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Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Alan "Bubbles" Greenspan Returns To Gold

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By Tyler Durden

1-CPI

Authored by Bonner & Partners' Bill Bonner (annotated by Acting-Man's Pater Tenebrarum),

Faking It

Under a gold standard, the amount of credit that an economy can support is determined by the economy’s tangible assets, since every credit instrument is ultimately a claim on some tangible asset. […] The abandonment of the gold standard made it possible for the welfare statists to use the banking system as a means to an unlimited expansion of credit.

— Alan Greenspan, 1961

He was in it for the power and the glory… Alan Greenspan gets presidential bling affixed to his neck by GW Bush, the English language mangler

That old rascal! Before joining the feds, former Fed chief Alan “Bubbles” Greenspan was a strong proponent of gold and the gold standard. He wrote clearly and forcefully about how it was necessary to restrain the Deep State and protect individual freedom.

Then he went to Washington and faced a fork in the tongue. In one direction, lay honesty and integrity. In the other, lay power and glory.

Under the Bretton Woods monetary system, the U.S. promised foreign central banks that it would convert their dollars to gold at a fixed price of $35 an ounce. This constrained the amount of dollars the U.S. could print to the amount of gold it had in its reserves.

A smart man, Greenspan quickly realized he could not advocate for this old, tried-and-true gold standard and run the Deep State’s new credit money system. In 1987, he made his choice. He took over the top job at the Fed and faked it for the next 19 years.

Since 1978, we have had four different Fed chiefs. Some were smart. Some were honest. Only Paul Volcker was smart and honest. Bernanke was honest… we believe. As near as we can tell, so is Janet Yellen. Both may mean well, but both are careful not to think out of the Deep State box.

Alan Greenspan was smart. But he is a scalawag. He knew all along that the system was corrupt and self-serving. He had explained it in essays he’d written prior to joining the Fed.

1998_Time-MagCover_Greenspan-committe-save-world

The committee, that in hindsight, actually screwed the world (here’s a little hint for TIME, for next time: “committees” have never saved anything). A bunch of quintessential Deep State minions…

But he also knew he would never get his picture on the cover of TIME magazine if he told the truth. In 1999, Greenspan eventually got his mug on the cover. The magazine pictured him alongside then Treasury secretary Robert Rubin and his deputy, Larry Summers, under the headline “The Committee to Save the World” for their handling of the Asian financial crisis.

It was power Greenspan wanted; he knew he would have to play the Deep State’s game to get it.

Golden Period

Now, Mr. Greenspan is 90 years old. Either he feels the cold downdraft of the beckoning grave… or he is simply forgetting to mumble. In an interview in the wake of Britain’s …read more

Source: Alan "Bubbles" Greenspan Returns To Gold

    

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Osama Bin Laden’s Son Emerges, Threatens Revenge For Father’s Assassination

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By Tyler Durden

When it rains it pours. Lately the US has been dealing with surging violence between state police forces and local residents. Along with the continuing threat of ISIS, the US now has Hamza Bin Laden, son of Osama Bin Laden, to focus on following reports of a new audio message in which he threatens the US among others.

The new threat comes just over two months after the five-year anniversary of Osama Bin Laden's death.

Hamza appears to desire a rekindling to the Bin Laden vs. US tensions following a recent surge in ISIS brand recognition. Hamza is a new face for al Qaeda and offers a millennial viewpoint for recruitment and brainwashing. As a mid-twenty-year-old Hamza is ripe to lead a new jihad given his claims that his revenge is less about his father and more about “those who defended Islam”. As Reuters reports:

Hamza bin Laden promised to continue the global militant group's fight against the United States and its allies in the 21-minute speech entitled “We Are All Osama,” according to the SITE Intelligence Group.

“We will continue striking you and targeting you in your country and abroad in response to your oppression of the people of Palestine, Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Somalia and the rest of the Muslim lands that did not survive your oppression,”

Hamza said. “As for the revenge by the Islamic nation for Sheikh Osama, may Allah have mercy on him, it is not revenge for Osama the person but it is revenge for those who defended Islam.“

Hamza's role as a new al Qaeda face was solidified in 2015 when current leader Ayman al-Zawahiri introduced Hamza in a 2015 message. More from Reuters:

Introduced by the organization's new chief Ayman al-Zawahiri in an audio message last year, Hamza provides a younger voice for the group whose aging leaders have struggled to inspire militants around the world galvanized by Islamic State.

His name and genealogy add weight to al Qaeda's efforts against the US.

Bin Laden is now another name that will be used as a magnet to attract frustrated youths to fight against oppressors like that US and when mixed with the ISIS threat and the domestic chaos that builds each day inside US borders, a melting pot of emotion and uncertainty will surely birth more violence in the US and abroad.

As the US slides further into anarchy and chaos, what more could Hamza want to do to a nation that distrusts its government and is just now beginning a war with its own police forces?

…read more

Source: Osama Bin Laden’s Son Emerges, Threatens Revenge For Father’s Assassination

    

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Morgan Stanley Lists The Ten Excuses Hedge Funds Give For Bad Performance

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By Tyler Durden

Morgan Stanley’s chief US equity strategist, Adam Parker, has not had a good year so far and as we reported last week has one big fear: being “the counter-indicating idiot.”

Today, we give Parker credit for tackling head on the very sensitive issue of persistent asset management underperformance, and unlike his hedge fund peers who ascribe just an 8% causality to “stock selection” as the driver behind poor returns (with more than a majority blaming their peers or “crowding”) Parker is at least honest: “the truth is that 100%, at some level, should have said “poor stock selection”, and what these data reveal is that 92% of respondents are blaming something other than their stock selection methodology for the current underperformance. Our portfolio has outperformed for five straight years, and is lagging this year. It is 100% stock selection.“

With that out of the way, Parker then proceeds to list the 10 specific excuses given by hedge funds to justify their poor performance for the 7th year in a row.

* * *

From Morgan Stanley’s Sunday Start, by Adam Parker:

The Ten Excuses for Bad Performance

At two recent Morgan Stanley investor conferences, the question of poor hedge fund performance surfaced repeatedly. We surveyed a group of long/short fundamental equity hedge fund managers at one of the conferences, asking them for the primary reason for poor performance of their industry.

The answers were: 54% said “crowding”, 23% said “factor exposures”, 8% blamed “macro headwinds” and 8% said “poor liquidity”. The remaining group (also 8%) said “poor stock selection”.

In other words, when performance is bad, it is beta, when performance is good, it is alpha. The truth is that 100%, at some level, should have said “poor stock selection”, and what these data reveal is that 92% of respondents are blaming something other than their stock selection methodology for the current underperformance. Our portfolio has outperformed for five straight years, and is lagging this year. It is 100% stock selection.

The alpha from the HFRI long-short index was close to 14% per annum in the early 1990s, and has been slightly below zero for the past few years.

Why is this? We don’t claim to have some systematic rank ordering of reasons for the decay in performance, but here are ten thoughts.

  1. First, there has been massive growth in the total number of hedge funds, with HFR estimating that there are 3,400 equity-focused hedge funds today (about as many as stocks under global coverage by the Morgan Stanley research department).
  2. Second, low interest rates have removed the rebate that hedge funds received, a non-trivial driver of historical returns when rates were materially higher.
  3. Third, hedge fund CIOs are increasingly cautious. Since 2003, FAS123R has made it illegal for hedge funds (and everyone) to know anything material and non-public in the US, at least, and the high-profile and frequent investigations of hedge funds have curtailed information-seeking at some level.
  4. Fourth, the more rapid availability of information has materially shortened the time arbitrage that existed …read more

    Source: Morgan Stanley Lists The Ten Excuses Hedge Funds Give For Bad Performance

        

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Lin-Manuel Miranda’s takes final bow in ‘Hamilton’

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Lin-Manuel Miranda will have to teach himself how to say goodbye as he takes the “Hamilton” stage for the final time Saturday night. …read more

Source: Lin-Manuel Miranda’s takes final bow in ‘Hamilton’

    

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Facebook Live’s big moment raises big questions

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for latest details. …read more

Source: Facebook Live’s big moment raises big questions

    

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MTV, BET hold live town hall on racial violence

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MTV President Sean Atkins explains why the network is holding a live town hall following the country’s tragic week. …read more

Source: MTV, BET hold live town hall on racial violence

    

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Entire US Cyber Network Is Already Compromised, Clinton Emails Are The Least Of Our Worries

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By Tyler Durden

Hillary Clinton's emails and server misconduct are the least of our worries. The fact that her server was receiving files that passed through or originated on the State Department servers is enough to know she exposed her private system to hackers. The US system is/was/has been compromised, for years, since before Hillary tapped in her new network. Michael McCaul, a Texas Congressman and Chairman of The House Committee On Homeland Security called Clinton “careless” and said she “potentially did harm” to national security. Earlier this week McCaul said this:

One thing is clear from FBI Director Comey’s announcement today—Secretary Clinton was not fully honest in her representation of her use of email to the American people. She was careless with classified and sensitive information and potentially did harm to the United States and our national security. Secretary Clinton will still have to answer to and be held accountable by the American people.

Congressman McCaul has good reason to think that way. According to his website, the Congressman has been:

  • The Chief of Counter Terrorism & National Security in the US Attorney's office, TX
  • The Led on a Joint Terrorism Task Force charged with detecting, deterring and preventing terrorist activity,

Recall FBI Director Comey commenting “…we asses it is possible that hostile actors gained access to Secretary Clinton's personal email account“. With that in mind, listen carefully to this 2011 comment from Michael McCaul, Chairman of the US House of Representatives Committee on Homeland Security speaking at a Cyber Security roundtable hosted by the Council on Foreign Relations (comment at 52:08) in which he responds to a question saying:

This is what keeps you up at night…the intellectual theft is awful and espionage, but the cyber warfare piece can be, the consequences far more damaging than a one-to-two man ISIS operation in the United States. This could literally bring down, you know, the energy grid, you know, the banking institutions, I mean, the stock exchange…cause chaos and enormous damage. I would argue they've [foreign governments] infiltrated many of our data systems already and can turn the switch off. That's the power that they have.

Allow us to repeat that one more time for dramatic effect for that is a heavily weighted comment buried an hour into a video with only 4,319 views:

This could literally bring down, you know, the energy grid, you know, the banking institutions, I mean, the stock exchange…cause chaos and enormous damage. I would argue they've [foreign governments] infiltrated many of our data systems already and can turn the switch off. That's the power that they have.”

That's huge! When Hillary began transferring files and connecting emails with the State Department system, she was already compromised. No matter how she felt, what she thought, nothing matters. The open US system is likely why Marcel Lazar, aka Guccifer, said Hillary's server “was like an open orchid on the Internet.“

Mind you, as we reported in May, Lazar had been focusing on US political actors for some time:

Lazar was indicted in 2014 …read more

Source: Entire US Cyber Network Is Already Compromised, Clinton Emails Are The Least Of Our Worries

    

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Is Another 9/11 Necessary To Re-Direct American Anger?

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By Tyler Durden

Via The Daily Bell,

America’s Anger Is Out of Control, Jeffrey Kluger … After the September 11 attacks, TIME’s Lance Morrow wrote a powerful essay titled, “The Case for Rage and Retribution,” in which he argued:

“For once let’s have no fatuous rhetoric about ‘healing.’ A day cannot live in infamy without the nourishment of rage. Let’s have rage. What’s needed is a unified, unifying, Pearl Harbor sort of purple American fury—a ruthless indignation that doesn’t leak away in a week or two…”

– TIME

As we can see from the above statement, Jeff Kluger has in mind another convulsive episode like Pearl Harbor or 9/11 that will unify the “anger” that Americans feel.

Kluger seems to imply that this anger is stemming from current elections. His concern is that it is spilling over into other areas of life.

If every offensive, unjust or insulting incident turns into a jolt of high-fructose fury mainlined straight to the brain’s amygdala, what’s left when there’s a truly right and righteous reason to rise up in anger? And those important moments do occur.

Kluger seems to be saying that anger has become fashionable and applying anger liberally trivializes it.

Also, if Americans are angry about many things, that makes for a dysfunctional society rather than a unified one.

Kluger obviously wants a unified America. In order for rage to be unifying it needs to be a “purple American fury.”

This is actually a somewhat cynical assessment of how to manipulate anger in our view.

Why do we need another Pearl Harbor or 9/11 just so Americans can feel unified?

Why should “Americans” feel unified anyway? And, really, what is an “American?”

Because the “anger in America” meme is ubiquitous in the mainstream media at the moment, there are many other commentaries on it.

Here’s one from CNN by Michael Smerconish:

Are the voters really mad as hell? … voters, many of them in the GOP, have outsized weight in politics … The anger that threatens Washington based on partisanship is metastasizing. Now is the time to take back control of our political debate.

Remember, when Howard Beale asked Americans to shout outside that they were “mad as hell”, many followed. It’s time for the rest of us to close our windows.

CNN is asking us to “close our windows” and not listen to people who are “angry” about the state of America’s politics and economy.

TIME is hopeful that this anger can be channeled into some horrible, outsized event that will unify the current emotional anarchy.

Both of these editorials seem frightened by anger. But the description trivializes what is going on.

People aren’t just “angry.” Many are extraordinarily upset about certain events taking place in the USA. It’s not simply an inchoate emotion.

Millions upon millions are angry over the reduction in freedoms and the rise of the fedgov political class.

They are worried and anxious about police shootings, gun confiscation and a general trend toward increased authoritarianism all around them.

They don’t recognize America anymore. It feels like a fascist or socialist country.

Like Kluger’s …read more

Source: Is Another 9/11 Necessary To Re-Direct American Anger?

    

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How To Fix The FBI’s History Of Political Abuse – Abolish It!

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Ryan McMaken via The Mises Institute,

Like all employees of the FBI, James Comey lives off the sweat of the American taxpayer. His large salary, upon retirement, will be converted into a very generous pension. Like most federal employees in a high ranking position like his, Comey continues to look forward to decades of living at a standard of living far above what is experienced by ordinary people in the private sector.

To maintain this life of comfort, all he had to do was agree to look the other way as a powerful politician clearly — by Comey's own admission — broke federal law.

Naturally, this same treatment would never be afforded to an ordinary taxpayer, who would likely be looking at years in federal prison for offenses similar to that which Hillary Clinton has apparently committed. Moreover, Comey even went out of his way to do his best to ensure no federal prosecutor would proceed with charges when he claimed that “no reasonable prosecutor” would proceed with charges. It wasn't enough for Comey to simply not recommend charges. He had to pre-emptively condemn any prosecutor who might proceed with charges.

Some have claimed that Comey was forced to cave to Obama administration pressure in order to protect his family. Of course, Comey could have resigned his position rather than take a position he regarded as unethical. Then the task of clearing Clinton would have fallen to Comey's successor. There are precedents for this. When ordered by Nixon to fire the special prosecutor in the Watergate scandal, Attorney General Elliot Richardson resigned rather than do what the president mandated. Comey could have done the same, but then he would have had to give up some of his comforts and privileges. To find work, he might have had to move to an unexciting place like Indianapolis or Albuquerque.

Nevertheless, Comey has accidentally done us a great service by publicly exhibiting the true nature of the FBI: it is a political organization that expands the reach and prerogatives of the federal government over citizens and taxpayers, while protecting the powerful.

Of all federal police forces, the FBI is the most romanticized, and every FBI agent is assumed to be the modern embodiment of a fictionalized version of Eliot Ness: incorruptible, professional, and efficient. Decades of pop culture has driven this home with TV series and movies such as The Untouchables, The FBI Story, and This Is Your FBI have long perpetuated the idea that when local police fail, the FBI will step in to be more effective and simply better than every other law enforcement agency. Corruption cannot touch the FBI, we are told, and they apply the law equally to everyone.

A History of Abuse

This was always obviously untrue to anyone not suffering from crippling naïvete, but Comey has helped make the political nature of the Bureau plain for all to see.

The reality and the romance, of course, have always been two totally different things, and it's helpful …read more

Source: How To Fix The FBI’s History Of Political Abuse – Abolish It!

    

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Charting The Epic Collapse Of The World’s Most Systemically Dangerous Bank

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By Tyler Durden

It’s been almost 10 years in the making, but the fate of one of Europe’s most important financial institutions appears to be sealed.

After a hard-hitting sequence of scandals, poor decisions, and unfortunate events,Visual Capitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes that Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank shares are now down -48% on the year to $12.60, which is a record-setting low.

Even more stunning is the long-term view of the German institution’s downward spiral.

With a modest $15.8 billion in market capitalization, shares of the 147-year-old company now trade for a paltry 8% of its peak price in May 2007.

Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist

THE BEGINNING OF THE END

If the deaths of Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns were quick and painless, the coming demise of Deutsche Bank has been long, drawn out, and painful.

In recent times, Deutsche Bank’s investment banking division has been among the largest in the world, comparable in size to Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. However, unlike those other names, Deutsche Bank has been walking wounded since the Financial Crisis, and the German bank has never been able to fully recover.

It’s ironic, because in 2009, the company’s CEO Josef Ackermann boldly proclaimed that Deutsche Bank had plenty of capital, and that it was weathering the crisis better than its competitors.

It turned out, however, that the bank was actually hiding $12 billion in losses to avoid a government bailout. Meanwhile, much of the money the bank did make during this turbulent time in the markets stemmed from the manipulation of Libor rates. Those “wins” were short-lived, since the eventual fine to end the Libor probe would be a record-setting $2.5 billion.

The bank finally had to admit that it actually needed more capital.

In 2013, it raised €3 billion with a rights issue, claiming that no additional funds would be needed. Then in 2014 the bank head-scratchingly proceeded to raise €1.5 billion, and after that, another €8 billion.

A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS

In recent years, Deutsche Bank has desperately been trying to reinvent itself.

Having gone through multiple CEOs since the Financial Crisis, the latest attempt at reinvention involves a massive overhaul of operations and staff announced by co-CEO John Cryan in October 2015. The bank is now in the process of cutting 9,000 employees and ceasing operations in 10 countries. This is where our timeline of Deutsche Bank’s most recent woes begins – and the last six months, in particular, have been fast and furious.

Deutsche Bank started the year by announcing a record-setting loss in 2015 of €6.8 billion.

Cryan went on an immediate PR binge, proclaiming that the bank was “rock solid”. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble even went out of his way to say he had “no concerns” about Deutsche Bank.

Translation: things are in full-on crisis mode.

In the following weeks, here’s what happened:



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