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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Michael Shedlock via MishTalk.com,

It’s quiz time.

I will list a statement. You decide who said it.

The correct answer is either Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, or Hillary Clinton.

34 Statements – Who Made Them?

1. I do not believe in unfettered free trade. I believe in fair trade which works for the middle class and working families.
2. I will take on corporations that take their jobs to China.
3. I think NAFTA has been a disaster.
4. Instead of passing such trade deals again and again, we must develop trade policies which demand that American corporations create jobs here, and not abroad.
5. TPP is a death blow for American manufacturing.
6. I’m for free and fair trade.
7. We need to bring manufacturing jobs back home where they belong.
8. Globalization has torn down the barriers that have formerly separated the national from the international markets.
9. The top priority of any trade deal should be to help American workers.
10. I heard it about NAFTA. I heard it about CAFTA. I heard it about permanent normal trade relations with China. Here is the fact. Since 2001, we have lost almost 60,000 factories and millions of good-paying jobs.
11. Maybe we should have a trade policy which represents the working families of this country, that rebuilds our manufacturing base, not than just representing the CEOs of large multinational corporations.
12. We must end our disastrous trade policies (NAFTA, CAFTA, PNTR with China, etc.) which enable corporate America to shut down plants in this country and move to China and other low-wage countries.
13. This wave of globalization has wiped out our middle class.
14. NAFTA was the worst trade deal in history, and China’s entrance into the World Trade Organization has enabled the greatest jobs theft in history.
15. I think corporate America has to start investing in this country and create decent paying jobs here.
16. It is a lot cheaper for the American companies to set up plants in China, hire Chinese workers at 50 cents an hour, 75 cents an hour, whatever it is, and have them build the product for the Chinese markets than it is to pay American workers $15 an hour, $20 an hour, provide health insurance, deal with the union, deal with the environment.
17. Connect the dots. Our current trade deficit is causing the loss of over 2 million jobs. Over the last 20 years, while the US has run up over a trillion dollars in trade deficits, millions of American workers have been thrown into the streets.
18. The function of trade agreements like NAFTA is to make it easier for American companies to move abroad, and to force our workers to compete against desperate people in the Third World.
19. Our current record-breaking merchandise trade deficit of $112 billion is costing us over 2 million decent paying jobs. NAFTA, GATT, and Most Favored Nation status with China must be repealed, and a new trade policy developed.
20. The word has to get out to corporate America, they are going to have to start reinvesting in the United States of America. They are going to have to start building the products and the goods the American people need rather …read more

    Source: Who Said It? Bernie, Donald, Or Hillary?

        

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By Tyler Durden

Via VoxDay blog,

Marine Le Pen writes a powerful argument for nationalism and the end of the EU in the New York Times:

The European Union has become a prison of peoples. Each of the 28 countries that constitute it has slowly lost its democratic prerogatives to commissions and councils with no popular mandate. Every nation in the union has had to apply laws it did not want for itself. Member nations no longer determine their own budgets. They are called upon to open their borders against their will.

Countries in the eurozone face an even less enviable situation. In the name of ideology, different economies are forced to adopt the same currency, even if doing so bleeds them dry. It’s a modern version of the Procrustean bed, and the people no longer have a say.

And what about the European Parliament? It’s democratic in appearance only, because it’s based on a lie: the pretense that there is a homogeneous European people, and that a Polish member of the European Parliament has the legitimacy to make law for the Spanish. We have tried to deny the existence of sovereign nations. It’s only natural that they would not allow being denied.

Brexit wasn’t the European people’s first cry of revolt. In 2005, France and the Netherlands held referendums about the proposed European Union constitution. In both countries, opposition was massive, and other governments decided on the spot to halt the experiment for fear the contagion might spread. A few years later, the European Union constitution was forced on the people of Europe anyway, under the guise of the Lisbon Treaty. In 2008, Ireland, also by way of referendum, refused to apply that treaty. And once again, a popular decision was brushed aside.

When in 2015 Greece decided by referendum to reject Brussels’ austerity plans, the European Union’s antidemocratic response took no one by surprise: To deny the people’s will had become a habit. In a flash of honesty, the president of the European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, unabashedly declared, “There can be no democratic choice against the European treaties.”

Brexit may not have been the first cry of hope, but it may be the people’s first real victory.

With eloquent nationalist leaders like her, Viktor Orban, and Matteo Salvini, among others there is reason to believe it will not be the last one. The EU is immoral, unnatural, anti-democratic, and evil. The sooner it collapses, the better off everyone will be.

The globalists are the Nazis of the 30s and 40s and the Communists of the Cold War. They are the enemy of Man. As Le Pen aptly notes, “more and more, the destiny of the European Union resembles the destiny of the Soviet Union, which died from its own contradictions.”

One thing is certain: Britain’s departure from the European Union will not make the union more democratic. The hierarchical structure of its supranational institutions will want to reinforce itself: Like all dying ideologies, the union knows only how to forge blindly ahead. The roles …read more

Source: The Prison Of Peoples – France’s Le Pen Calls For European ‘Spring’

    

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By Tyler Durden

Following April’s exuberant 6 year high bounce (revised lower from +5.1% to +3.9%), May saw pending home sales plunge 3.7% – the biggest drop since May 2010. Sales declined in all 4 regions (with a 4.2% plunge in Midwest to January lows). This is the first annual drop in home sales in 2 years (-0.2%) and realtors are blaming ‘supply’ on the slump… sure (and all that pent up demand).

Remember April…

Well May gave it all back…

And was revised drastically lower…

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says pending sales slumped in May across most of the country.

“With demand holding firm this spring and homes selling even faster than a year ago, the notable increase in closings in recent months took a dent out of what was available for sale in May and ultimately dragged down contract activity,” he said.

“Realtors® are acknowledging with increasing frequency lately that buyers continue to be frustrated by the tense competition and lack of affordable homes for sale in their market.”

Despite mortgage rates hovering around three-year lows for most of the year, Yun says scant supply and swiftly rising home prices – which surpassed their all-time high last month – are creating an availability and affordability crunch that’s preventing what should be a more robust pace of sales.

“Total housing inventory at the end of each month has remarkably decreased year-over-year now for an entire year,” adds Yun.

“There are simply not enough homes coming onto the market to catch up with demand and to keep prices more in line with inflation and wage growth.”

…read more

Source: Pening Home Sales Crash Most In 6 Years – ‘Supply’ Blamed

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By Tyler Durden

Stocks may have decided to put Brexit in the rear view mirror, but as Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid lists, there are still numerous outstanding questions.

• When will Article 50 be triggered?
• Will it ever be triggered?
• Will there ever actually be a Brexit?
• Who is the next Conservative leader?
• Will there be a snap general election?
• Will Jeremy Corbyn cling on to the leadership of the Labour Party in spite of a stunning 172/212 MPs in his party supporting a no confidence vote in him? Will the UK have a 2nd referendum?
• On any negotiations will Europe play hard ball or compromise?
• Will the UK let down swathes of the ‘leave’ voters and strike a compromise deal (eg like Norway) that doesn’t address the immigration issue at the heart of many voters’ fears?
• Elsewhere will Italy lose the senate reform referendum in October and could Italy have an EU referendum after a fresh election?
• And will the French elections next year be another spoke in the wheel for Europe?

Keep in mind, these are only the known unknowns. As Jim Reid writes, these questions and many more will remain mostly unanswered for many months which is sure to keep risk premiums on the higher side. However yesterday was a day for thinking the glass as being 10% full rather than 90% empty as various theories were distributed about whether Brexit would actually ever happen or whether some market friendly outcome would eventually be seen.

There’s a possibility of such outcomes but we won’t know that for many many months and possibly much longer so expect lots of mood swings ahead as the prevailing mood changes but there was definitely an air that full Brexit wasn’t necessarily a done deal yesterday.

My favourite comment across the day though was from the Luxembourg PM Xavier Bettel who said “Married or divorced, but not something in between. We are not on Facebook with ‘it’s complicated’ as a status”. Those were the days!!

That came alongside a flurry of other chatter from various EU leaders, all of which appeared to turn up the pressure valve on Cameron and the UK. Late in the evening we heard German Chancellor Merkel come out and say that ‘as of this evening, I see no way back from the Brexit vote’ and that ‘this is no time for wishful thinking, but to rather grasp reality’. Leaders from Belgium, Sweden and Denmark all voiced their frustrations and urged the UK to move quickly towards exit so as to reduce the uncertainty. Meanwhile French President Francois Hollande also added that the ‘UK won’t be able to access the single market without applying the rules of freedom of movement’. Interestingly, yesterday French press Le Figaro released an opinion poll which showed 45% of French citizens would be in favour of remaining in the EU, versus 33% against. Given all of the events of the last week, polls like this will only take on more and more focus.

Or not. Judging by …read more

Source: Brexit: Here Are The Latest Known Unknowns

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By Tyler Durden

The death toll from Tuesday’s attack on this city’s main airport has risen to 41, including 13 foreign nationals, with 239 injured, the Istanbul governor’s office said Wednesday. Despite the attack, Istanbul Atatürk Airport resumed business Wednesday morning the WSJ reported. Television footage from inside the airport showed check-in lines functioning normally. Turkish Airlines, the country’s flag carrier, said its flight operations had resumed, though the airport’s arrivals and departures board showed heavy cancellations and delays.

AbduRahman Hussein, a filmmaker from Sana’a, Yemen, was about to eat at one of the terminal’s second-floor restaurants when he heard shots and explosions. “I saw the smoke,” he said in a direct message on Facebook. “Then I started running away.” He posted pictures of shattered glass and people running. The dramatic explosion was caught on tape:

And with the damage now largely accounted for, it’s time to cast blame which Turkey was eager to do when Prime Minister Binali Yildirim said in televised remarks that the Islamic State is likely responsible for the killings. “Once again, it has been understood that terrorism is a global threat to all countries and nations and must be fought through mutual cooperation,” Yildirim said. “Our country has the necessary power and determination to overcome over these heinous attacks.”

Erdogan said in an e-mailed statement that the Istanbul airport attack was an effort to hurt Turkey’s image. “For the terrorist organizations, there’s no difference between Istanbul and London, Ankara and Berlin,” he said, urging all countries to join forces against terrorism.

What is odd is that the Islamic State, traditionally eager to immediately take responsibility for foreign terror operations, has kept silent: there was no immediate claim of responsibility. Both Islamist, leftist and Kurdish militants have carried out bomb attacks in Turkey in recent months, hammering the nation’s vital tourism. Tourist arrivals to Turkey fell almost 35 percent in May from a year earlier, the fastest drop in at least a decade and following a 28 percent decline in April.

Here is what is known: three suicide bombers opened fire and then blew themselves up in rapid succession at the airport around 9:20 p.m., Yildirim said from the Istanbul airport, where he assessed the damage and met with emergency personnel. The attacks left more than 200 people wounded, the governor’s office in Istanbul said by phone on Wednesday. Many of Turkey’s children ended school terms this month, which coincides with the Islamic holy month of Ramadan.

The assaults took place near security checkpoints at the entrance to the airport’s arrivals hall. Justice Minister Bekir Bozdag told lawmakers in parliament earlier that at least one attacker had sprayed gunfire from a Kalashnikov automatic assault rifle. None of the assailants got past security controls, according to a Turkish official who asked not to be identified because he’s not authorized to talk to the press. He said two of them detonated their vests at the arrival hall, and a third in a nearby parking lot.

ISIS lack of confirmation aside, Turkey’s insistence that the Islamic State was …read more

Source: Islamic State Blamed For Istanbul Terror Attack That Killed 41

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By Tyler Durden

No idea how to trade Brexit, and simply following the momentum-driven crowd which in turn is trading on hopes of central bank intervention? Don’t worry, you are not alone. As Citi admits “No one knows how to price the Brexit scenario going forward.”

Here is Citi’s William Lee “clarifying” the prevailing market cluelessness:

The UK vote to leave the EU surprised almost everyone, especially market participants. It left unprecedented uncertainty about future economic and political relations between the UK and the EU.

From the US perspective, the market selloff has been large but orderly. Indeed, global markets began to stabilize today, after two days of probing for equilibrium prices and their implied trajectories going forward.

Whereas spot prices have stabilized, there appears to be little conviction among traders and other financial market participants about the course of exchange rates and asset prices going forward.

• Market sentiment remains tentative; small catalysts can be very disruptive.
• A common trading floor comment is: “No one knows how to price the Brexit scenario going forward.”

Our past research has shown that uncertainty is pernicious: it can induce a significant drag on economic growth. The Brexit vote amplifies uncertainty with unprecedented economic and political considerations whose impact on global economic activity is difficult to discern. Fed policy remains sensitive to market sentiment, and the FOMC likely would not do anything that could be disruptive.

…read more

Source: Don’t Worry, You Are Not Alone: "No One Knows How To Price Brexit" Citi Admits

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