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Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Former PM Says Sweden Needs More Migrants: "Does Any Place Still Believe In Humanity?!"

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By Tyler Durden

Uppsala is Sweden’s fourth largest city with around 150,000 people.

That means more migrants entered the country last year than there are people in Uppsala. On a per capita basis, Sweden lets in more refugees than any other country in the EU. At 20,000 asylum applications per million people, the rate is twice that of Germany.

And it hasn’t come without consequences. Like other countries across the bloc, Sweden has had problems with sexual assaults allegedly perpetrated by migrants (see the events that occurred last August at a youth festival and concert in central Stockholm’s Kungsträdgården). The country has also had difficulties accommodating the refugees and in January, a 22-year-old asylum center worker was stabbed to death by a Somali migrant in Molndal.

Now, Sweden has quite literally reached its breaking point and recently announced it will deport some 80,000 of the migrants that entered the country in 2015. As Deutsche Welle noted last November, “when the Migration Agency upped its annual prediction for [asylum seekers in] 2015, it called for an extra 70 billion Swedish kroner (7.5 billion euros) in funding over the next two years – equivalent to Sweden’s entire annual budget for schools, universities and scientific research.”

“Anna Kinberg Batra, the leader of Sweden’s center-right Moderate Party, called [last year] for Sweden to start applying the EU’s Dublin Regulation so strictly that any asylum-seeker who has stepped foot in another country en route would be turned back at the border,” DW continued, adding that Batra’s rhetoric “marked a U-turn for her party, whose previous leader Fredrik Reinfeldt in 2014 called on Swedes to ‘open your hearts to people fleeing under great stress.’“

Despite the country’s worsening immigration problem, Reinfeldt hasn’t given up on his message. At a charity event last Monday, the former PM delivered a message of hope and compassion while simultaneously questioning the narrative that the country is falling apart. This is what he said:

“True vulnerability is to put your family on a boat which you don’t know if it’s going to make it across the sea. True vulnerability is to flee even if you don’t know where you’re going, if you will get there, if you will even survive. But this is what it is when the alternative is impossible to live with. Therefore, you have to escape. That is vulnerability.”

“In our country we have now started using words to describe what Sweden is exposed to and I have understood that we’re living in a collapse[d society]. Everything has stopped working. With those kinds of words we’re there again – what do words mean in our time?”

“I have spent a few weeks meeting people and asking, in this country of collapse, how their Christmas holidays were. What was it like celebrating Christmas in a collapse? If Sweden is collapsing and nothing is working, what words …read more

Source: Former PM Says Sweden Needs More Migrants: "Does Any Place Still Believe In Humanity?!"

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Stocks Edge Higher Despite Dismal Data & Hawkish Fed As Bonds & Bullion Slide

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By Tyler Durden

To sum up: China car sales crash by most on record (boom goes the overseas growth meme), US existing home sales plunge most in 6 years (boom goes the domestic housing strength supporting consumption meme), Williams and Lockhart go full hawk-tard (positing April as “live” and suggesting everything is hawkishly awesome), and one of our most succeesful 'innovative' tech firms unveils the worst product launch ever… and investors buy stocks with both hands and feet…

Futures show the flip-floppiness of the day best…A ramp in the afternoon session of China (thanks to eased margin requirements) which gave way as Europe traded weak then was slammed by Fed's Williams “April live” comments… a ramp back into the US open was then slammed by crappy housing data… which the machines ramped into Europe's close… Then Fed's Lockhart reiterated “April live” warnings but early weakness just spurred USDJPY to ignite momentum in stocks to overnight high stops…

Leaving Nasdaq the winner as cash equities rallied into the European close and sold off after NYMEX close despite extended gains from oil…

Post-Fed, things are back to normal as they should be… stocks #winning over gold and bonds… (buty silver is still in the lead)

AAPL disappointed…

It appears last week's apparent “QE Trade” – buy stocks, buy bonds, buy gold, sell USDs – is fading…

Treasury yields rose 4-5bps on the day with some modest steepening…(japanese markets on holiday) Notice that the buying was between US open and EU close..

The USD gained ground for the 2nd day ion a row – best gain in March…

Commodities dropped as China closed, rallied into US open, then flatlined…

But once again Crude was up and down faster than a whore's drawers…

Charts: Bloomberg

…read more

Source: Stocks Edge Higher Despite Dismal Data & Hawkish Fed As Bonds & Bullion Slide

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Ron Paul Exposes Conservatives’ Budget Plans As Big Spending & Anti-Liberty

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Ron Paul via The Ron Paul Institute for Peace & Prosperity,

According to a recent poll, 73 percent of all Americans oppose increases in federal spending. Since this anti-government spending sentiment is a major reason Republicans control the House and Senate, one would expect the Republican Congress to hold the line on, or even cut, government spending. Yet, despite the Republican leadership’s rhetoric about “fiscal responsibility,” this year’s House Republican budget spends $104 billion more than the GOP’s 2013 budget.

Some conservatives, most notably the Heritage Foundation, have criticized the GOP budget. Heritage and the conservative House Republican Study Committee (RSC) have both prepared conservative alternatives to the official Republican budgets. Unfortunately, neither Heritage nor the RSC budgets meaningfully reduce federal spending.

Conservative efforts to reduce the size of government are handicapped by their love affair with the military-industrial complex. Since the Pentagon’s budget makes up the largest category of “discretionary” spending, it seems logical that a serious balanced budget plan would reduce spending on militarism.

Yet many of the same conservatives who (rightly) criticize the Republicans for refusing to cut spending not only oppose cuts to the Pentagon budget, they actually call for increases in military spending! These conservatives refuse to admit that the trillions spent on “regime change” overseas have not only failed to turn the targeted counties into Jeffersonian republics but have actually empowered groups like ISIS.

Conservative support for ever-increasing spending on militarism undercuts their efforts to end corporate welfare. Much of the so-called defense budget is wasted on boondoggles like the F-35 fighter that only defend the lifestyles of defense contractors and their lobbyists.

Despite insisting on increased military spending, the Heritage and RSC budgets both, at least on paper, eliminate the deficit in less than ten years. These budgets contain some other positive elements. For example, the RSC budget calls for an audit of the Federal Reserve. Both budgets repeal Obamacare and provide the American people with much needed tax relief.

The good features of the conservative budgets do not cancel out their flaws. For one thing, neither of the conservative budgets actually cuts spending. Instead, they both use the old DC trick of cutting projected increases in spending. Only in DC could budgets that increase domestic spending be considered a “radical attack on the welfare state.”

The fundamental flaw in the conservative budgets is philosophical: like much of modern American conservatism, the budget accepts the notion that that the American government is both constitutionally authorized to, and capable of, running the economy, running our lives, and running the world. Hence the “conservative” budgets do little or nothing to scale back the federal role in education, housing, welfare, or commerce.

Conservative budgets reform welfare programs by giving the states more authority and flexibility in administering the programs. This may make marginal improvements in the programs, but it does not make the welfare state moral or constitutional. It also does not make government welfare more efficient or compassionate than private charity.

Similarly, …read more

Source: Ron Paul Exposes Conservatives’ Budget Plans As Big Spending & Anti-Liberty

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Spot The Sucker: Brazil Stocks Edition

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By Tyler Durden

“Of course Brazil’s problems aren’t going to be fixed if Lula and Rousseff are kicked to the curb. After all, 26% of Congress faces active criminal investigations.”

That’s what

But a closer look at exactly who’s buying reveals something rather telling: domestic investors seem to know something that foreign investors don’t. Or, as Bloomberg puts it, “the flows highlight a key difference in how the two groups view Brazil’s crisis.” Here’s more:

“Investors monitoring the political drama from afar are betting a Rousseff impeachment could be the only way out of a months-long political quagmire, allowing lawmakers to shift their focus back to closing a crippling budget deficit and pulling Brazil out of its two-year slump.

But the folks watching the action up-close aren’t so sure. The process of impeaching a president can be messy. And long. Meanwhile, Brazil’s economy sinks deeper into its recession, fiscal accounts deteriorate and a corruption scandal that has left the business and political establishment in shambles shows no signs of abating.

International investors poured 5.97 billion reais into stocks during the first half of the month, as Brazilian funds, companies and individuals yanked an equal amount out.


“The biggest mistake markets are making is thinking that impeachment will give clarity one way or the other,” said Christopher Garman, the half-Brazilian head of country analysis at political consulting company Eurasia Group in Washington. “The notion that a new government can easily turn the corner on this crisis is overstated.”

It’s not just “overstated.” It’s patently absurd. The economy has fallen completely apart as Brazilians suffer through what we’ve quite accurately described as a “stagflationary nightmare.” Here’s what that looks like visually:

Meanwhile, unemployment is soaring and real wages are collapsing:

This week will bring still more political drama as the Attorney General has politely asked the Supreme Court to make a final decision on whether Lula can hold a ministerial position or not. The request comes after Justice Gilmar Mendes blocked the appointment Friday evening. As things stand now, firebrand federal judge Sergio Moro who is running the car wash probe and who released damaging wiretapped phone calls between Lula and Rousseff last week is free to arrest Lula up to and until he officially becomes minister.

Meanwhile, a new poll from Datafolha doesn’t bode well for Rousseff’s political future. Here are the results:

Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

An Output Freeze Is Still The Big Red-Herring For Oil

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Charles Kennedy via OilPrice.com,

The way things are shaping up on the oil price panic barometer, 17 April is now a D-Day of sorts for the industry. It’s the day both OPEC and non-OPEC countries will (reportedly) sit down together in Doha, Qatar, to work towards an output freeze deal.

OPEC President Qatar will host the meeting as a follow-up to a late February meeting that was attended by Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Russia and Venezuela—when the initial idea of an output freeze to January levels was bandied about, and that the idea is being “increasingly supported” by Saudi Arabia and Russia.

“It is worth noting that the earlier Doha meeting of February 16 has changed the sentiment of the oil market and put a floor under the oil price. This has triggered a broad and intensive dialogue between all oil producers out of the conviction that current oil prices are not sustainable,” according to a Qatari Energy Ministry statement.

But now that prices have somewhat rebounded to the $40 level—up 30 percent or so since last month when the output freeze was first brought up—what is everyone expecting from Doha?

While the meeting scored a bit of a coup by winning a Saudi commitment to attend, there has been some undermining of things by Russian Energy Minister Alexandar Novak, who said yesterday that the meeting would only “probably” be held in April.

The official line is that the supporters of the freeze are looking for commitments from more producers, both within OPEC and outside of OPEC. But those who have committed so far are doing so contingent on others committing as well.

Venezuela—the hardest hit—is fully committed. Qatar has been lobbying for the freeze from the onset. Kuwait is committed. But Iraq, which represents the strongest supply growth among OPEC countries—is not keen on the idea, and Iran, fresh off sanctions, has said it would commit only after it reached a production level of 4 million barrels per day. That’s not going to be April.

The biggest coup for the Doha meeting is that Saudi Arabia has said it will attend.

Despite everything that could go wrong at Doha, oil prices are maintaining the new “high” on hopes of an output freeze, even if only at January levels.

“There is continuing jaw-boning about production cuts from OPEC members, and inventories are now coming in at the lower end, rather than the higher end of expectations,” CMC Markets chief analyst Michael Hewson told Reuters.

But plenty still view a potential output freeze as a red-herring.

“Any such deal would still not be a game changer. It would really just maintain the excess supply that is now in place,” Thomas Pugh of Capital Economics said in a note, as carried by zeenews.

In an interview with Bloomberg, Saxo Bank commodity strategy head Ole Sloth Hansen put it succinctly: “Having seen the positive impact of verbal intervention since the low point was reached in …read more

Source: An Output Freeze Is Still The Big Red-Herring For Oil

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Bloomberg Explains Why "Nobody Believes This Rally"

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By Tyler Durden

Last week, when looking at the latest fund flow data,

…. it writes that “for all the positive signals being sent by stocks, buyers aren’t storming back. In fact, going by one measure of U.S. outflows, investors just yanked more money from American equities that any time since September. Enthusiasm remains bridled as a logjam of investor concerns, from China growth to ineffective central-bank policy and weakening profits, shows no signs of dissipating.”

“The question everyone should be asking is what has really changed in the last three months?” said John Canally, chief economic strategist at LPL Financial in Boston, which oversees about $460 billion. “Global concerns, while slightly less, are still there.”

Well, of course they are, but to central banks all that matters is price action – the only thing left that they can manipulate – and the hope that upward price action can offset the lack of faith in the economy (and central banks) resulting from downward price action. This also explains why over the past month, we have seen every single major central bank unleash the most unprecedented easing wave, one which even forced the Fed to lose its last shred of credibility in its attempt to push stocks higher.

Here Bloomberg piggybacks on what we already reported last week, namely the BofA client flows and the collapsing earnings:

Investors of virtually all types have sold more stock than they’ve purchased, according to Bank of America Corp. In the week ended March 11, the bank’s hedge fund, institutional and private clients sold $3.7 billion, the most since September and the seventh consecutive week of withdrawals, the company said in a note last week. Net sales by institutions were the second-biggest since the bank began recording the data.

The other issue is earnings. As economists lowered projections for this year’s global growth to 3 percent from 3.6 percent in August, analysts cut profit estimates. They now expect a 2.9 percent increase in net income for U.S. companies in 2016, down from 7.1 percent in December, and profit declines in Europe. Worldwide, there have never been as many earnings downgrades versus upgrades as there are now, according to the annual averages of a Citigroup Inc. index tracking the changes.

This has led to an unsustainable surge in P/E multiples: “supported by a price-earnings ratio that touched 13.7 in February, the lowest since 2014, the MSCI gauge has climbed more than 10 percent in a month, on Friday capping its first five-week rally in two years. Gains exceeding 16 percent have lifted what had been the market’s most beaten-down industries: commodity companies, banks and energy producers.” Absent a major jump in commodity prices to sustain a matched rebound in earnings, the rebound is guaranteed an unhappy ending.

It gets worse if one looks at GAAP earnings: as we first reported and as Factset subsequently confirmed, GAAP PE is now above 22x – somewhere in the 99.5% …read more

Source: Bloomberg Explains Why "Nobody Believes This Rally"

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

10 years later, Twitter isn’t close to making money

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Twitter has come a long way since the first tweet was sent 10 years ago Monday (“just setting up my twttr”).

…read more

Source: 10 years later, Twitter isn’t close to making money

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Existing Home Sales Crash Most In 6 Years: NAR Blames Slowing Economy, Bubbly Home Prices

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By Tyler Durden

Existing home sales plnged 7.1% MoM in February, massively missing expectations of a 3.0% drop. Absent the regulation-driven drop in November, this is the largest MoM drop since July 2010 as realtors warn that “home prices and rents outpacing wages and anxiety about the health of the economy are holding back a segment of would-be buyers.”

As NAR reports,

After increasing to the highest annual rate in six months, existing-home sales tumbled in February amidst unshakably low supply levels and steadfast price growth in several sections of the country, according to the National Association of Realtors?. Led by the Northeast and Midwest, all four major regions experienced sales declines in February.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dropped 7.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.08 million in February from 5.47 million in January. Despite last month's large decline, sales are still 2.2 percent higher than a year ago.

And then Larry Yun tries to explain…weather, stock drop… bubbly home prices and weakness in the economy

“Sales took a considerable step back in most of the country last month, and especially in the Northeast and Midwest,” he said. “The lull in contract signings in January from the large East Coast blizzard, along with the slump in the stock market, may have played a role in February's lack of closings. However, the main issue continues to be a supply and affordability problem. Finding the right property at an affordable price is burdening many potential buyers.”

However, according to Yun, job growth continues to hum along at a robust pace, but there appears to be some uneasiness among households that the economy is losing some steam. This was evident in NAR's latest quarterly HOME survey – released earlier this month – which revealed that fewer respondents believe the economy is improving, and a smaller share of renters said that now is a good time to buy a home.

“The overall demand for buying is still solid entering the busy spring season, but home prices and rents outpacing wages and anxiety about the health of the economy are holding back a segment of would-be buyers,” says Yun.

Which is odd since President Obama said everything was awesome.

…read more

Source: Existing Home Sales Crash Most In 6 Years: NAR Blames Slowing Economy, Bubbly Home Prices

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Marriott ups its offer for Starwood to $13.6B

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for latest details.

…read more

Source: Marriott ups its offer for Starwood to $13.6B

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Leaving EU could cost U.K. almost one million jobs

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Leaving the European Union could cost Britain as much as £100 billion and 950,000 jobs by 2020, a business lobby group has warned.

…read more

Source: Leaving EU could cost U.K. almost one million jobs

    

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Posted March 21st, 2016 in Uncategorized.

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