,000 bbls. No tank construction projects are underway at Patoka.
The record high May 3, 2016 was almost 600,000 bbls higher than the previous record high set March 15, 2016 and 5.0mn bbls more than the highest point reached in 2015.
Storage data reflecting Cushing and Patoka inventories for week ending May 5, 2016 was released to customers on May 9. The May 3, 2016 Cushing record high was the fifteenth this year, as stocks continue to grow.
Patoka stocks also reached a record high after increasing two consecutive weeks, up 2.2mn bbls between April 15 and April 29, 2016. The record high was 488,000 bbls higher than the previous record high of 10.6mn bbls reached November 13, 2015.
Capacity utilization at Patoka terminals was at 65 percent for the week of April 29, 2016, just below the record high utilization rate of 67 percent set April 2013. Capacity utilization at Patoka has fallen below 50 percent once in 2016.
In 2016, crude storage in Texas increased as storage capacity in the Midcontinent became scarce. Total monitored crude stocks in the Gulf Coast and West Texas region increased 18.5mn bbls between February 12 and March 18, 2016 to a record high above 122mn bbls. Stocks in the region remained just below the record high for the next month before dropping 2.4mn bbls the week ending April 29, 2016, …read more
Source: Genscape: "Inventories At Cushing Are Close To Maximum Operating Capacity"
US Rig Count Continues To Crash
By Tyler Durden
The total US rig count declined yet again this week, down 9 to 406 – a new record low. The last four times rig counts collapsed anything like this, the US economy was in recession.
Oil rigs dropped 10 to a new cycle low at 318, but appear near a turning point if lagged oil prices remain any indication…
Source: US Rig Count Continues To Crash
As Carl Icahn Was Selling Apple, This Central Bank Was Furiously Buying
By Tyler Durden
On April 28, the catalyst the sent the stock price of AAPL to its post-August 25 frash crash lows, and launched a tremor not only within the Nasdaq but the broader market, was news that after several years of being AAPL’s biggest cheerleader, even coming up with price targets north of $200, Carl Icahn had suddenly cooled on the China-focused growth company, and had liquidated his entire stake.
But as Icahn was selling, or just before as we don’t know precisely when Icahn, who has since indicated he has turned massively bearish on the overall market, one entity was buying every AAPL share it could find. In fact, according to its latest 13F, everyone’s favorite central bank that openly admits it is also a wholesale buyer of stocks (with a portfolio of some $100 billion), the Swiss National Bank reveals that in Q1 it bought another 4.1 million in AAPL shares, bringing its total to a record 14.5 milion shares.
What is bad for citizens of Switzerland is that as their central bank was aggressively bidding up AAPL stocks, its price was tumbling resulting in an immediate loss.
What is more troubling is that as of March 31, 2016, the SNB had total assets of CHF 646 Billion…
…. of which 20% ,or CHF130 billion ($132BBN), was in the form of equities (its $54 bilion in US holdings are listed on the quarterly 13-F filing).
We hope for the sake of Switzerland, and especially its residents, that equity markets never suffer a dramatic drop because with a central banks which has “invested” 20% of Swiss GDP in stocks, bad things would result to the “full faith and credit” of its central bank when its peers finally stop buying equities and/or ivory tower economists ultimately lose control of the most manipulated, centrally-planned market in history.
Source: As Carl Icahn Was Selling Apple, This Central Bank Was Furiously Buying
Michael Strahan signs off on ‘Live’
Michael Strahan signed off on ‘Live’ with a hurried peck on the cheek to co-host Kelly Ripa, ending an awkward month. The tension began when Ripa was surprised to learn he was leaving for “Good Morning America.”
…read more
Source: Michael Strahan signs off on ‘Live’
Surprise! Americans are shopping again
Retail sales jump 1.3% in April. It’s the biggest bounce in over a year. But Americans are only opening their wallets for certain goods. …read more
Source: Surprise! Americans are shopping again
Oil "Rebalancing" In Jeopardy After Iran Output Soars To Pre-Sanction Levels, Russia "Pours Cold Water" On OPEC Forecast
By Tyler Durden
Earlier today, the OPEC released its latest monthly forecast which echoed what the IEA said yesterday, as the organization which Roseneft CEO Sechin said has “practically stopped existing“, said shrinking U.S. output and massive cuts to investment in new projects will reduce the global oil glut over the course of this year, potentially pushing world-wide oil production lower than demand in 2017.
In the report, OPEC was eager to call the early demise of its non-OPEC competitors, and predicted that production outside of the (defunct) cartel countries will fall by 740,000 barrels a day from 2015 to 56.4 million barrels a day this year—10,000 barrels a day less than OPEC previously predicted. Most of the decline will stem from cuts that U.S. oil producers are making to cut production that is become unprofitable with the oil-price rout.
OPEC forecast U.S. production this year will fall by 431,000 barrels a day from 2015 to 13.56 million barrels a day. The rest of the predicted non-OPEC decline will come from lower investments and production delays in China, Mexico, the U.K., Kazakhstan and Colombia. Overall, oil companies world-wide will cut their exploration and appraisal investments during 2016, 2017 and 2018 to $40 billion annually, half the average annual spending of 2012 through 2014, the group said.
It said that “outside the U.S., there have been consistent signs of declines in non-OPEC production, which should likely flip the global oil market into a net deficit in 2017.” In other words, OPEC thinks that OPEC’s strategy to cut non-OPEC production is working. As such, OPEC believes that production by countries outside the cartel will help rebalance a global crude market that is seen prices fall by more than half since 2014, even though OPEC has declined to rein in its own production.
Ironically, as non-OPEC production may (or may not) shrink by 740,000 barrels, Iran alone has already added that amount of production and then some.
As Bloomberg reports, Iran’s crude production has returned to levels last seen before sanctions were imposed over its nuclear program as the nation ramps up output to regain market share, according to the International Energy Agency. Output reached 3.56 million barrels a day in April, the highest since November 2011, and exports soared to 2 million barrels a day, just shy of the level before the trade restrictions. China was the biggest buyer of Iranian crude last month, taking more than 800,000 barrels a day, the IEA said. Indicatively, just a year ago, Iran’s production was 700,000 barrels lower at 2.8 mm b/d.
Meanwhile, the biggest non-OPEC member disagreed with OPEC’s rosy – if only for OPEC countries – assessment, when Russia poured cold water on the notion that recent falls in production in the Americas, Asia and Africa had wiped out a global production and storage overhang. Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak told reporters on Thursday that the global oil surplus stood at 1.5 million bpd and that the market might not balance out until the first …read more
Jon Stewart Just Slammed Hillary Clinton (And The Mainstream Media Ignored It)
By Tyler Durden
Submitted by Claire Bernish via TheAntiMedia.org,
While it’s hardly shocking that mainstream media targeted Jon Stewart’s latest jab – in which he described Donald Trump as a “man-baby” – the mainstream media establishment mouthpiece virtually ignored his lambasting of Hillary Clinton.
“What I think about Hillary Clinton is, you know … I imagine [her] to be a very bright woman … without the courage of her convictions — ‘cause I’m not even sure what they are,” Stewart told David Axelrod for his podcast, The Axe, to which the audience erupted in applause.
Though the slam represented more than corporate media has managed thus far during the former secretary of state’s troubled run for the presidency, Jon Stewart took the description to a hilarious next level. For reference, Magic Johnson once had a talk show that ultimately failed because … well … witness Stewart’s comparison of Johson to Hillary:
“Magic Johnson was a charming individual, but he wasn’t a talk show host … so, he would sit and he would go, [Stewart affected a flat tone here] ‘Uh, my first guest tonight … my first guest tonight is [with lots of enthusiasm] CHER, everybody!’ But he never seemed authentic and real to his personality. It seemed like he was wearing an outfit designed by someone else for someone else to be someone else, and that is not to say that [Clinton] is not preferable to Donald Trump — because at this point, I would vote for Mr. T over Donald Trump. But I think she will be in big trouble if she can’t find a way, and maybe I’m wrong. Maybe a real person doesn’t exist underneath there. I don’t know.”
Axelrod then asked the former host of the Daily Show about Clinton’s appearance as a guest — and the criticism continued:
What was that like?” Axelrod inquired about the former secretary’s interview.
“Really cool,” Stewart deadpanned. “It’s — look, there are politicians who are either rendering their inauthenticity in real enough time to appear authentic, and then their are politicians who render their inauthenticity through — it’s like, when your computer … if you have a Mac and you want to play a Microsoft game on it …”
AXELROD: Yes, yes.
STEWART: … and there’s that weird lag.
AXELROD: Yes. No, I mean …
STEWART: That’s Hillary Clinton.
AXELROD: … that’s a big problem. There’s like a seven-second delay and all the words come out in a perfectly …
STEWART: Right.
AXELROD: … politically calibrated sentence.
STEWART: Right. Now, what gives me hope in that is that there’s a delay, which means she’s somehow fighting something. I’ve seen politicians who don’t have that delay and render their inauthenticity in real time, and that’s when you go, ‘That’s a sociopath.’
So, there you have it. Jon Stewart described Hillary Clinton as inauthentic and not bold enough to follow through on issues she stridently touts — but stopped just short of calling the presidential hopeful a ‘sociopath.’
Jon Stewart speaks ill of Hillary, instantly has his Good Liberal card revoked by hordes of angry …read more
Source: Jon Stewart Just Slammed Hillary Clinton (And The Mainstream Media Ignored It)
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