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By Tyler Durden

On Monday, officials from the EU and Turkey are gathered in Brussels to do some talking about the refugee crisis that threatens to tear Europe apart at the seams. And make no mistake, “talk” is probably all they’ll do.

Last year, Europe and Turkey agreed on a so-called “joint action plan” which essentially amounted to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan extorting €3 billion from Brussels in exchange for a promise to curb people smuggling and stem the flow of migrants into Western Europe. As

“To encourage refugees to stay, Ankara is now allowing millions of Syrians to legally work in Turkey, ending a policy in place since the start of the war. But the new regulation comes with restrictions,” WSJ goes on to document. “The restrictions, along with the often-convoluted bureaucratic challenges, make it hard for Syrian families to stay.”

In other words, some Turkish towns with big hearts are doing their part (and more), but Ankara hasn’t even begun to implement the type of measures that will stop refugees from fleeing to Western Europe and besides, Turkey isn’t that much safer than Syria these days. “Using Turkey as a ‘safe third country’ is absurd,” said Amnesty’s director for Europe and Central Asia, Gauri van Gulik. “Many refugees still live in terrible conditions; some have been deported back to Syria and security forces have even shot at Syrians trying to cross the border.” And that’s if they don’t get blown up by the very same groups blowing them up in Syria, groups that are armed and funded by Erdogan.

As The Guardian goes on to say, “resettlement was Angela Merkel’s last gambit for solving the refugee crisis. In mid-February, the German government confidently presented a plan in which a “coalition of the willing” – including Austria, Germany, Sweden and the Benelux trio – would take 300,000 refugees from Turkey a year [but] the renegade actions of Austria and the western Balkan states have forced Merkel into a rethink.”

“It’s our damned duty,” she insisted last week. “And no I don’t have a Plan B.”

Well, she had better get one, before the German electorate goes with “Plan B” for chancellor.

As for whether Erdogan will suddenly step up to the plate – don’t hold your “damned” breath. “Turkey’s diplomacy [is like] an eastern bazaar,” the aforementioned Miltiadis Kyrkos said. And it’s not just money Ankara wants. Turkish PM Ahmet Davutoglu is looking to trade concessions on migrants for fast-track membership to the EU. “I am sure these challenges will be solved through our cooperation and Turkey is ready to work with the EU,” Davutoglu said. “Turkey is ready to be a member of the EU as well. Today I hope this summit will not just focus on irregular migration but also the Turkish accession process to the EU.”

But Europeans aren’t exactly thrilled about Ankara’s latest move away from democratic norms. “Media freedom is a non-negotiable element of our European …read more

Source: "It’s Our Damned Duty": Merkel, Turkey Make Last Ditch Effort To Save EU At Key Summit

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By Tyler Durden

In the aftermath of last week’s disappointing G-20 Shanghai summit, there was much riding on this weekend’s start of the China’s People’s Congress, and specifically what if any stimulus announcement Beijing will make; sadly for stimulus addicts China mostly disappointed and after the unimaginative scope of growth proposals, it is hardly surprising that European stocks and US equity futures have taken a leg lower, even if Chinese stocks rose and certain commodities such as Iron Ore soared overnight on hopes China will either “rationalize” capacity or at least build some more roads to nowhere. Others, such copper were less lucky.

While few will admit, what is happening is that China has effectively confirmed the current reform cycle has been a failure and is going back to square one: as Nicola Marinelli, a fund manager at Pentalpha Capital In London

WTI extends gains to 2 month highs after the U.S. rig count fell to lowest since Dec. 2009. Brent touches highest since Dec. amid speculation ECB will increase stimulus when it meets Thursday. “On the supply-side we are continuing to see a freefall in the rig count, which confirms what has been the U.S. supply outlook for some time that we’d see production stop gaining and decline this yr,” says Danske Bank senior analyst Jens Pedersen. “The rate the rig count has fallen means output may decline harder than what was expected.”

As of this moment, according to Bloomberg, European shares fell with metals, while the dollar and German bonds climbed, as investors assessed the impact of China’s growth plans and the potential for European Central Bank stimulus measures this week. Miners led declines in the Stoxx Europe 600 Index, with Glencore Plc and Anglo American Plc among the biggest losers, a turnaround from last week’s rally. Copper fell from a four-month high, while investors continued adding to gold holdings. French bonds led gains in euro-area government securities, while the euro sank on speculation the ECB will lower the deposit rate and boost bond purchases. Crude extended last week’s gains.

The Stoxx 600 was down 0.8 percent as of 11:06 a.m. London time, while copper sank 0.8 percent. The euro fell 0.5 percent to $1.0956 and yields on German 10-year bonds fell three basis points to 0.2 percent.

Where the markets stand now:

• S&P 500 futures down 0.5% to 1986
• Stoxx 600 down 0.9% to 339
• FTSE 100 down 0.9% to 6145
• DAX down 1.3% to 9695
• German 10Yr yield down 4bps to 0.2%
• Italian 10Yr yield down 2bps to 1.44%
• Spanish 10Yr yield up 2bps to 1.58%
• MSCI Asia Pacific down 0.2% to 126
• MSCI Asia Pacific down 0.2% to 126
• Nikkei 225 down 0.6% to 16911
• Hang Seng down less than 0.1% to 20160
• Shanghai Composite up 0.8% to 2897
• US 10-yr yield up 3bps to 1.9%
• Dollar Index up 0.25% to 97.59
• WTI Crude futures up 1.1% to $36.32
• Brent Futures up 1% to $39.10
• Gold spot up 0.7% to $1,268
• Silver spot …read more

  Source: Futures Lower On Lack Of China Stimulus; Oil Squeeze Continues; Gold Spikes Ahead Of ECB

      

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China is still tapping into its foreign exchange stockpile to fend off pressure on its currency, but the pace has slowed significantly.

…read more

Source: China burned through less foreign cash last month

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By Tyler Durden

After three consecutive declines in China’s Foreign Reserves in the November-January period, which averaged nearly $100 billion per month (with particular attention paid to

One factor for the slowdown in Chinese capital outflows may be the relative stability of the Chinese currency, which after suffering a substantial devaluation at the end of 2015 and early 2016, has since stabilized to levels during the start of year fixing. As Nathan Chow, a Hong Kong-based economist at DBS Group Holdings Ltd., told Bloomberg “financial markets were more stable last month compared with January and the sentiment toward the yuan has improved. Capital outflows may slow down in the second half of this year if economic fundamentals improve.”

Policy makers have been burning through their stockpile to help stabilize the currency, a key goal for China’s leaders, who are gathered this week for their annual policy meeting in Beijing. The nation’s defense of the yuan depleted its foreign reserves by $513 billion last year, while Bloomberg Intelligence estimates that a record $1 trillion of money moved overseas in 2015.

According to one theory proposed by the BIS, “persistent capital outflows from China since mid-2014 were probably driven more by local companies paying down dollar-denominated debt — in anticipation of a stronger U.S. currency — than investors ditching assets.” Those same BIS experts have probably never had the please of bidding for an abandoned house in Vancouver for $7 million, a local housing bubble which is precisely a function of local investors taking their money offshore in a panic.

Finally, recall that just two weeks ago China stopped reporting the “position for forex purchase” a series which tracked total foreign exchange purchases by both the central bank and other financial institutions. Many – us included – saw this as a premeditated attempt to confuse market watchers and prevent the full picture of Chinese outflow data from emerging. As such one will surely take the PBOC’s reserve data with an excess capacity-producing mine of salt.

In other news, China reported that the value of its gold reserves jumped to $71 billion from $63.6 billion a month ago, with the actual inventory of reported gold rising from 57.18 million in January to 57.5 million as of last month.

…read more

Source: Chinese Reserves Drop To Fresh Four Year Low After February’s $29BN Decline

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A new report from economists at the Bank of International Settlements is flagging potential risks from the negative interest rates in effect in Europe and Japan.

…read more

Source: Economists warn of negative interest rate risks

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for latest details.

…read more

Source: ‘Zootopia’ sees big opening for Disney Animation

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By williambanzai7

We may well be in the eye of a cephalopod–WB7

…read more

Source: THe EYe OF A CePHaLoPoD…

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By Michael Snyder

What is the worst possible outcome for the presidential election of 2016?  Assuming that an election will actually take place, that is an easy question to answer – Hillary Rodham Clinton as the next president of the United States.  She is truly evil in every sense of the word, and the implications of what four (or eight) years of Hillary would mean for our nation are almost too terrible to imagine.  That is why it is so depressing watching what is happening to the Republican Party right now.  The civil war in the Republican Party is ripping it to shreds, and as a result of all this warfare every plausible scenario for what will happen the rest of the way ends with Hillary Clinton winning the 2016 election.

According to the Associated Press, here is how the Republican delegate count stands as of right now…

Donald Trump: 384

Ted Cruz: 300

Marco Rubio: 151

John Kasich: 37

Ted Cruz looks like he is within shooting distance of Trump, but that is an illusion.  The early part of the schedule was full of states where Cruz was expected to do well, but now the map is going to work very much against him.

At this point, the only candidate that looks like he may be able to accumulate 1,237 delegates before the convention is Trump, and that is far from guaranteed.  So far, Trump has won approximately 44 percent of the delegates during the caucuses and primaries.  By the time it is all said and done, he will need to have slightly more than 60 percent of all the delegates awarded during the caucuses and primaries to guarantee himself the nomination before the Republican convention.  That is because there are hundreds of delegates that are not awarded during the caucuses and the primaries, and almost all of those delegates are members of the Republican establishment.

Trump can still get there by racking up large delegate totals in winner-take-all states such as California, but it will be a challenge.  The entire Republican Party establishment, Fox News, Glenn Beck and a significant number of other prominent conservative voices have all declared war on Trump.  In fact, there are super PACs that are going to spend tens of millions of dollars doing nothing but trying to destroy Trump.

If the Republican Party actually wanted to beat Hillary Clinton in November, they should be rallying around Trump and trying to help him, because he would definitely need a lot of help to win the general election.

According to Real Clear Politics, the latest three polls all have Trump losing to Clinton by at least 5 points.  In key states such as Michigan, the numbers are quite a bit more dismal.  Over the next few months, those numbers are likely to get even worse as Trump is savagely assaulted by the Republican establishment and relentlessly bombarded by tens of millions of dollars of negative attack ads.  Meanwhile, Clinton is cruising along virtually unscathed.

Of course in a just world Hillary Clinton would have …read more

Source: Thanks To The Republican Civil War, Every Scenario Ends With Hillary Clinton Winning The Election

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By Tyler Durden

Authored by Paul Craig Roberts,

Washington has a long history of massacring people, for example, the destruction of the Plains Indians by the Union war criminals Sherman and Sheridan and the atomic bombs dropped on Japanese civilian populations, but Washington has progressed from periodic massacres to fulltime massacring. From the Clinton regime forward, massacre of civilians has become a defining characteristic of the United States of America.

Washington is responsible for the destruction of Yugoslavia and Serbia, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Somalia, and part of Syria. Washington has enabled Saudi Arabia’s attack on Yemen, Ukraine’s attack on its former Russian provinces, and Israel’s destruction of Palestine and the Palestinian people.

The American state’s murderous rampage through the Middle East and North Africa was enabled by the Europeans who provided diplomatic and military cover for Washington’s crimes. Today the Europeans are suffering the consequences as they are over-run by millions of refugees from Washington’s wars. The German women who are raped by the refugees can blame their chancellor, a Washington puppet, for enabling the carnage from which refugees flee to Europe.

In the article below Mattea Kramer points out that Washington has added to its crimes the mass murder of civilians with drones and missile strikes on weddings, funerals, children’s soccer games, medical centers and people’s homes. Nothing can better illustrate the absence of moral integrity and moral conscience of the American state and the population that tolerates it than the cavalier disregard of the thousands of murdered innocents as “collateral damage.”

If there is any outcry from Washington’s European, Canadian, Australian, and Japanese vassals, it is too muted to be heard in the US.

As Kramer points out, American presidential hopefuls are competing on the basis of who will commit the worst war crimes. A leading candidate has endorsed torture, despite its prohibition under US and international law. The candidate proclaims that “torture works” — as if that is a justification — despite the fact that experts know that it does not work. Almost everyone being tortured will say anything in order to stop the torture. Most of those tortured in the “war on terror” have proven to have been innocents. They don’t know the answers to the questions even if they were prepared to give truthful answers. Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn relates that Soviet dissidents likely to be picked up and tortured by the Soviet secret police would memorize names on gravestones in order to comply with demands for the names of their accomplices. In this way, torture victims could comply with demands without endangering innocents.

Washington’s use of invasion, bombings, and murder by drone as its principle weapon against terrorists is mindless. It shows a government devoid of all intelligence, focused on killing alone. Even a fool understands that violence creates terrorists. Washington hasn’t even the intelligence of fools.

The American state now subjects US citizens to execution without due process of law despite the strict prohibition by the US Constitution. Washington’s lawlessness toward others now extends …read more

Source: Paul Craig Roberts: Murder Is Washington’s Foreign Policy

    

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