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By Tyler Durden

WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange has once again defied Swedish authorities by releasing his full 19-page testimony that was previously turned over to investigators last month. Among other things, the testimony includes several text messages, being revealed for the first time, from his accuser which he claims serve to prove his innocence.

Of course, Assange has maintained that the rape allegations, for which no official charges have been filed, are simply a cover for a larger legal case from the United States. In his statement, Assange asserts that sex with the woman, identified only as SW, whom he met while giving a speech in Stockholm, was “clearly consensual sex between adults.” He further asserts that the woman was an overzealous fan who did not intend to accuse him of rape, but was later goaded to market her story for publicity after police had acted.

In a preamble to his full statement, Assange asserts that he is “entirely innocent” and, despite being urged by Swedish authorities to keep the details of the investigation secret, he felt it was important for the “people to know the truth about how abusive this process has been.” Per The Hill:

“I want people to know the truth about how abusive this process has been,” Assange wrote in a preamble to his statement, which was published by the Australian Broadcasting Corporation.

“Furthermore, in the past the prosecution has fed partial information to tabloids that politically oppose me,” he added. “It is better that my statement, which I am happy with, and which makes it obvious to all that I am innocent, sees the light in full.”

“I am entirely innocent,” he claimed.

Assange releases full testimony in Swedish ‘sex case’: https://t.co/gifUGH5o2w
PDF: https://t.co/q3Pzze6b1l
HTML: https://t.co/UvmGW97cYm

— WikiLeaks (@wikileaks) December 7, 2016

Meanwhile, new text messages sent by Assange’s accuser, if proven accurate, do seem to indicate that the police. and not the woman in question, were the ones to have pushed for charges.

New SMS records show Assange was framed by police in 1st sex case: https://t.co/MqwZAvH0va and in 2nd case: https://t.co/OPCFRveUqM pic.twitter.com/SdI7rY0Cdp

— WikiLeaks (@wikileaks) December 7, 2016

If true, of course, this statement only serves to raise new questions surrounding the mysterious circumstances under which Assange has been subjected to, in his words, “unlawful, politicized detention” and “cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment.”

You have subjected me to six years of unlawful, politicized detention without charge in prison, under house arrest and four and a half years at this embassy. You should have asked me this question six years ago. Your actions in refusing to take my statement for the last six years have been found to be unlawful by the UN Working Group on Arbitrary Detention and by the Swedish Court of Appeal. You have been found to have subjected me to cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment. You have denied me effective legal epresentation in this process. Despite this, I feel compelled to …read more

Source: Assange Releases Full 19-Page Testimony In Alleged Swedish "Rape Case" – "I Am Entirely Innocent"

    

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by MiddleEastEye.net via TheAntiMedia.org,

Saudi authorities banned journalist Jamal Khashoggi from writing in newspapers, appearing on TV and attending conferences, the Alkhalij Aljadid reported in Arabic.

This came after Khashoggi’s remarks during a presentation he made at a Washington think-tank on 10 November in which he was critical of Donald Trump’s ascension to the US presidency.

Two weeks ago, an official Saudi source was cited by the Saudi News Agency as saying that Khashoggi did not represent the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in his interviews or statements.

#Saudi regime journalist, Jamal Khashoggi banned by the government from speaking for criticizing Donald Trump https://t.co/BijTT9T4J2

— Jim Early (@mkearley2008) November 26, 2016

“The author Jamal Khashoggi does not represent the government of Saudi Arabia or its positions at any level, and … his opinions only represent his personal views not that of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia,” said a ministry source quoted by the Saudi Press Agency.

The official Saudi position on Trump’s election was perhaps more accurately reflected by a former Saudi diplomat in mid-November who told the Washington Post: “Certainly, we are not expecting Mr Trump to be worse than Mr Obama was,” said Abdullah al-Shamri. Most members of the royal family, he said, “are happy with the result. We are closer to Republicans psychologically.”

Khashoggi’s remarks last month at the Washington Institute, the Breaking Energy website reported, indicated that in his view Trump’s Middle East stances were often contradictory, especially regarding Iran. While Trump is vocally anti-Iranian, he supports President Bashar al-Assad in the Syrian conflict, which ultimately bolsters Iranian regional control and rightfully makes Saudi Arabia nervous, Khashoggi was reported as saying.

Khashoggi said that Saudi Arabia should be ready for some surprises, and ought to create an alliance of Sunni countries to serve as a bulwark against a potentially anti-Sunni Trump, according to Breaking Energy.

In a Washington Post article on potential changes in the Middle East in light of Trump’s victory, Khashoggi described hopes for a broader regional reconciliation as “wishful thinking,” at odds with Trump’s apparent determination to ally more closely with Russia. He was quoted as saying: “When his advisers show him the map, will he realize supporting Putin means supporting the Iranian agenda? And this is what Saudi Arabia is concerned about, to stop Iranian hegemony.”

The Post went on to say that perhaps the biggest losers in the Middle East will be ordinary people who have been agitating for more democracy in the region. “For us, Trump’s election feels like a winter wind,” said Ahmed Saleh, an engineer who joined in the 2011 uprising in Egypt. “How can you hope for freedom when the most powerful man in the world doesn’t believe in our democracy?”

Khashoggi is a well-established Saudi writer and journalist. He has extensive political and media experience and held the position of editor in chief of a number of Saudi newspapers, including the Arab Times and Al-Watan.

Khashoggi has not commented on these reports, although Saudi sources close to …read more

Source: Saudi Journalist Banned From Media After Criticizing Trump

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By Tyler Durden

Two words – “nailed it”

What a difference 4 months makes… From Meltdown to Total Meltdown to Man Of The Year…

h/t @insidegame

As FoxNews notes however, while President-elect Donald Trump was named Time magazine’s Person of the Year on Wednesday, the honor basically ended there.

While describing Trump as the real change-maker of 2016, the magazine also ragged on the Republican president-elect as a “huckster” and “demagogue” while reserving its most glowing praise for runner-up Hillary Clinton — whom the edition breathlessly described as “an American Moses.”

In describing Trump, Time’s article almost exclusively used backhanded compliments. For instance, while the piece said he “did what no American politician had attempted in a generation,” it added that he “magnified the divisions of the present, inspiring new levels of anger and fear within his country.”

…

The article on Hillary Clinton is much different. Subtitled “The winner of the popular vote leaves a complicated legacy,” the tone is worlds away from the fulminating darkness that permeates the Trump piece.

The opening paragraph reads more like the prologue of St. John’s Gospel than an essay on a presidential runner-up, saying of Clinton: “she became a symbol in a fight that was about much more than symbolism.”

“She’s the woman who was almost President, she is what might have been and what will yet be.”

“Like an American Moses, she was an imperfect prophet, leading women to the edge of the Promised Land. Now it’s up to another woman to enter it.”

The big question is, will TIME name Putin ‘Man of the Year’ in 2017?

…read more

Source: The Collapse Of ‘Real’ Media Credibility (In 3 Simple Images)

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By Tyler Durden

It appears that devaluing your currency against by over 10% in a year against your major trading partners does have some affect (albeit delayed). China Exports (in Yuan terms) grew at 5.9% in November (the fastest growth since March) (well ahead of the expected 1% decline). Imports, however, also soared (by 13%) in Yuan terms. However, in USD terms, Imports rose by the most since Sept 2014 (and exports managed a small rise) as China's trade surplus slipped and missed expectations. Offshore Yuan is strengthening modestly on the print.

A 10%-plus devaluation…

And in Yuan terms, China Exports are surging…

And in USD terms, Exports also managed a small improvement (as imports soared)…

Big jumps in exports to US (+6.9% YoY), Taiwan (+6.5%), and Germany (+5.1% YoY) but exports to Russia soared 26.1% and Brazil by 36.9%.

China import growth was centered on Japan (+17.2%) and Australia (+13.7%), but UK's massive 37.6% surge was the standout.

As Bloomberg notes, Exports stabilizing suggests demand remains intact for now as the world’s largest exporter faces potential headwinds and policy uncertainty as Donald Trump prepares to take office Jan 20.

Exports are getting a lift from “likely improvement in global demand,” Song Yu, the Beijing-based chief China economist at Beijing Gao Hua Securities Co., the mainland joint-venture partner of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., wrote in a recent note.

China's trade balance continues to trend lower however…

And the immediate reaction is a modest strengthening in offshore Yuan…

…read more

Source: Yuan Strengthens After Rebound In China Exports, Trade Balance Disappoints

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By Tyler Durden

Back in August we noted that the Vancouver housing market was doomed after the implementation of a 15% property tax on foreign buyers targeting the massive influx of Chinese money driving real estate prices to astronomical levels. Sure enough, within a matter of weeks home prices had plunged and so had the volume of residential real estate transactions (see “As The Vancouver Housing Market Implodes, The “Smart Money” Is Rushing To Get Out Now“).

Three weeks after we suggested that the Vancouver housing bubble had popped in the aftermath of the implementation of the July 25 15% property tax in British Columbia targeting the Chinese free for all in Vancouver real estate, we got confirmation of that last week when we reported that only one word could describe what has happened to Vancouver housing in the past month: implosion.

Zolo, a Canadian real estate brokerage, which keeps track of MLS home sales in real-time and reports prices as an average rather than the “benchmark price”, showed as of last week a major correction underway in most Metro Vancouver markets. According to the website, the City of Vancouver currently has an average home price of $1.1 million, down 20.7% over the last 28 days and down 24.5% over the last three months. The average detached home is $2.6 million, down 7% compared to three months ago.

The number of transactions has likewise slammed shut: while August is typically one of the slowest months for real estate transactions, MLS sales data from the first two weeks of the month shows what many have been hoping for during the last few years of escalating prices. According to MLS listing data, there were only three home sales in West Vancouver between Aug. 1 and 14 this year, compared to 52 during the same period last year. That’s a decrease of 94%.

But, of course, all that laundered Chinese money has to go somewhere…and preferably somewhere without a 15% penalty tax on foreign buyers. So, at just a hop, skip and a jump across the border, wealthy Chinese citizens looking to move hot cash offshore have set their sites on Seattle. According to Bloomberg, within days of the implementation of the new Vancouver tax, real estate brokers in Seattle saw a noticeable increase in inquiries from Chinese buyers.

Just a few days after Vancouver announced a tax on foreign property investors, Seattle real estate broker Lili Shang received a WeChat message from a wealthy Chinese businessman who wanted to sell a home in Canada and buy in her area.

After a week of showings, he purchased a $1 million property in Bellevue, across Lake Washington from Seattle. He soon returned to buy two more, including a $2.2 million house in Clyde Hill paid for with a single cashier’s check.

Shang says she’s been inundated with similar requests from China and Hong Kong after Vancouver’s provincial government enacted a 15 percent tax on foreign homebuyers in August to help cool …read more

Source: Chinese Driven Vancouver Housing Bubble Moves To Seattle – "This Is Vancouver 2.0"

    

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By Tyler Durden

Authored by Paul Joseph Watson and Alex Jones, originally posted at InfoWars.com,

Isn’t it ironic how the mainstream media has the nerve to lecture everyone else about “fake news” when they are the primary source of fake news on a consistent basis stretching back years?

Fake news stories and fake narratives put out by the mainstream media have resulted in deaths, destruction and people’s lives being ruined.

The most harmful fake news is routinely published by the mainstream media. They are the main progenitors of fake news.

– The fake news that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction and that Iraq was involved in 9/11, dutifully regurgitated without question by the mainstream media, resulted in hundreds of thousands of dead Iraqis, thousands of dead and injured U.S. troops, and the destabilization of an entire continent.

– The fake news that the rebels in Syria were “moderates” who did not have jihadist sympathies and should be supported led to the destruction of Syria, Libya and the rise of ISIS.

– The fake news narrative that the media was balanced in its coverage of the presidential election was completely obliterated when Wikileaks emails revealed that countless mainstream media reporters were in bed with the Clinton campaign, feeding them debate questions beforehand and conspiring with Hillary’s staff to portray her in a positive light.

– The fake news that George Zimmerman was obsessed with Trayvon Martin’s race before the altercation that led to Martin’s death was accomplished by means of NBC deceptively editing an audio tape. This incident stoked racial tensions across the country and laid the groundwork for the violent ‘Black Lives Matter’ movement that was to follow.

– The fake news that produced the “hands up, don’t shoot” narrative, which was proven to be completely fraudulent, led to riots, violent attacks and looting in Ferguson, Missouri, as well as numerous other U.S. cities. Even after the rioting began, the mainstream media continued to legitimize the unrest. Fake news outlets continued to parrot the “hands up, don’t shoot” narrative even after it was proven false.

– The fake news that saw innumerable people accused of rape at college campuses across America, claims that were proven wrong, ruined people’s lives and perpetuated the myth (fake news) that one in five women are raped on college campuses.

– The fake news that George W. Bush served dishonorably during his time in the Air National Guard was broadcast by CBS News with the aid of fake documents. In circulating this fake news, CBS tried to influence the 2004 presidential election but only ended up crucifying their own credibility, leading to Dan Rather’s resignation six months later.

– The fake news that NBC anchor Brian Williams faced enemy fire while helicoptering into Iraq in 2003 was exposed when soldiers who were aboard the helicopter blew the whistle on his lies. Despite admittedly putting out fake news, Williams still has a career in …read more

Source: The Ultimate "Fake News" List

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By Tyler Durden

In the most rececnt example why the “mainstream media” is facing a historic crisis of confidence among its readership, facing unprecedented blowback following Craig Timberg November 24 Washington Post story “Russian propaganda effort helped spread ‘fake news’ during election, experts say“, on Wednesday a lengthy editor’s note appeared on top of the original article in which the editor not only distances the WaPo from the “experts” quoted in the original article whose “work” served as the basis for the entire article (and which became the most read WaPo story the day it was published) but also admits the Post could not “vouch for the validity of PropOrNot’s finding regarding any individual media outlet”, in effect admitting the entire story may have been, drumroll “fake news” and conceding the Bezos publication may have engaged in libel by smearing numerous websites – Zero Hedge included – with patenly false and unsubstantiated allegations.

It was the closest the Washington Post would come to retracting the story, which has now been thoroughly discredited not only by outside commentators, but by its own editor.

The apended note in question:

Editor’s Note: The Washington Post on Nov. 24 published a story on the work of four sets of researchers who have examined what they say are Russian propaganda efforts to undermine American democracy and interests. One of them was PropOrNot, a group that insists on public anonymity, which issued a report identifying more than 200 websites that, in its view, wittingly or unwittingly published or echoed Russian propaganda. A number of those sites have objected to being included on PropOrNot’s list, and some of the sites, as well as others not on the list, have publicly challenged the group’s methodology and conclusions. The Post, which did not name any of the sites, does not itself vouch for the validity of PropOrNot’s findings regarding any individual media outlet, nor did the article purport to do so. Since publication of The Post’s story, PropOrNot has removed some sites from its list.

As The Washingtonian notes, the implicit concession follows intense and rising criticism of the article over the past two weeks. It was “rife with obviously reckless and unproven allegations,” Intercept reporters Glenn Greenwald and Ben Norton wrote, noting that PropOrNot, one of the groups whose research was cited in Timberg’s piece, “anonymous cowards.” One of the sites PropOrNot cited as Russian-influenced was the Drudge Report.

The piece’s description of some sharers of bogus news as “useful idiots” could “theoretically include anyone on any social-media platform who shares news based on a click-bait headline,” Mathew Ingram wrote for Fortune.

But the biggest issue was PropOrNot itself. As Adrian Chen wrote for the New Yorker, its methods were themselves suspect, hinting at counter-Russian propaganda – ostensibly with Ukrainian origins – and verification of its work was nearly impossible. Chen wrote “the prospect of legitimate dissenting voices being labelled fake news or Russian propaganda by mysterious groups of ex-government employees, with the help of a national newspaper, is even …read more

Source: Washington Post Apends "Russian Propaganda" Story, Admits It May Be Fake

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By Tyler Durden

Markets remain more fragile than today’s volatility levels suggest according to BofAML's global equity derivatives group.

This fragility has been driven by:

• Central bank dominance: Markets’ overdependence on central bank policy suppresses risk and reduces the breadth of factors driving asset returns. This starves the market for alpha, leads to excessive crowding (as more capital is chasing fewer opportunities), reduces investor conviction and increases the risk of tantrums. This reduced conviction has also contributed to investors running high cash levels and adopting the buy-the-dip strategy which has contributed to the record reversals in volatility as well.
• Failing liquidity: Due to both regulatory change impacting banks and increasing risk-aversion among high frequency market makers, liquidity has been drying up at record speed during times of stress.

While our Fragility Indicator, based on the number of cross-asset shocks recorded over a 6-month window, has been declining since early 2016, our short-term fragility indicator has recently spiked to the 95th percentile since 2000 following Trump’s US election win, and this event set a record in terms of the S&P jumping from extreme intra-day volatility to calm as investors rushed to buy the dip.

While we don’t expect this fragility affliction to reverse near-term, if higher inflation pushes rates higher and reduces the Fed’s ability to micro-manage the market, this would remove one of the key pillars of fragility.

And while it still only a possibility, if regulation which has helped cause trading liquidity to dry-up is reversed, it would only further alleviate today’s fragile condition. In other words, the more the “new normal” becomes more like the old normal, the less fragile markets should become.

The “old normal” equals more alpha for active managers

Active managers have recorded among their poorest performance recently in this era of high fragility.

Chart 12 shows that hedge funds have recorded very poor performance, exhibiting in 2016 their largest drawdown relative to the risk they are running in any period outside of 2008. Similarly, the lowest percentage of large cap US active equity managers has outperformed their benchmark this year since 2003 according to data from our equity strategists. This is despite one measure of active alpha potential, which historically has correlated well to active manager performance, rising steadily since 2013 (Chart 11).

This would suggest the reason active managers have underperformed is not due to a lack of potential market opportunity, rather due to the drivers of returns shifting away from traditional fundamental factors to things such as position crowding, CB intervention and momentum vs. mean reversion – all hallmarks of a fragile market.

Active opportunity rising but so is the risk

Since the US election, as the market has begun to rapidly differentiate between winners and losers from potential fiscal stimulus and inflation, sector dispersion relative to the level of market volatility has risen dramatically to the 96th percentile since 1990 (Chart 13).

While this represents significant opportunity for active managers to outperform, it also represents significant risks if the strong …read more

Source: Will 2017 See Peak Fragility?

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By Tyler Durden

Today’s epic melt up has left many traders, investors and market watchers speechless. But even prior to Wednesday’s explosive move higher, the market was already in nosebleed territory.

As Bank of America calculates, as of yesterday’s close, multiples expanded across most sectors and across all size segments in November. The S&P 500 forward P/E of 16.7x is back at September-end levels (10% above average), while the trailing P/E of 21.6x is at its highest levels since late 2009 (nearly 20% above average). Valuations for the index look elevated vs. history across most metrics (Table 2), though a still-elevated equity risk premium suggests stocks continue to look attractive vs. bonds. And large caps now look attractive vs. small caps, where the Russell 2000’s forward P/E jumped to a 20-month high in November, its biggest one-month increase since 2009.

To allow readers to decide for themselves whether stocks are massively overvalued and overbought, or perhaps cheap, here is a breakdown of the S&P 500 across a wide variety of valuation measures — 20 in total — to gauge whether US stocks look cheap vs. history.

What the analysis shows is that of 20 metrics, the S&P is overvalued based on 17 of them by as much as 76% (on a historical market cap to GDP) basis, and is cheap only according to trailing normalized PE (18.5x vs 19.0x average), Price to Free Cash Flow (23.1x vs 28.4x) which however is a function of ultra low interest rates, and also based on a ratio of the S&P-to-Russell 2000 fwd PE multiples.

Ok fine, the market is cheap, and on the 20th anniversary of “Irrational exuberance” it is going for try #2. However, is every sector overpriced? Here, some opportunities emerge: Health Care is now the cheapest sector vs. history on all three relative multiples tracked by BofA (forward P/E, Price to Operating Cash Flow, and Price to Book), and all industries within Health Care are trading at a discount to history on both relative forward P/E and P/OCF— especially Biotech, which trades at a 30% discount to the market’s P/E vs. a 30% premium historically. After today’s Trump comment it is trading even cheaper. While Health Care’s multiple had collapsed to multi-year lows on election risks, the sector barely re-rated last month despite the removal of this uncertainty overhang. If multiples were to revert back to their L/T average, this would imply over 30% upside.

What is expensive: according to the three chosen valuation metrics, Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Materials and IT are the most overvalued, in some cases by as much as 47%.

So what does this mean in terms of recommendations from BofA? Well, the answer is, “its complicated.” During a press event in NYC, BofA’s head of U.S. equity, quantitative strategy Savita Subramanian, said that her outlook is “bifurcated.” The truth, however, is that Savita is right – at this moment the market can go straight up, or it could crash, both with equal probability, based on what happens to Trump’s proposed policies. As she …read more

Source: Just How Overvalued Is The Market? Here Are 20 Metrics To Help You Decide

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By Tyler Durden

The U.S. Council on Competitiveness asked Gallup to conduct, pro bono, a comprehensive study of U.S. growth and productivity for the Council's 30th anniversary.

Chairman Jim Clifton enthusiastically said yes, and describes his findings…

A Gallup senior economist led the study. Top Gallup experts and esteemed external senior scientists reviewed it to ensure statistical and theoretical accuracy and objectivity.

Conventional wisdom — as reported in many major newspapers and media — tells us the U.S. economy is “recovering.” Well-meaning economists, academics and government officials use the term “recovery” when discussing the economy, implying that growth is getting stronger.

The study, released today, finds there is no recovery. Since 2007, U.S. GDP per capita growth has been 1%.

The Great Recession may be over, but America is dangerously running on empty.

Think of our country as a company, America Inc., which has more than 100 million full-time employees, with about $18 trillion in sales and $20 trillion of debt. The most serious problem facing it is no growth. In addition, America Inc. has three soaring expenses threatening to bankrupt the company and its shareholder-citizens: healthcare, housing and education.

As this report notes, in 1980, these three sectors accounted for 25% of total national spending — today, they account for more than 36%. They also account for most of the total measured inflation over the same period. And without inflation in these sectors, real annual productivity — defined as GDP per capita growth — would have been an estimated 3.9% instead of 1.7%.

My own opinion is that America Inc. is too big to “turn around” like one would a company or any other organization. There is no quick fix to something this huge and complex. But there is a long-term fix, which is to get GDP increasing to 3% and higher while slowing the increasing costs of healthcare, housing and education.

When real growth returns, productivity will increase, and America Inc.'s empty tank will refill.

* * *

Full report below (please note that if you are unsatisfied with this study please report Gallup to The Washington Post for being a Russian puppet..)

…read more

Source: Gallup CEO Warns: "America Inc.’s Running On Empty…And It’s Too Big To Turn Around"

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