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By Tyler Durden

One month after his webcast titled optimistically “Drain the Swamp“, which was a forward look at the impact of the upcoming Trump administration (which one can debate if it “drained” the swamp, or alternatively added to it), today at 4:15pm ET (1:15pm PT), bond king Jeff Gundlach kicks off the new year by holding his first for 2017 monthly DoubeLine webcast, titled “Just markets.”

Having kept a relatively low profile in the past month, in Gundlach last media appearance, the bond king, after turning more bearish on risk assets in late 2016, told Reuters on December 13 the 10-year Treasury note yield above 3% will harm the stock-market rally and housing market: “I think above 3 percent is a problem,” Gundlach told Reuters. “If the 10-year goes above 3 percent, you would also have to say unequivocally you have seen the end of the bond bull market.”

During his last webcast, Gundlach also reiterated that Donald Trump’s administration will be “bond unfriendly” and investors should brace for a 6 percent 10-year Treasury yield within four to five years.

Gundlach said it is reasonable to be nimble and do some purchasing of Treasuries. “I think it is an okay buy right now,” he said. “We hate the market less. We are a little bit less defensive,” Gundlach said. Since then the 10Y has traded rangebound. Earlier today, Bill Gross noted that a breakout of the 10Y yield above 2.60% would end the 30 year bull market rally, and would have substantial adverse consequences for all risk assets. On the topic, Gundlach referenced a different level, and said if the 10-year yield exceeds 3 percent next year, high-yield “junk” bonds will drop into a “black hole of illiquidity.”

In early December he said that “it is so late to be buying the Trump Trade.” That, has so far proven inaccurate with the Dow Jones soaring over 500 points since his statement, and continuing to knock on 20,000s door.

Readers can log into Gundlach’s latest live at the following link.

…read more

Source: Jeff Gundlach’s "Drain The Swamp" Presentation

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By Tyler Durden

George Clooney, apparently still upset that the millions of dollars he raised for Hillary Clinton’s campaign was a complete and utter waste, told a group of reporters in London that the U.S. got “a little unlucky” with the election of Donald Trump and we’re just going to have to “hope that he can do a decent job.” Per The Hill:

“When we first needed a president, we had George Washington,” Clooney said, according to the Associated Press. “We had Jefferson, Adams.”

“When we had the Civil War, we had Lincoln,” Clooney, 55, continued.

“I think we’re going to be a little unlucky now,” Clooney — who hosted some big-ticket fundraisers for then-Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton during the 2016 White House race — said of Trump. “I can only hope for the best,” the actor added.

“We have to hope that [Trump] can do a decent job, because when the president of the United States fails, really terrible things happen,” Clooney remarked Monday during a reception for his upcoming feature film documentary about Syrian rescue workers, “The White Helmets.”

If only we could have all been “lucky enough” to have been blessed with Hillary Clinton perhaps we wouldn’t have to be tortured by the daily comments from Hollywood’s elites who somehow, despite living a life completely detached from reality, have convinced themselves that they know what’s best for everyday Americans.

Of course, as a quick reminder, Clooney, proving just how detached from reality he is, is the one who declared back in May, along with many other Hollywood elites, that “There’s not going to be a President Donald Trump. That’s not going to happen.”

Clooney had declared last May at a press conference, “There’s not going to be a President Donald Trump. That’s not going to happen.”

“It’s not going to happen because… fear is not going to be something that drives our country,” Clooney said at the time. “We’re not going to be scared of Muslims, or immigrants, or women. We’re not actually afraid of anything.”

…read more

Source: Clooney Says The U.S. Got "A Little Unlucky" With President-Elect Trump

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By Tyler Durden

“We've made America a better, stronger place for the generations that will follow,” is how President Obama sees his reign in a Facebook post ahead of tonight's farewell address…

For Michelle and me, Chicago is where it all started. It’s the city that showed us the power and fundamental goodness of the American people.

It’s that inherent strength that brought our country through our fair share of challenges these last eight years. Because of you, we’ve come through them stronger. Because of you, we’ve held to a belief that has guided us ever since our founding – our conviction that, together, we can change this country for the better.

It’s easy to lose sight of that in the blizzard of our minute-to-minute Washington news cycles. But America is a story told not minute to minute, but generation to generation – a story written by parents, and teachers, and veterans, and neighbors who’ve taken on the call of citizenship, working together, without fanfare, to form a more perfect union.

Over the course of my life, I’ve been reminded time and again that change can happen – that ordinary people can come together to achieve extraordinary things. And I’ve seen that truth up close over these last eight years.

We’ve made America a better, stronger place for the generations that will follow. We’ve run our leg in a long relay of progress, knowing that our work will always be unfinished. And we’ve reaffirmed the belief that we can make a difference with our own hands, in our own time. That’s the imperative of citizenship – the idea that, with hard work, and a generous heart toward our fellow Americans, people who love their country can change it.

So tonight, I’m returning to where it all began to offer my most grateful farewell to the American people. I hope you’ll join me – I want to thank you for everything you’ve done.

We leave it to Ron Paul to beg to differ on the farce (via his Facebook page)…

Barack Obama started with a Nobel Peace Prize and is ending his presidency with the Pentagon's Distinguished Public Service Medal.

Sounds about right for a president who bombed 7 nations and became the first in U.S. history to be at war every single day of his eight year administration.

Just remember America, as Obama signs 'The Ministry of Truth' act into reality, “War is peace, freedom is slavery, and ignorance is strength.”

…read more

Source: Obama Claims "Made America A Better, Stronger Place" Despite Being At War Every Day Of His 2 Terms

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Publisher HarperCollins is ending sales of Trump aide and former Fox News contributor Monica Crowley’s book. …read more

Source: HarperCollins pulls Monica Crowley’s book

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Wells Fargo is rebooting its ATMs to allow customers to use smartphones to withdraw cash. …read more

Source: Coming to Wells Fargo: Card-free ATMs

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Some 11.5 million Americans have signed up for Obamacare coverage for 2017 even as Congress moves to repeal it. …read more

Source: Obamacare remains popular with 11.5M sign ups so far

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An inventory of his estate filed this week with a Minnesota Court is giving a glimpse into the star’s personal fortune. …read more

Source: Prince’s estate still being untangled

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By Tyler Durden

Since Donald Trump won the US election, small business optimism has exploded higher (from 94.9 in Oct to 105.8 in Dec). At the most optimistic since 2004, the last 2 months have seen the biggest spike in hope since 1980's Reagan era spike.

Notably, as @SentimentTrader notes, extreme small business optimism preceded: the '87 crash, '95 rally, '97 crash, '98 crash, '00 crash, and the '03-'06 rally.

With 50% expecting a better economy – the third highest number in history – we do however note that expectations for earnings remain negative.

Put differently, as far as sentiment goes, it doesn't get much better than this.

…read more

Source: Trumphoria Sends Small Business Optimism Soaring Most Since 1980

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By GoldCore

Gold Price In GBP Rises 4% On Brexit and UK Economy Risks

– Pound fell 2% against gold yesterday after Theresa May created Brexit concerns

– May’s ‘Hard Brexit’ denial does not calm markets growing fears

– Investors concerned about lack of government strategy and uncertainty

– UK Prime Minister bizarrely blames media and “those who print things” for sterling depreciation

– GBP gold builds on 31% gain in 2016 with 4% gain so far in 2017

Gold in GBP – 1 Year and Timeline (GoldCore)

1. June 24: Brexit: Gold surged 20% in sterling to £1,015/oz in two days after UK votes to leave EU
2. August 4: Bank of England expands QE – launches latest massive money printing experiment
3. October 6: “Flash crash” — pound collapses 5% against gold in just over a minute
4. January 9: Pound falls another 2% against gold as UK PM fails to reassure markets

Gold rose to its highest in over one a month today as fears that the UK will have a ‘Hard Brexit’ with the EU led to safe-haven buying.

The pound fell sharply yesterday and gold in sterling terms rose from £954/oz to £973/oz after weekend comments from British Prime Minister Theresa May sparked concerns that Britain would drastically change trade, immigration and other relations with the EU after Brexit.

Gold has consoidated on those gains today and is over 4% higher in sterling terms so far in 2017 – building on the 31% gains seen in 2016.

The gains being seen are not simply related to Brexit. There are also substantial risks facing the UK economy in terms of the London property bubble (which shows signs of bursting), the very large UK current account deficit and the massive UK national debt.

Spot gold in dollar terms rose another 0.5% today to $1,187.60 an ounce, its highest since Dec. 5 at $1,187.61

There is also strong physical gold buying in China ahead of the Lunar New Year later in January.

Gold looks set to test $1,200 in the short term. In the coming days, attention will turn to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration and the geo-political and economic uncertainty regarding the next four years of his Presidency. This will likely further boost safe haven demand.

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For your perusal, below are in order of downloads our most popular guides in 2016:

10 Important Points To Consider Before You Buy Gold

7 Real Risks To Your Gold Ownership

Essential Guide To Storing Gold In Switzerland

Essential Guide To Storing Gold In Singapore

Essential Guide to Tax Free Gold Sovereigns

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Gold and Silver Bullion – News and Commentary

Gold near 5-wk highs on weaker dollar, Brexit concerns (Reuters.com)

Gold hits fresh 6-week highs, then retreats (FXStreet.com)

U.S. Stocks Retreat, Treasuries Advance With Gold (Bloomberg.com)

Gold prices edge up; PGMs firm (BullionDesk.com)

Prince left behind $25 million in real …read more

Source: Gold Price In GBP Up 4% On Brexit and UK Risks

    

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