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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Wayne Madsen via The Strategic Culture Foundation,

So-called “liberals? and “progressives?, who once derided those on the political right who accused their ideological forbearers of kowtowing to the “Reds? and “Soviets? during the era of Senator Joseph McCarthy, have dusted off McCarthy’s playbook and are using the very same tactics against Donald Trump and his supporters. The modern-day McCarthyites, mostly neo-conservative Republicans and Hillary Clinton Democrats, are hitting the airwaves, print media, and the Internet hard with accusations of Russian links by Trump and his advisers while haphazardly throwing around lists of alleged “Russian agents?.

There is very little difference between what McCarthy told the Ohio County Republican Women’s Club in Wheeling, West Virginia in 1950:

“I have here in my hand a list of 205 that were known to the Secretary of State as being members of the Communist Party and who nevertheless are still working and shaping the policy of the State Department?.

In November 2016, a shadowy and anonymous group of self-described “nonpartisan? public policy wonks, computer scientists, and national security specialists calling themselves “PropOrNot? (Propaganda or Not) published a list of 200 websites cited as “peddlers of Russian propaganda during the election season, with combined audiences of at least 15 million Americans?. The Washington Post, Associated Press, and other corporate-controlled media outlets dutifully reported this diatribe as “news?. At least during the witch-hunting days of McCarthy and the House Un-American Activities Committee (HUAC), those accused of being Communist agents knew who their accusers were and could face them down publicly.

Rather than condemn the modern-day witch-hunting by faux liberals and progressives, the American media has provided the accusers with maximum support. When CBS newsman Edward R. Murrow called out McCarthy for his bullying tactics on nationwide television, he received support from America’s major newspapers:

The conservative Washington Evening Star wrote: “everyone… resents and detests the bully boy tactics which Senator McCarthy so often employs.

The New York World Telegram: [describing McCarthy’s tactics] “Bamboozling, bludgeoning, distorting way?.

The New York Times: [Condemned] “the unwarranted interference of a demagogue?.

Today, The New York Times has been leading the charge against Trump and his transition team, citing an unfounded U.S. Intelligence Community report calling out the news network RT and Sputnik News for “interfering? in the U.S. election by pushing “fake news?. The Times is engaged in a sort of demagoguery that Murrow, if he were alive today, would assuredly condemn. After exposing McCarthy before the nation as a dangerous demagogue, Murrow summed up his broadcast by issuing a stark warning the American public:

“We proclaim ourselves, as indeed we are, the defenders of freedom, wherever it continues to exist in the world, but we cannot defend freedom abroad by deserting it at home?.

The list of 200 “pro-Russian? websites produced by an anonymous entity and endorsed by the corporate media also crept into the U.S. intelligence report on alleged Russian hacking of Democratic National Committee computers and private email of Clinton campaign officials. The U.S. Intelligence Community, which is well-known for marketing false intelligence …read more

Source: The Disgusting Embrace Of Witch-Hunting McCarthyism By ‘Liberals’

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By Michael Snyder

A Quinnipiac University Poll that was released on Tuesday says that Donald Trump only has an approval rating of 37 percent.  Meanwhile, that same survey found that Barack Obama currently has an approval rating of 55 percent.  Of course considering the fact that Quinnipiac polls showed Hillary Clinton winning the election in November easily, perhaps we should not put too much stock in these results.  But other polling organizations have come up with similar results.  In fact, an average of nine recent polls indicates that Trump’s approval rating is somewhere around 42 percent.  So without a doubt there are a whole lot of people out there that do not like Donald Trump.

But the business community sure seems thrilled with him.  We just witnessed one of the greatest post-election stock market rallies in American history, numerous corporations have already announced that they will be bringing jobs back to the United States, and Bloomberg is reporting that small business optimism has hit the highest level that we have seen since the end of 2004…

Optimism among America’s small businesses soared in December by the most since 1980 as expectations about the economy’s prospects improved dramatically in the aftermath of the presidential election.

The National Federation of Independent Business’s index jumped 7.4 points last month to 105.8, the highest since the end of 2004, from 98.4. While seven of the 10 components increased in December, 73 percent of the monthly advance was due to more upbeat views about the outlook for sales and the economy, the Washington-based group said.

On the surface, all of these numbers appear to be contradictory.  If the American people are not feeling good about our new president, then it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense that the small business community would be so optimistic.

But of course the American people are not a single monolithic entity in 2017.  We are a deeply, deeply divided nation, and Donald Trump is the single most polarizing political figure to come along in generations.

Those that love Trump tend to really love Trump, and most of those people are quite optimistic about the future.

And those that hate Trump tend to really hate Trump.  Yesterday, I explained that the radical left wants to transform Inauguration Day into an epic riot, and many of his opponents are planning to spend the next four years doing whatever they can to destroy him.

Just look at what happened today.  The top story on CNN was about how the Russians supposedly have “compromising personal and financial information” on Donald Trump that they can use to blackmail him…

Classified documents presented last week to President Obama and President-elect Trump included allegations that Russian operatives claim to have compromising personal and financial information about Mr. Trump, multiple US officials with direct knowledge of the briefings tell CNN.

The allegations were presented in a two-page synopsis that was appended to a report on Russian interference in the 2016 election. The allegations came, in part, from memos compiled by a former British intelligence operative, …read more

Source: Trump’s Approval Rating Is Supposedly Only 37 Percent, But Small Business Optimism Just Hit The Highest Level In 12 Years

    

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By Tyler Durden

While we wish one of our favorite market commentators’, Mint’s Bill Blain, all the best as he recovers from his recent heart attack, we would like to share with readers his inaugural for 2017 note, which lays out his current concerns about the state of the markets, and the global economy.

From the January 10 edition of Blain’s Mid-Morning Porridge

Let me start by stating the issues causing me some worry:

Throughout my career, years ending in 7 haven’t been good.

1987 saw a massive stock market crash, in 1997 we got the Asian Financial Crisis, and 2007 saw the start of the Global Financial Crisis and consequences we’re still struggling with today. In the case of year 7s, the trend is not our friend.

I’m told by my stock picking chartists there is a 10-yr stock cycle that looks to have peaked. Many factors about this succession of market turnaround moments worry me – firstly, the scale of crisis seems to be multiplying as each 10-yrs event. A simple stock market rout in 1987 became near global catastrophe in 2007.

Thankfully we haven’t ever had the kind of absolute global market meltdown doomsters say will happen, but it does strike me that market moves – whether caused by an evil conjunction of rogue algorithims and Hi-Speed-Trading, or simple human foolishness – are becoming increasingly chaotic, thus raising the scale of crashes.

The second aspect is how financial crisis are solved. Each is new – but it worries me the efforts made to ensure the last crisis doesn’t happen again may contribute to the causes the next one. I certainly don’t believe the deluge of regulatory tat since 2008 has made the world safer. It has not… it has made it more.. difficult. It’s a game of consequences…

And change is definitely coming…

I’ve been looking at the dismal science of Economics. It’s proper name is political economy and its not a proper science. It’s a language for understanding complex events and responding to them,rather than mathematical rules. Over the past 10-years we’ve seen a massive economic experiment in monetary economics. It’s hasn’t gone well. It strikes me the legions of central bank economists are akin to the ancient alchemists looking to change base metal into gold….

The piper will soon want paid. The next phase – underway already – will be a reversal back to fiscal economics. That one potentially positive reality for the US and UK, but yet another minefield for Europe. It’s a big if to see whether Trump delivers the fiscal boost the market expects, or whether the continued weakness of sterling continues to push the FTSE into the stratosphere. I have my doubts…!
In Europe a swing towards Fiscal policy spells crisis.

The fact that France and Italy could be steaming towards fiscal stimuli will break the current ECB monetary consensus, while Germans become increasing strident about the need for higher rates and an end to QE. Add to that a hefty dose of European politics. …read more

Source: Bill Blain: "Throughout My Career, Years Ending In 7 Haven’t Been Good"

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Secretary of State nominee Rex Tillerson is entitled to a special capital gains tax break if he sells assets to avoid conflicts of interest. But he won’t enjoy that same break on the largest slice of his Exxon wealth. …read more

Source: Will Tillerson get a tax break on his Exxon payout?

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By Tyler Durden

While much of America was preparing to listen to Obama speak one final time, the Chinese had far less lofty ambitions, and on Wednesday morning Beijing sent a group of Chinese warships led by China’s sole aircraft carrier north through the Taiwan Strait, resulting in Taiwan scrambling jets and navy ships in the latest sign of heightened tensions between China and the self-ruled Taiwan.

According to Reuters, The Soviet-built Liaoning aircraft carrier, returning from exercises in the South China Sea, was not trespassing in Taiwan’s territorial waters but entered its air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in the southwest, Taiwan’s defense ministry said.

China’s Liaoning aircraft carrier conducts a drill in an area of South China Sea,
in this undated photo taken December, 2016

As a result Taiwan scrambled jets and navy ships to “surveil and control” the passage of the Chinese ships through the narrow body of water separating Taiwan and China. “We have full grasp of its movements,” Taiwan defense ministry spokesman Chen Chung-chi said.

The defense ministry spokesman added that the Taiwanese military aircraft and ships have been deployed to follow the carrier group, which is sailing up the west side of the median line of the strait.

Previously, China has said the Liaoning aircraft carrier was on drills to test weapons and equipment in the disputed South China Sea and its movements comply with international law.

As Reuters adds, the latest Chinese naval exercises have unnerved Beijing’s neighbors, especially Taiwan which Beijing claims as its own, given long-running territorial disputes in the South China Sea. China claims most of the energy-rich waters of the South China Sea, through which about $5 trillion in ship-borne trade passes every year. Neighbors Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam also have claims.

While China traditionally distrusts Taiwan, and especially the new President Tsai Ing-wen, it has has stepped up pressure on her following a protocol-breaking, congratulatory telephone call between her and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump last month.

…read more

Source: Taiwan Scrambles Jets, Navy After Chinese Aircraft Carrier Group Enters Taiwan Strait

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By Tyler Durden

Once again parting with Presidential tradition, rather that delivering his farewell speech from the oval office, the ever so humble Obama has decided to give his final address to the American people from his home town of Chicago. And, like his 2008 speech at the Democratic National Convention in Denver, we're certain this will be a glorious event complete with a slew of celebrities and all the pomp and circumstance befitting a king…rest assured that no taxpayer expense was spared.

While the content of Obama's remarks have not been revealed, earlier today he posted the following preview on Facebook which noted that he looks forward to going back to “where it all started” and humbly affirmed that he's “made America a better, stronger place for the generations that will follow.”

For Michelle and me, Chicago is where it all started. It’s the city that showed us the power and fundamental goodness of the American people.

It’s that inherent strength that brought our country through our fair share of challenges these last eight years. Because of you, we’ve come through them stronger. Because of you, we’ve held to a belief that has guided us ever since our founding – our conviction that, together, we can change this country for the better.

It’s easy to lose sight of that in the blizzard of our minute-to-minute Washington news cycles. But America is a story told not minute to minute, but generation to generation – a story written by parents, and teachers, and veterans, and neighbors who’ve taken on the call of citizenship, working together, without fanfare, to form a more perfect union.

Over the course of my life, I’ve been reminded time and again that change can happen – that ordinary people can come together to achieve extraordinary things. And I’ve seen that truth up close over these last eight years.

We’ve made America a better, stronger place for the generations that will follow. We’ve run our leg in a long relay of progress, knowing that our work will always be unfinished. And we’ve reaffirmed the belief that we can make a difference with our own hands, in our own time. That’s the imperative of citizenship – the idea that, with hard work, and a generous heart toward our fellow Americans, people who love their country can change it.

So tonight, I’m returning to where it all began to offer my most grateful farewell to the American people. I hope you’ll join me – I want to thank you for everything you’ve done.

And while Obama will undoubtedly brag about his amazing “economic recovery,” we would once again highlight the following data that seemingly paints a slightly more sobering picture.

Of course, these charts that we presented last summer also cast a slight shadow over Obama's “economic recovery.”

Unfortunately for Obama, simply stating something repeatedly doesn't actually make it a fact.

And speaking of repeating fictitious stories until they somehow become fact, as Post News pointed out yesterday, for weeks …read more

Source: Live Stream: Obama Says Farewell; Reminds Us One Last Time How Awesome He Is

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By Tyler Durden

While Gundlach spoke for an hour and a half in his first webcast of 2017, perhaps his longest presentation to the broader public yet, and covered many areas in the presentation titled “Just Markets“, one line will be remembered: his direct attack at Bill Gross, whom he called a “second tier bond manager” for calling 2.6% on the 10 Year an important level.

As a reminder, earlier today Bill Gross issued his monthly outlook in which he suggested that 10Y yields rising above 2.60% would spell the end for the bond bull market, and would likely have further dramatic consequences on asset prices:

“This is my only forecast for the 10-year in 2017. If 2.60% is broken on the upside – if yields move higher than 2.60% – a secular bear bond market has begun. Watch the 2.6% level. Much more important than Dow 20,000. Much more important than $60-a-barrel oil. Much more important that the Dollar/Euro parity at 1.00. It is the key to interest rate levels and perhaps stock price levels in 2017.”

Gundlach, obviously, disagreed noting “the last line in the sand is 3 percent on the 10-year. That will define the end of the bond bull market from a classic-chart perspective, not 2.60%” as Gross suggested. He then added that “almost for sure we’re going to take a look at 3 percent on the 10-year during 2017, and if we take out 3 percent in 2017, it’s bye-bye bond bull market. Rest in peace.” Such a jump would would have “a real impact on market liquidity in corporate bonds and junk bonds.”

It would also hit stocks, as 3% on the 10 Year would spell “trouble for equity markets.” He also said that “a 10-year above 3%, with the 30-year yield approaching 4%, would also be trouble for the equity market because they would start to look like ‘real’ yields to investors.” Previously Goldman reached the same conclusion, however when looking at 2.75% as the selloff bogey.

Gundlach said it’s not radical to forecast a 6% yield on the 10-year by 2020.

However, that won’t come quick: in predicting the next steps for the benchmark Treasury, Gundlach said “I think the 10-year Treasury will go below 2.25 percent … not below 2 percent” before once again starting to rise.

It is unclear how such a move in rates would impact Gundlach’s own DoubleLine, which at the end of December had $101 billion in AUM: as reported previously, in December DoubleLine’s Total Return Bond Fund suffered a $3.5 billion net outflow, its biggest one month redemption in history.

Repeating a claim he has made before, and reiterating a theme voiced previously by Morgan Stanley which said to “Sell the Inauguration”, Gundlach warned of a sell-off in the stock market around inauguration day as investors grasp that “Trump doesn’t have a magic wand to implement the growth plans they are optimistic about.”

Previewing the Fed’s rate hikes in 2017, Gundlach said that “all things being equal, the Fed will …read more

Source: Gundlach Calls Gross A "Second Tier Bond Manager" And Other Highlights From His Presentation

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By globalintelhub

Years ago the number of ad dollars spent on online advertising overtook the amount spent on offline advertising (TV, print, radio). This demographic shift was presented as form, not essence. It was presented as the evolution of media, firms were adapting and changing. But something much deeper was happening, it’s the end of an industry cycle called ‘media’ which is being replaced by ‘independent online media’ like Zero Hedge for finance, and thousands of other sites for their respective topics. Although the MSM (Main Stream Media) fights this, it’s bigger than them, it’s not something they can control. People who are holding on to their newspapers are old and dying (no offense, Grandpa). Cursive writing is no longer being taught in schools – and why should it?

Along with this shift comes a new host of problems as well, children addicted to social media oblivious to the ‘real world’ – but in the context of the MSM, it’s just a swan song they are singing loudly ‘we are still relevant! we are still relevant’ The fact is the old MSM model doesn’t work. State sponsored media like the BBC and PBS has always been at the core of investigative journalism, anyway. WaPo is losing money at an alarming rate. From 2013 we’re talking 85% drop in profit:

The Washington Post Co. on Friday reported bad news for its newspaper division, with revenue totaling $127.3 million for the first quarter of this year — down four percent from 2012 — and an operating loss of $34.5 million. Overall, the company posted a profit of just $4.7 million, an 85 percent drop in earnings from the net income of $31 million for the first quarter of last year.

But what are we talking about? WaPo is a big example but there are many. Exceptions such as Bloomberg are different because, they are not supported by media. Bloomberg never was a media outlet, Bloomberg provides an information service to traders and technology – and charges ALOT for it. Central banks trade on Bloomberg Terminals. The news division is something they do in order to advertise their core business. This model is sustainable. WaPo, NYT and others, will likely not exist in the years ahead – in the best case they will *really* evolve into a different model.

The fact that the MSM missed the election to such a large degree was akin to a ‘nail in the coffin’ signaling the end of the MSM completely.

Independent blogs, resources, and other sites will be the center of a new online media ecosystem. Checkout one example – www.globalintelhub.com

As a loyal ZH contributor, we’re happy to be a part of this shift.

We are often reminded of systems used in times past, as we will one day remember about the days of CNN and New York Times:

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…read more

Source: Is the mainstream media relevant anymore?

    

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Posted January 11th, 2017 in Uncategorized.