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Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Obamacare To Unveil "Price Shock" One Week Before The Elections

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By Tyler Durden

The writing was on the wall long before the largest US insurer, UnitedHealth, decided to pull the plug on Obamacare in mid April. Then, just a week later, Aetna’s CEO said Thursday that his company expects to break even, but legislative fixes are needed to make the marketplace sustainable.

“I think a lot of insurance carriers expected red ink, but they didn’t expect this much red ink,” said Greg Scott, who oversees Deloitte’s health plans practice. “… A number of carriers need double-digit increases.”

It gets better.

One week ago Marilyn Tavenner, who until January 2015 ran the federal Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, aka the massive Federal agency that oversaw the rollout of Obamacare and the disastrous implementation of HealthCare.gov and who is now as an insurance lobbyist, said she sees big jumps in Obamacare insurance premiums.

Translation: insurers are not making money, and they need to make money or Obamacare is doomed. Which means even more dramatic rate hikes are about to be unveiled. However, it’s not the what but rather the when that is the shock. And, as Politico reports, the timing could not possibly come at a worse time for Democrats.

“Proposed rate hikes are just starting to dribble out, setting up a battle over health insurance costs in a tumultuous presidential election year that will decide the fate of Obamacare.”

The headlines are likely to keep coming right up to Election Day since many consumers won’t see actual rates until the insurance marketplaces open Nov. 1 — a week before they go to the polls.

That’s right: just one week before the election date, Americans will be served with what now appears will be double (if not more) digit increases in their insurance premiums. Politico is spot on in saying that “the last thing Democrats want to contend with just a week before the 2016 presidential election is an outcry over double-digit insurance hikes as millions of Americans begin signing up for Obamacare.”

They will have no choice: following years of actual delays to avoid a major public backlash on the critical mandate, this time the hammer is set to fall and it will do so at the worst possible time for Hillary Clinton.

“Any reports of premium increases will immediately become talking points on the campaign trail,” said Larry Levitt, senior vice president for special initiatives at the nonprofit Kaiser Family Foundation. “We’re in an election where the very future of the law will be debated.” Democrats say they will mount a vigorous defense of a law that has provided 20 million people with coverage — and point to Republicans’ failure to propose any coherent alternative to Obamacare.

Which is another way to say Democrats are near panic.

“The Republicans will try to make Clinton own the higher prices, but the problem is that Republicans have no alternative or answer,” said Anna Greenberg, a Democratic pollster. “They are in the position of taking away insurance if they repeal Obamacare.”

Somehow we doubt that would …read more

Source: Obamacare To Unveil "Price Shock" One Week Before The Elections

    

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Posted May 3rd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Ben Tanosborn: How Blacks & Latinos Will Lose The Election For The Democratic Party In 2016

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By Tyler Durden

Authored by Ben Tanosborn,

Forget about the number of superdelegates; or the several undemocratic manipulations by the Democratic National Committee (DNC). The reality that stands out loud and clear at the end of April, with almost two-thirds of the primary-caucus vote having been cast, is that Hillary Clinton is commandingly leading Bernie Sanders in the democratically-chosen delegate count by a tally of 55 percent against 45 for the senator.

How the remaining primary vote goes through mid-June, unless some transformational event or revelation take place, is not likely to change quantifiably or selectively the fact that the former first lady is irrefutably poised to receive, by acclamation in Philadelphia one guesses, the Democratic nomination to vie for a long term lease – 4-years with a conditional renewal for another 4-years – of the White House and its more celebrated political dependencies. And her scoundrel spouse, William Jefferson Clinton, smilingly, will be at the convention willing and able to receive all the political accolades he undoubtedly feels his multiple talents deserve.

But… unfortunately for the Democratic Party and the Clinton legacy, their future, as well as the White House might be forever lost. For all of the Scoundrel’s political savvy, he will finally appear, past the November election, in all its naked glory for history to judge: an articulate and charismatic American emperor who, although never wearing clothes, had much of the country seeing him through a deceitful sartorial kaleidoscope.

Let us reasonably, and logically, look at the repercussions as April is ending and Indiana gets ready to vote and apportion its 92 Hoosier Democratic delegates. Does it make any sense that Hillary Clinton is receiving an inordinately, and questionably undeserving, high percentage of the Latino and Afro-American vote? That, while Bernie Sanders is garnering the same Pyrrhic vote as that which the Latino-Black folks are predicted to give Donald Trump in the general election? Go figure such illogical behavior!

Loyalty you say? Is Bernie just another unknown white-face, long on promises and short on their delivery… perhaps the rationale which reigns in many or most L&A minds? Whichever reasons are chosen, whether those or multiple others, it is obvious that leaders of the many social, business, religious and political groups are playing that fictional Hamelinian role leading their people to the precipice and asking them to jump; or, a contemporary, real example dating back to 1978 when Jim Jones offered “salvation” to his near-1000 followers in Jonestown by asking them to drink a cyanide-laced little cup of Kool-Aid.

If the chosen parallel of Luciferian Jim Jones and African-American and Latino leaders seem farfetched… our intention is not to vilify anyone, nor to diminish these leaders’ best and noble intentions. Our sole intent is to point out the possible, no, the probable unintended consequences that Hillary Clinton’s nomination could bring to the entire nation… and more specifically to these two minorities that jointly comprise 31 percent of the “legal” US population – Hispanic/Latino 18 and …read more

Source: Ben Tanosborn: How Blacks & Latinos Will Lose The Election For The Democratic Party In 2016

    

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Posted May 3rd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Every Time This Has Happened, A Recession Followed

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By Tyler Durden

Three months ago the Fed released its Fourth Quarter “Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices”, which revealed something ominous. It showed that in Q4, lending standards tightened for the second consecutive quarter. This was a problem because as Deutsche Bank pointed out at the time two consecutive quarters of tightening Commercial & Industrial loan standards “has never happened before without it signalling an eventual move into recession and a notable default cycle. Once we have 2 such quarters lending standards don’t net loosen again until the start of the next cycle.”

As of today, we now have three consecutive quarters of tightening lending standards. In fact, based on the latest survey, net lending standards tightened even more than during Q4 as shown in the chart below, and are now the tightest on net since the financial crisis. Needless to say, if a recession and a default cycle has always followed two quarters of tighter lending conditions, three quarters does not make it better.

This is what the Fed said:

On balance, a moderate net fraction of banks reported a tightening of lending standards for C&I loans to large and middle-market firms over the past three months. Meanwhile, only a modest net fraction of banks reported tightening lending standards for C&I loans to small firms. Banks reported that they tightened some C&I loan terms for large and middle-market firms: A moderate net fraction of banks reported that they had increased premiums charged on riskier loans, a modest net fraction of banks reported that loan covenants had tightened, and most other terms to such firms remained basically unchanged on net. Banks reported mixed responses regarding changes in loan terms for small firms. A majority of the domestic respondents that tightened either standards or terms on C&I loans over the past three months cited a less favorable or more uncertain economic outlook as well as a worsening of industry-specific problems affecting borrowers as important reasons. Meanwhile, a significant net fraction of foreign respondents reported a tightening of lending standards for C&I loans.

In other words, credit availability is bad and getting worse, and may explain why the ECB had no choice but to shock the credit pipeline into action when Draghi announced that the ECB would monetize corporate bonds (and soon enough, junk bonds).

And while our focus looking at this data is on the implied probability (based on historical precedented, now at 100%) of a recession, Bank of America’s high yield strategist Michael Contopoulos is looking at the implications of continued lending tightness on the credit market, where he has been uncharacteristically gloomy for many moths. This is what he said:

Banks tightening their grip on lending

Today’s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices confirmed several of our concerns from last year; that in the face of deteriorating corporate fundamentals, a weak economic outlook, industry specific woes in the commodity space and global markets that have been volatile, banks would pull back the reins on lending. Below we highlight …read more

Source: Every Time This Has Happened, A Recession Followed

    

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Posted May 3rd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Sean Hannity embraces Donald Trump, without apology

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Fox’s Sean Hannity has pleaded guilty to going soft on Donald Trump and other Republicans because, “I want one of them to win.” …read more

Source: Sean Hannity embraces Donald Trump, without apology

    

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Posted May 3rd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Visa Unveils Plan To Burden Millennials With Billions In Debt

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By Tyler Durden

For anyone concerned that $800 billion in student loans over the last decade simply won't be enough debt burden for millennials to carry, worry no more, a solution has been found.

$800 billion in new student loans in the past decade but aside from that “consumers are deleveraging” pic.twitter.com/MwaWby89H4

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) May 2, 2016

Visa has come up with a plan to add infinitely more debt to millennials who are working diligently as bartenders and waiters: credit cards. Visa has even unveiled a detailed timeline by which they can accomplish the task.

The thought process is as follows:

First, Visa estimates that all of those minimum wage jobs will be adding up to $8.3 trillion in personal income for millennials by 2025.

Next, Visa believes that millennials use cards for 57% of their spending, making them an attractive “target” for massive amounts of additional debt credit card marketing.

And finally, as a percentage of total available users, millennials use revolving credit more than any other generation.

How long will it take to market the idea, sell the credit, and wait for the debt to pile up? Why, not soon after college of course. Visa estimates that if done properly, banks and other credit card issuers can have millennials saddled with billions in new debt by the young age of 28. The company even puts together a nice infographic to add to their excitement.

In summary, everyone can rest assured that while young millennials may not have their future mapped out quite yet, Visa and other institutions have that all taken care of for them – just make sure to pay that monthly interest.

…read more

Source: Visa Unveils Plan To Burden Millennials With Billions In Debt

    

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Posted May 2nd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Saudi Foreign Minister Repeats Warning To US Over Sept 11 Law

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By Tyler Durden

The biggest financial and geopolitical story from mid-April was Saudi Arabia’s threat that should the US pass a bipartisan law which would take away immunity from foreign governments in cases arising from a “terrorist attack that kills an American on American soil” and specifically could hold the Saudi kingdom responsible for its role in the Sept 11, 2001 attacks, then the Saudis would retaliate by selling up to $750 billion in American assets.

Today, the Saudi foreign minister Adel al-Jubeir, while speaking to reporters in Geneva after talks with U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry which mainly focused on Syria, admitted this threat saying passage of the law would “erode global investor confidence in America” by which he was, of course, referring only to Saudi Arabia. However, to avoid another slap in the face of US foreign policy on the record, he denied that Saudi Arabia had “threatened” to withdraw investment from its close ally and instead called it a mere “warning.”

“We say a law like this would cause an erosion of investor confidence. But then to kind of say, ‘My God the Saudis are threatening us’ – ridiculous,” Jubeir hedged according to Reuters.

Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir talks to the media in
Geneva, May 2, 2016

“We don’t use monetary policy and we don’t use energy policy and we don’t use economic policy for political purposes. When we invest, we invest as investors. When we sell oil, we sell oil as traders.”

That said we are confident that Jubeir realizes very well that everyone else uses monetary and energy policy for political purposes – hence the Trasury’s brand new Friday watchlist for currency manipulators – which is why when he calls it “erosion of investor confidence” the world reads clearly between the lines.

When he was pressed whether the Saudia Arabia had suggested the law could affect its investment policies, the Saudi foreign minister said: “I say you can warn. What has happened is that people are saying we threatened. We said that a law like this is going to cause investor confidence to shrink. And so not just for Saudi Arabia, but for everybody.“

Ah, so now it is “warn”, not “threaten”… gradually getting warmer. He continued: “In fact what they are doing is stripping the principle of sovereign immunities which would turn the world for international law into the law of the jungle,” Jubeir said.

“That’s why the administration is opposed to it, and that’s why every country in the world is opposed to it.

Well, China not only isn’t opposed to it but China could care less… and China has a little over $1 trillion in US Treasuries. Which implies that all the Saudi was doing was merely trying to avoid a diplomatic threat to its close political ally, one which not even Obama would be able to diffuse.

And then, just to emphasize that Saudi Arabia was not “threatening” the US, he repeated it for the third time: “And then people say …read more

Source: Saudi Foreign Minister Repeats Warning To US Over Sept 11 Law

    

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Posted May 2nd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Caught On Tape: Raw Footage Shows The Moment A Missile Hits Aleppo Hospital

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By Tyler Durden

Sadly, a typical consequence of war is that innocent “collateral damage” lives are lost. The civil war in Syria is no different, as over the past week four medical facilities were hit with missiles from fighter jets taking out their targets from the skies, pushing the civilian death toll even higher.

One of the targets that got hit last week (during a truce nonetheless) was a pediatric hospital in Aleppo that was supported by both Doctors Without Borders and the International Red Cross. Recovered cctv footage captures the moments before, during, and after the hospital took a direct hit.

The video also shows what is said to the be the last pediatrician in the city walking the halls moments before the missile hit, killing him and an estimated 50 others.

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry condemned the attack, immediately blaming the Syrian government. Predictably everyone involved in the region has denied having anything to do with the strike.

“We are outraged by yesterday’s airstrikes in Aleppo on the al Quds hospital supported by both Doctors Without Borders and the International Committee of the Red Cross, which killed dozens of people, including children, patients and medical personnel,” he said in a statement.

“It appears to have been a deliberate strike on a known medical facility and follows the Assad regime’s appalling record of striking such facilities and first responders. These strikes have killed hundreds of innocent Syrians.”

As a reminder, the U.S. isn’t innocent of horrendous events such as this, as just last October the U.S. repeatedly bombed a compound run by the humanitarian organization Doctors Without Borders, killing at least 30 people.

Here is the raw footage of the bombing last week via ABC news. In the final seconds of the video, a person emerges carrying what appears to be a baby, driving home the realities of what can happen when nations meddle in others affairs.

…read more

Source: Caught On Tape: Raw Footage Shows The Moment A Missile Hits Aleppo Hospital

    

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Posted May 2nd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Dis-May-Day – Bonds Down, Dollar Down, Oil Down, Gold Down, Economy Down… Stocks Up

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By Tyler Durden

China data weakens, Puerto Rico defaults, Japan falls, crude drops, another E&P company defaults, failed M&A deal, US macro data dumps… and stocks surge…

US equities went up today… because why not…just a little too uniformly post-EU Close…

Thanks to a brief USDJPY momentum igntion as Construction Spending, and ISM and PMI all missed expectations…

And what appears like institutional-buying (every VWAP dip bid from fund inflows)

Another day, another short-squeeze…

VIX accelerated lower as the last 30 minutes began and panic-buying was unleashed…on the heel sof AAPL headlines…

AAPL was down for the 8th day in a row…

Until this headline hit (HINT: remember the lying email he supposedly sent Cramer about China when AAPL was last crashing to these lows?) BUT it didnt last and AAPL closed down 0.15%

Treasury yields lifted modestly today…seemingly from one big selling effort into the open (as usual)

Seems bonds had it right after all…

The USD Index is down for the sixth straight day – longest streak since April 2015… note USDJPY tried to bounce but failed…

Crude was monkey-hammrered after hopeful algos ran it higher in the early going. Silver slumped as did copper and gold kept its head despite the weaker USD…

Silver suffered it worst day since the first day of April. Gold fell for the first day in the last 6, having tagged $1300 early in the day…

But Gold remains the big winner post last week's Fed/BOJ debacle…

Charts: Bloomberg

…read more

Source: Dis-May-Day – Bonds Down, Dollar Down, Oil Down, Gold Down, Economy Down… Stocks Up

    

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Posted May 2nd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Why The Obamacare Gold Rush Is Bankrupting America

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Devon Herrick via National Center for Policy Analysis,

Our health care system is going to implode under its own weight. National Health Expenditures are approaching 20 percent of gross domestic product — a figure that is expected to about double over the next half century. Obamacare didn’t start the process, but it’s expediting the job started when Kaiser Shipyards requested permission during World War II to offer health coverage as a fringe benefit. This was further exacerbated in 1965 by the poorly-designed entitlement programs Medicare and Medicaid that are now draining the Treasury.

Just look at the evidence. Health care is unaffordable for most Americans. To have any hope of affording even minor medical procedures, Americans rely on health insurance or public coverage to pay much of the cost. About 88 percent of medical bills are paid for by an entity other than the patient. As a result, health insurance has also become unaffordable. The average employer plan costs American families $17,545 per year. A Bronze plan from the exchange for the average middle-age family costs $12,000 per year with combined annual deductibles of $8,000 to $13,000. Provider networks are so narrow that any major procedure is surely to result in out-of-network charges that can be astronomical.

Arguably, the greatest problem our health care system faces is high costs that are rising at more than double the rate of consumer inflation. The price of newer drugs are rising so high politicians like Hillary Clinton are calling for caps on copays. Of course, that will do nothing to lower the cost; it will merely facilitate further price increases. A New York Times article questioned why a new drug marketed to treat women with low libido comes with a monthly price tag of $800 — even though the pill hardly works better than a placebo. The reasoning behind charging so much? Because the drug maker Valeant Pharmaceuticals assumed health plans would have little choice but to cough up nearly $10,000 per year for women whose doctors prescribed it. Of course, women themselves would never pay $800 per month for a drug whose clinical trials showed it was only correlated one additional sexual encounter per month in the women taking it. Some of the newest cholesterol drugs cost from $1,500 to $2,000 per month. The latest drugs for rheumatoid arthritis cost even more. New treatments for Hepatitis C cost $60,000 to $90,000 for a course of treatment. Now do you understand why health insurance is so expensive?

This is not just a drug problem; believe it or not drugs are actually the best bargain in American health care today. Rather, the more egregious examples reflect a growing trend by health care industry stakeholders to jack up revenue any way they can. The strategic plan in the health care industry is to extract as much revenue as possible from third-party payers, because most consumers are both unwilling — and unable — to pay those exorbitant amounts unless the costs are hidden from them and …read more

Source: Why The Obamacare Gold Rush Is Bankrupting America

    

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Posted May 2nd, 2016 in Uncategorized.

9/11 Damage Control Begins: CIA Director Warns "28 Pages" Contains Inaccurate Information

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By Tyler Durden

It appears the reality of the so-called “28 pages” – removed from the 9/11 Commission report – being unclassified may be getting closer and many suspect. Why do we say that? Because none other than CIA Director John Brennan did the Sunday talk-show circuit to start the propaganda, playing-down the report's significance, warning that information in the 28 pages hasn't been vetted or corroborated, adding that releasing the information would give ammunition to those who want to tie the terror attacks to Saudi Arabia – “I think there's a combination of things that are accurate and inaccurate [in the report].”

“This chapter was kept out because of concerns about sensitive methods, investigative actions, and the investigation of 9/11 was still underway in 2002,” Brennan said on NBC's 'Meet the Press'. As The Hill reports,

He said information in the 28 pages hasn't been vetted or corroborated, adding that releasing the information would give ammunition to those who want to tie the terror attacks to Saudi Arabia.

“I think there's a combination of things that are accurate and inaccurate [in the report],” Brennan said. “I think the 9/11 Commission took that joint inquiry and those 28 pages or so and followed through on the investigation and then came out with a very clear judgment that there was no evidence that … Saudi government as an institution or Saudi officials or individuals had provided financial support to al Qaeda.”

Former and current congressmen argue the pages show the existence of a Saudi support network for the hijackers involved in the terror attacks. The 28 pages were cut from a report on the 9/11 terror attacks in 2003 by the George W. Bush administration in the interest of national security.

Those critics say the vague wording in the report left open the possibility that less senior officials or other parts of the Saudi government could have played a role.

Former Sen. Bob Graham (D-Fla.), who helped author the report, says he believes it shows the 9/11 hijackers were “substantially” supported by the Saudi government, as well as charities and wealthy people in that country.

“I think it is implausible to believe that 19 people, most of whom didn't speak English, most of whom had never been in the United States before, many of whom didn't have a high school education — could've carried out such a complicated task without some support from within the United States,” Graham said in an interview with “60 Minutes” in April.

One can't help but feel Brennan's appearance – and tone – has a sense of inevitability about the release of the '28 pages', which we are sure will be played down by the mainstream media now as inaccurate information that is more conspiracy than fact… because Brennan said so… and why would be lie?


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