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JPM Earnings Jump On Slashed Expenses, Bond Trading Beats As Equity, IB Misses; Credit Card Charge-Offs Spike

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By Tyler Durden

In a report that was somewhat similar to that of Bank of America, JPM reported Q4 revenues of $23.4 billion, beating estimates of $23.1 billion, on EPS of $1.71, far higher than the expected $1.42, which however like in the case of BofA was due to a cut in expenses, which came in at $6.87 billion, far below the $7.2 billion, suggesting even greater expense – i.e. compensation – reductions.

While JPM’s net Interest Income was up $553mm YoY and up $163mm QoQ, this happened even as NIM declined by 2bps QoQ. That said, like BofA, JPM said it expects firmwide net interest income to be up “modestly” QoQ.

On the key, trading side, JPM reported that while investment banking revenue rose by $17mm Y/Y to $1.49 billion, it missed expectations of $1.59bn, and while FICC of $3.37 billion rose by $795 million, beating expectations of $3.26 bn, equity markets revenue of $1.15 billion came in weaker than the $1.29 billion expected.

Some details from the report:

  • IB revenue of $1.5B, up 1% YoY, driven by higher debt underwriting fees, largely offset by lower advisory and equity underwriting fees
  • Fixed Income Markets of $3.4B, up 31% YoY, driven by strong performance across products
  • Equity Markets revenue of $1.2B, up 8% YoY, driven by strong performance in derivatives

The better than expected net income in the investment bankin group was mostly the result of a big drop in expense of $4.2B, which was down 6% YoY, driven by lower compensation and lower legal expense.

Another highlight: net charge offs in the bank’s credit card services group jumped from $838 million to $914 million, the highest since Q2 2013.

Finally, JPM’s loan loss reserves of 13.8B rose $0.2B from $13.6B in the prior year.

Full presentation below:

…read more

Source: JPM Earnings Jump On Slashed Expenses, Bond Trading Beats As Equity, IB Misses; Credit Card Charge-Offs Spike

    

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Renault Shares Tumble After Anti-Fraud Authority Accusations Of "Cheating" On Emissions Tests

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By Tyler Durden

Yesterday we sarcastically noted “they are all at it” when Fiat Chrysler was slammed by the EPA for emissions cheating, and now get further confirmation of the farce as The FT reports, French authorities have started a preliminary investigation into Renault amid suspicion the company may have “cheated” to conceal abnormal emissions of pollutants from some of its diesel engines.

The government commission’s report over the summer found that nitrogen oxide emissions for many Renault models went well beyond their official limit under “normal” driving conditions, by a factor of more than 10 in the case of some models.

Renault share tumbled on the headlines…

As The FT details, the decision, made on Thursday, comes after France’s independent anti-fraud authority referred the carmaker to state prosecutors in November, after completing its own investigation.

Three judges were appointed to lead the investigation, the Paris prosecutor said in a text message, into whether they “made merchandise dangerous for human health.”

Last year, three Renault sites in France were raided by authorities as part of a sprawling national investigation linked to the Volkswagen emissions scandal, sparking fears that the emission-rigging case was spreading across Europe.

The French government, which owns 20 per cent of Renault, and the carmaker has denied using software to cheat emission testing, saying its models “conformed to the laws and norms in each market where they are sold.”

…read more

Source: Renault Shares Tumble After Anti-Fraud Authority Accusations Of "Cheating" On Emissions Tests

    

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UK Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn Accused Of "Collaborating With Russia" For Wanting Peace

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

Welcome to “everyone I disagree with works for Putin,” the UK version.

UK Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn sits on the polar opposite of the political spectrum in most respects from U.S. President elect Donald Trump, yet they are both being accused of the same blasphemy — wanting peace with Russia. Here’s what I’m talking about, from The Independent:

In an interview with BBC Wales today, Mr Corbyn said it was “unfortunate that troops have gone up to the border on both sides”.

He added: “I don’t want to see any more troops deployed on the borders between Nato and Russia, I want to see a de-escalation, ultimately a de-militarisation and better relationships between both sides of it... there cannot be a return to a Cold War mentality.”

This is precisely the sort of sober commentary I’d want to hear from an elected leader at such an unnecessarily charged and dangerous moment, yet Mr. Corbyn was attacked for it in a manner quite familiar to us Americans…

The Conservative Armed Forces Minister Mike Penning has accused Jeremy Corbyn of “collaborating with Russia” in response to comments that British troops about to be deployed to Estonia were there to “escalate tensions” between Russia and NATO.

Mr Penning said the comments made on Wednesday by a spokesperson for Mr Corbyn showed that Labour “cannot be trusted with Britain’s national security”.

Mr Penning said: “Britain has Nato’s second biggest defence budget and plays a leading role in the alliance. It is unprecedented for a leader of the opposition to attack the defensive deployment of British troops in Nato territory.

“These comments suggest that the Labour leader would rather collaborate with Russian aggression than mutually support Britain’s Nato allies. As with Trident, everything Labour says and does shows that they cannot be trusted with Britain’s national security.”

The fact that Jeremy Corbyn is being attacked in exactly the same manner as Donald Trump tells us all we need to know. Namely, that if you disagree with the neocon/neoliberal establishment’s foreign policy, this makes you an agent of Vladimir Putin. Absurd and childish? Certainly, but that’s what they’re going with. Which is extremely important to recognize.

Those of us opposed to a continued insane push for more imperial overseas militarism must understand this isn’t a partisan issue. There is an entrenched establishment in power, and they laugh at Republican/Democrat or Conservative/Labour distinctions. These people are totally united in their thirst for confrontation with Russia.

Ok, fine, so what do we do about it? The reason I’m pointing all of this out is to stress the importance of unity. I see too much ego strutting and preening in the alternative media world today. Too many people who seem more focused on their own fame and status, and appear too preoccupied with picking stupid fights with others to see the bigger picture of what’s really at stake. The time for pettiness is over, the time for unity has arrived.

We need to isolate the big issues …read more

Source: UK Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn Accused Of "Collaborating With Russia" For Wanting Peace

    

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Financial Times Editorial Seeks Restrictions On Free Speech To Stop False News "Propaganda War"

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By Tyler Durden

ft-fake-news

Submitted by Michael Shedlock via MishTalk.com,

A pair of articles by the Financial Times offers quite the take on disinformation hypocrisy.

I suggest the Financial Times look into the mirror if it wants to understand where the problem is.

Worse yet, to stop the spread of fake news, the FT editorial board wants restrictions on freedom of speech.

Yesterday, in The Threat Posed by Putin’s Cyber Warriors the FT was so worried about “disinformation” that it proposed restrictions on freedom of speech.

“The Russian state is far from alone in using hacking as a form of espionage. What distinguishes Moscow’s activity is the malicious way it appears to be using the information garnered and disseminating fake news to further pollute the political atmosphere. The timing of leaks during the US election looked calculated to weaken Hillary Clinton, the Democratic candidate,” claims the FT editorial view.

After railing against “fake news” the editorial view went on to propose restrictions on free speech.

“Berlin is considering imposing hefty fines on media outlets that spread false and malicious information. This may seem an undue restriction to freedom of speech but in the context of a propaganda war designed to undermine western democracy, it may be necessary to do more than enforce existing laws on libel and incitement.”

FT Purveyors of Fake News

That was yesterday. Today, the Financial Times spread fake news. Please consider Trump blasts US intelligence on Russia dossier.

Actually it’s the subtitle I want you to consider.

The subtitle “President-elect acknowledges Moscow hacked election” is a blatant lie.

Trump did not admit Moscow hacked the “election”.

Let’s consult the press conference transcript.

As far as hacking, I think it was Russia. But I think we also get hacked by other countries and other people. And I — I can say that you know when — when we lost 22 million names and everything else that was hacked recently, they didn’t make a big deal out of that. That was something that was extraordinary. That was probably China.

But remember this: We talk about the hacking and hacking’s bad and it shouldn’t be done. But look at the things that were hacked, look at what was learned from that hacking.

That Hillary Clinton got the questions to the debate and didn’t report it?

Key Differences

Trump never said Russia hacked the “election”. He did not even say Russia hacked anything. He said he “thinks” Russia hacked [the DNC].

  1. Hacking the “DNC” is not quite the same as hacking the “election”.
  2. “Think they did” is not the same as “did”.

The Financial Times should know the difference, especially in this heated environment.

By the way, the DNC was “hacked” by anyone. Someone at the DNC exposed their password in a phishing expedition.

And now we have Democrat Senators all wanting an investigation into a proven bogus dossier given to the FBI by Senator McCain.

To top it off, the FT wants to restrict freedom of speech to prevent the spread of fake news.

Who is to be the judge of fake news?

If the FT editorial board has an …read more

Source: Financial Times Editorial Seeks Restrictions On Free Speech To Stop False News "Propaganda War"

    

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Visualizing Donald Trump’s $20 Trillion Problem

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By Tyler Durden

Debt incurred under each President

Only a few days after Trump’s inauguration ceremony, the U.S. National Debt will creep across the important psychological barrier of $20 trillion.

It’s a problem that’s been passed down to him, but, as Visual Caitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes, it certainly puts the incoming administration in a difficult place. The debt is burdensome by pretty much any metric, and the rate of borrowing has exceeded economic growth pretty much since the late 1970s.

How Trump deals with this escalating constraint will be a deciding factor in whether his administration crashes and burns – or ends up re-positioning America for greatness.

Donald Trump’s $20 Trillion Problem

Partisans will squabble about who added what to the mounting debt, but the reality is that none of that really matters. Both parties have kicked the can down the road for the last 40 years, and that has culminated in the current situation:

Source: The Money Project

Back in 1979, the debt-to-GDP ratio was a modest 31.8%, and the federal government only had an outstanding tab of $826 billion. Fast forward to today, and the perpetual borrowing has added up.

The debt-to-GDP is now 104.2%, with the total debt burden nearing the $20 trillion mark.

US government debt to GDP

Source: The Money Project

In absolute terms, the debt is the highest it has ever been. Using the common measure of debt-to-GDP, the debt is the highest it’s been in 70 years. The last time it soared past the 100% mark was during the final year of WWII.

Granted, the situation isn’t as bad as Greece, Cyprus, or Japan – but it’s getting there:

Debt to GDP

Source: The Money Project

In terms of debt-to-revenue, a measure that compares the national debt to the amount of taxes taken in by the federal government, the U.S. has the 2nd highest debt out of 34 OECD countries:

Debt to Revenue

Source: The Money Project

On a “per person” basis, each person in the U.S. owes $61,300 – the second highest in the world. Per taxpayer, however, that amount balloons to $167,000.

Changing Rhetoric

So what does Trump think of all this debt business? It’s hard to say, because his rhetoric has changed.

At the start of his campaign, he made it clear that debt would be a top issue for his administration. In February 2016, Trump said that the U.S. was becoming a “large-scale version of Greece” and that tackling the debt would be “easy” with a more dynamic economy. In April 2016, he said he could pay off the debt after eight years in office.

This rhetoric aligns with the official GOP platform, which says that the national debt has “placed a significant burden on future generations”, calling for a “strong economy” and “spending restraint” to pay it down.

But since then, Trump’s views may have changed.

His most recent economic plans include $1 trillion in infrastructure and $5 trillion in tax cuts – and …read more

Source: Visualizing Donald Trump’s $20 Trillion Problem

    

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50 Years Of Teaching Math In ‘Exceptional’ America

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By Tyler Durden

How America became 'exceptional'…

Source: The Burning Platform

* * *

Of course, as we noted previously, our system of education is not entirely to blame. The truth is that young Americans spend far more time consuming media than they do hitting the books, and what passes for “entertainment” these days is rapidly turning their brains to mush.

According to a report put out by Nielsen, this is how much time the average American spends consuming media on various devices each day…

Watching live television: 4 hours, 32 minutes

Watching time-shifted television: 30 minutes

Listening to the radio: 2 hours, 44 minutes

Using a smartphone: 1 hour, 33 minutes

Using Internet on a computer: 1 hour, 6 minutes

When you add it all up, the average American spends more than 10 hours a day plugged into some form of media.

And if you allow anyone to pump “programming” into your mind for 10 hours a day, it is going to have a dramatic impact.

In the end, I truly believe that we all greatly underestimate the influence that the mainstream media has on all of us. We willingly plug into “the Matrix” for endless hours, but then somehow we still expect “to think for ourselves”.

There are very few of us that can say that we have not been exposed to thousands upon thousands of hours of conditioning. And all of that garbage can make it very, very difficult to think clearly.

It is not because of a lack of input that we have become so stupid as a society. The big problem is what we are putting into our minds.

If we continue to put garbage in, we are going to continue to get garbage out, and that is the cold, hard reality of the matter.

…read more

Source: 50 Years Of Teaching Math In ‘Exceptional’ America

    

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Obama’s "Farewell To Arms" As War Presidency Ends

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Finian Cunningham via The Strategic Culture Foundation,

Eight straight years of warmongering come to an end as US President Barack Obama bows out with his “farewell to the nation? speech this week, as fawning American media dubbed his valediction.

In reality, Obama’s outgoing address should have been billed as a “farewell to arms? made by arguably one of the most belligerent presidents to ever have occupied the White House.

Only in exceptionally delusional America could such a pernicious paradox be presented as something honorable and sentimental.

Obama, the 44th US president, may have been the first black president and winner of a Nobel peace prize during his first year in office in 2009. But apart from those dubious accolades – championed by supposedly liberal Hollywood celebrities and media pundits – his actual record in office is one of blood-soaked disgrace.

Instead of ending American overseas wars as he had promised back in 2008, Obama expanded on his predecessor George W Bush’s criminal foreign interventions. At least seven countries – Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Libya, Syria, Yemen and Somalia – have been routinely bombed under Obama’s watch as the US Commander-in-Chief. That’s one repugnant record.

Last year alone, the US military reportedly dropped over 26,000 bombs around the world killing countless thousands of people, the exact number buried under official secrecy and American mainstream media indifference. At that rate, American anti-war campaigner Medea Benjamin estimates that US forces deployed three bombs every hour of every day for the whole of 2016. This death from the skies included Obama’s personal ordering of drone assassinations during his weekly Terror Tuesday briefings from Pentagon chiefs, the use of which increased 10-fold under his command, killing thousands of innocent civilians as “collateral damage?.

In Yemen, one of the poorest countries on Earth, where Obama fully backs an ongoing Saudi air war, it is reckoned that a child dies every 10 minutes from the American-supplied bombing campaign and blockade. Hardly a word about this US-backed genocide is permitted to intrude into public awareness by the Western corporate-controlled media.

Under the supposed Nobel peace laureate, the United States has sold an all-time record of $115 billion-worth of weaponry to Saudi Arabia – one of the most repressive regimes in the world – which has in turn fueled jihadist terrorism across the Middle East, Central Asia, Africa and Europe.

In Syria, just one of the countries to be afflicted by Obama’s policy of covert collusion with jihadist terrorism for regime-change machinations, the death toll is estimated to be around 400,000, with millions more displaced by the US-led proxy war that began in March 2011.

That war unleashed by the Obama administration to oust President Bashar al-Assad has only been arrested because of Russia’s military intervention at the end of 2015. At every step, Obama and his top diplomat John Kerry have sought to thwart Russia’s efforts to salvage the country from jihadist terror proxies. With warped logic, Obama and his British and French allies – all sponsors …read more

Source: Obama’s "Farewell To Arms" As War Presidency Ends

    

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Why Is Obama Moving Troops Into Poland And Provoking A War With Russia Right Before The Inauguration?

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By Michael Snyder

Barack Obama Addresses The Troops - Public Domain

January 20th cannot come soon enough.  Instead of stepping back and trying to ensure a smooth transition for Donald Trump, Barack Obama has decided to go hog wild and use every ounce of presidential power still available to him.  He has been establishing a bunch of new national monuments, he just stabbed Israel in the back at the United Nations, and on Thursday he even took time to give Joe Biden a Presidential Medal of Freedom.  But one of the things that has people the most concerned is his endless provoking of Russia.  Every few days it seems like Obama is doing something else to aggravate Russia, and if he wasn’t leaving office in about a week I am sure that the mainstream media would be full of speculation about a possible war.

Lame duck presidents are not supposed to make risky moves like this once a new president has been elected.  On Thursday, we learned that U.S. troops have been permanently deployed to Poland for the very first time

American soldiers rolled into Poland on Thursday, fulfilling a dream some Poles have had since the fall of communism in 1989 to have U.S. troops on their soil as a deterrent against Russia.

Some people waved and held up American flags as U.S. troops in tanks and other vehicles crossed into southwestern Poland from Germany and headed toward the town of Zagan, where they will be based. Poland’s prime minister and defense minister will welcome them in an official ceremony Saturday.

Poland was once a key member of the Warsaw Pact alliance, and the Russians are quite alarmed that U.S. troops will now be stationed so close to the Russian heartland.  The following comes from ABC News

“These actions threaten our interests, our security,” President Vladimir Putin’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Thursday. “Especially as it concerns a third party building up its military presence near our borders. It’s not even a European state.”

And it has also been announced that NATO troops will arrive in Lithuania in late January.  If you will remember, Lithuania was actually part of the Soviet Union during the Cold War.

All of a sudden, Russia has become enemy number one.  Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton say that Russia is to blame for Clinton’s election loss, and so at the end of December Obama expelled 35 Russian diplomats from the country.

That is the sort of thing that you do before a war starts.

Over in Europe, they are so freaked out about potential Russian interference in their elections that they are “erecting defenses to counter possible Russian cyber attacks”

Nations in Europe, where Germany and France this year hold elections, are erecting defenses to counter possible Russian cyber attacks and disinformation to sway Western politics, but intelligence experts say this might be too little and too late.

The issue of Russian “influence operations” has taken on new urgency after U.S. intelligence agencies released a non-classified assessment that President Vladimir Putin ordered a campaign to move the U.S. election in …read more

Source: Why Is Obama Moving Troops Into Poland And Provoking A War With Russia Right Before The Inauguration?

    

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Nintendo Switch will cost $299.99 when it goes on sale

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Nintendo revealed a range of details and software about the Switch, a handheld system that can easily transform into a console for the home. …read more

Source: Nintendo Switch will cost $299.99 when it goes on sale

    

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Mexican Drug Cartels Looting State-Owned Gas Pipelines For Black Market Sales

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By Tyler Durden

Gas Looting

A couple of weeks ago we highlighted the protests that had engulfed Mexico after the finance ministry announced plans to raise gasoline prices by 20.1% starting January 1st. Amid the chaos, the country’s powerful Jalisco New Generation cartel threatened to to burn down gas stations as retribution for taking advantage of “the majority of the people who don’t make even a minimum wage.”

But before readers blow this off as just another protest by an angry population which fails to grasp the “global deflationary collapse” while focusing on “fringe, outlier events” – at least in the words of central bankers – things suddenly got serious when none other than the country’s powerful Jalisco New Generation cartel has entered the fray, threatening to burn gas stations in response to the price hikes, according to Jalisco authorities cited by TeleSur.

“They are speculating in order to obtain million dollar profits from the majority of the people who don’t make even a minimum wage, we have already realized that the (shortage) of fuel is because dealers don’t want to sell fuel unless they can do so at a profit, all of our people are now ready to start the mission,” the Mexican drug cartel stated in a WhatsApp message circulating in Jalisco.

“The CJNG, in support of the working class, commits itself to making burn all the gasoline stations that to December 30 of the current year, at 10:00 p.m.” — before the price increases go into effect — “have not normalized the sale of fuel at the fair price,” the message said, according to the Mexican news outlet Aristegui Noticias.

Alas, after the knee jerk reaction to riot subsided, which would have only resulted in gas prices soaring even higher anyway, Mexico’s drug cartels did what any clever black market entrepreneurial organization would do: they decided to steal the gasoline and sell it themselves. With a modest upfront capital investment of $5,000 – $8,000, the cartels have realized they can tap directly into state-owned gas pipelines and withdraw seemingly unlimited supplies of gasoline which they then sell along the highway at a discount to official government prices. It’s a win-win situation whereby the drug cartels make 100% profit margins and citizens get “cheap” fuel.

The black market is booming. Several states experienced gasoline shortages at the end of last year as more thieves tapped into state-owned Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) pipelines. The pilfered fuel was sold to drivers hoping to save money. Pipeline theft in 2015 increased sevenfold, to more than 5,500 taps, from just 710 in 2010. Pemex attributes the company’s 12-year slide in crude production in part to the growth in illegal taps.

The drug cartels have turned to fuel theft as a side business worth hundreds of millions of dollars each year, and crime groups focused solely on gasoline robbery have sprung up, says Alejandro Schtulmann, president of Empra, a political-risk consulting firm in Mexico City. “You only need to invest $5,000 or $8,000 …read more

Source: Mexican Drug Cartels Looting State-Owned Gas Pipelines For Black Market Sales

    

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