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Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

ADP Employment Growth Worst In 3 Years

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By Tyler Durden

Against expectations of a 195k gain, ADP reported just 156k job growth in April with manufacturing losing jobs once again and services job growth clowing quickly to catch down to such negative indicators as ISM Services Employment. This is the worst headline print since April 2013. From last week's job-creation-machine firinmg on all cylinders, Mark Zandi is now more cautious – The job market appears to have stumbled in April. Job growth noticeably slowed, with some weakness across most sectors. One month does not make a trend, but this bears close watching as the financial market turmoil earlier in the year may have done some damage to business hiring.”

Overall this is the worst print since April 2013…

As Servcies jobs start to fade…

Goods-producing employment dropped by 11,000 jobs in April, down from a downwardly revised 5,000 in March. The construction industry added 14,000 jobs, which was down from March’s 18,000. Meanwhile, manufacturing lost 13,000 jobs after being revised down to -3,000 the previous month.

Service-providing employment rose by 166,000 jobs in April, down from 189,000 in March. The ADP National Employment Report indicates that professional/business services contributed 27,000 jobs, down a bit from March’s 31,000. Trade/transportation/utilities grew by 25,000, well down from the 42,000 jobs added the previous month. Financial activities added just 4,000.

“Despite the softest overall monthly jobs added in three years, small businesses remained an engine for job growth in April,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, VP and head of the ADP Research Institute. “Smaller businesses are less susceptible to global conditions, such as low commodity prices and the strong dollar, that may have caused larger businesses to ease up on hiring.”

Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said, “The job market appears to have stumbled in April. Job growth noticeably slowed, with some weakness across most sectors. One month does not make a trend, but this bears close watching as the financial market turmoil earlier in the year may have done some damage to business hiring.”

Full Breakdown…

<img alt="
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 156,000 Jobs in April
” border=”0″ height=”1598″ src=”http://www.adpemploymentreport.com/2016/April/NER/images/infographic/mai…” width=”598″ />

…read more

Source: ADP Employment Growth Worst In 3 Years

    

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Global Stocks Slide As Dollar Continues Rising: Has The "Pricing In" Of Trump Begun

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By Tyler Durden

While there was no unexpected overnight central bank announcement unlike yesterday’s surprise by the RBA which unleashed volatility havoc in the FX market, which promptly spilled over into all asset classes, overnight stocks around the world saw another leg lower without a tangible catalyst, while EM currencies fell to a one-month low after two Fed presidents raised concern investors had become too complacent in their belief that U.S. interest rate raises will stay on hold. Or perhaps all that is happening is that after ignoring Trump, the market is starting to finally price in the possible reality of the Donald in the White House (although as Jeff Gundlach pointed out, Trump would be a far better president for the economy and the market than Hillary or Bernie).

Equity market sentiment seems to be rolling over globally as the wind begins to come out of the oil price rally,” said Angus Nicholson, market analyst at IG in Melbourne. “Given the move in commodity prices, the materials and energy sectors are set for a difficult session.”

The dollar has climbed against all its 16 major peers since Monday’s close as Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart called a June rate increase “a real option,” while San Francisco’s John Williams said he would support such a move at the next meeting provided the U.S. economy stayed on track. While both are non-voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee, the outlook for Fed policy is under scrutiny with data on nonfarm payrolls due at the end of the week.

“While the probability of a hike next month is very low, I do think the market is underpricing the chances of a hike after that,” Michael Wang, a strategist at hedge fund Amiya Capital told Bloomberg. “And to that extent emerging markets may be vulnerable.”

As the chart below shows, the market is clearly unprepared for a rate hike and is pricing in a 90% chance of no Fed move next month.

As a result, stocks in Europe and developing nations fell for a fourth straight day while Asian shares have now fallen for the 6th session, their longest losing streak since the February lows. The dollar extended Tuesday’s recovery from the weakest level in almost a year, while Russia’s ruble tumbled the most in more than a week and Malaysia’s ringgit dropped to the lowest since March. After briefly bouncing on yesterday’s API inventory data, oil resumdes its decline before official DOE stockpile data scheduled for release Wednesday that’s forecast to show a fuel glut is expanding.

Europe’s Stoxx 600 Index was down 0.6% with all industry groups in the red. Anheuser-Busch InBev NV slid 3.1% after reporting sales and profit growth that missed estimates. BHP Billiton Ltd. tumbled after it was named in a $44 billion law suit over a dam rupture in Brazil that caused deaths and severe environmental damage. In the green were Siemens, Europe’s largest engineering company, up 0.6% and Societe Generale which rose 3.8% after both reported better earnings than analysts forecast.

The MSCI …read more

Source: Global Stocks Slide As Dollar Continues Rising: Has The "Pricing In" Of Trump Begun

    

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Brazil slaps miners with $44B lawsuit over dam collapse

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The legal fallout from a deadly Brazilian dam collapse is far from over for two of the world’s biggest miners, Vale and BHP Billiton. …read more

Source: Brazil slaps miners with $44B lawsuit over dam collapse

    

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Tax and salary data stolen in ADP cyberattack

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Cyber thieves succeeded in siphoning tax forms for the employees at a dozen companies through the accounts of payroll giant ADP. …read more

Source: Tax and salary data stolen in ADP cyberattack

    

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Teen retailer Aeropostale has filed for bankruptcy

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The clock has run out on embattled teen retailer Aeropostale, which filed for bankruptcy on Wednesday after losing money for 13 consecutive quarters.

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Source: Teen retailer Aeropostale has filed for bankruptcy

    

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Trump is the presumptive GOP nominee

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Source: Trump is the presumptive GOP nominee

    

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Bad weather brewing: Markets brace for La Niña

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The good news is that the worst El Niño in two decades is fading. The bad news is that it’s likely to be replaced by La Niña.

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Source: Bad weather brewing: Markets brace for La Niña

    

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Trump: Presumptive GOP nominee

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Source: Trump: Presumptive GOP nominee

    

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Bryce Harper signs record contact with Under Armour

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Washington Nationals star Bryce Harper signs 10-year extension with Under Armour that is richest endorsement deal ever for a baseball player. …read more

Source: Bryce Harper signs record contact with Under Armour

    

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US Futures Tumble After China Devalues Yuan By Most Since August Collapse

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By Tyler Durden

The ‘odd’ regime shift in the relationship between USDJPY and US equities continues overnight. Following some visible-handedness and follow-through momentum, Yen is weakening against the USD – normally a big flashing green sign for risk-on pajama traders but China’s biggest Yuan devaluation in 9 months (since the August turmoil) seems to have stolen the jam out of the bull’s donut as US equity futures extend losses, AsiaPac credit risk jumps, and USD strength is weighing on crude prices.

China sent another strong message tonight…

Weighing on US equities…

Despite Yen weakness…

As the Correlation regime has shifted in Yen Carry…

It seems the message is loud and clear – Stop with the hawkish tone or else August happens again!!

…read more

Source: US Futures Tumble After China Devalues Yuan By Most Since August Collapse

    

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