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Meet The People Behind The Death Of Canada’s Oil Patch

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By Tyler Durden

Analyzing provincial statistics in Canada is an exercise in spotting the odd one out.

Alberta, the heart of Canada’s dying oil patch, is a cautionary tale about boom and bust cycles and just how dramatic the difference can be between the good times and the bad.

To be sure, we’ve spilled quite a bit of digital ink documenting the plight of the provincial economy and we’ve also outlined some of the more shocking statistics that touch on the human toll exerted by plunging crude prices. Food bank usage in the province, for instance, rose 23% Y/Y from Q1 2014 through Q1 2015 and suicide rates had risen by a third through the summer of last year.

As far as the economy, the latest data out earlier this month show Alberta was the only province in which real GDP contracted in 2015. “Alberta is facing another recession this year as cuts in energy investment and job losses hit the economy hard,” Conference Board of Canada said, adding that “until imbalances in global oil markets improve, prospects for a recovery are bleak.”

Meanwhile, a report out Wednesday showed that while manufacturing sales across Canada rose 2.3% in January, Y/Y sales plunged 13.2% in Alberta. That’s the sixth decline in seven months and a sure sign that the oil slump has spilled over into the rest of the economy. Provincial manufacturing sales dropped 16% last year.

But at the end of the day, these are all just numbers. In order to get a true sense of the malaise, we bring you the following video and commentary from CBC, who shows you the people behind the statistics.

From CBC

Warren Sonnenberg, 35

Sonnenberg worked for five years on a drilling rig in the oil patch. He started at the bottom as a leasehand and worked his way up to derrickhand. Before he was laid off in January he was making $40 an hour. He never thought the good times would end.

“You’re feeling this stuff for the first time, and you’re feeling this worry and this fear and you’re looking around and you don’t see any relief,” he says. “You want to speak to other people but they’re embarrassed by their own situations.

Gert Raynar

“We are the canary in the coal mine,” Raynar says about the food bank in Leduc where she is the manager. Raynar has never been busier, and she says it’s the same situation all across the province.

Demand on the food bank in Medicine Hat, she says, is up an unbelievable 500 per cent over this time last year.

Clarence Shields

Clarence Shields owns the sprawling Blackjacks roadhouse in Leduc. It’s a kind of unofficial union hall for oil workers.

He says, “you’re seeing a rehash of the ’80s. You’re seeing a generation that has never experienced as quick and as decisive a downturn as we got right now.

…read more

Source: Meet The People Behind The Death Of Canada’s Oil Patch

    

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Is This The Rationale Behind Russia’s Withdrawal From Syria?

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Robert Berke via OilPrice.com,

As reported around the world, Russia’s decision to greatly reduce its military presence in Syria, coming as it did with little warning, has left the world struggling for explanations.

After having rescued the Syrian Government’s position in Syria from certain defeat and securing a partial truce along with the onset of an imminent peace conference, the partial withdrawal is seen by many as a message to the Assad government to not take Russia’s military aid for granted, and to be more flexible in the upcoming peace negotiations.

If we assume that all wars are essentially trade wars grown large, and in the Middle East, they almost always involve energy, then the Russian gambit in Syria can be viewed from a different perspective. Russia’s economy is currently in recession, partly as a result of western sanctions, but much more seriously hurt by the crashing of energy prices.

Russia’s warming relations with Saudi Arabia has helped to bring about an OPEC-Russian sponsored freeze in oil production, with only Iran refusing to comply. With the Syrian withdrawal, Russia has tempered a major political feud with the Saudis over Russia’s support for Assad, a move that at once increases the prospects for a Russian-Saudi agreement on oil production cutbacks.

There are also many who think that Russia is also increasing pressure on its allies to be more flexible, not only in peace talks but also oil production cuts. With the withdrawal of the Russian protective air shield, Iran and Hezbollah’s ground forces in Syria are suddenly exposed to the threat of Saudi and Turkish air attacks. Will the threat of a looming military catastrophe in Syria force Iran to comply with production cuts?

Many oil insiders believe that after decades of punishing western sanctions, Iran’s oil industry is in no condition to meet its avowed quota for production, so that an agreement on cuts might cause little sacrifice.

Russia’s actions may well have staved off other threats to its business. Recall that Robert Kennedy Jr., the nephew of the slain U.S. President, recently published an article in Sputnik, claiming that the major reason for the west’s attempt to overthrow the Assad government was to build a natural gas pipeline from Qatar that traversed Syria, capturing its newly discovered offshore reserves, and continued on through Turkey to the EU, as a major competitor to Russia’s Gazprom.

By re-establishing the Assad government in Syria, and permanently placing its forces at Syrian bases, the Russian’s have placed an impenetrable obstacle to the development of the Qatar gas pipeline. Russia has also placed itself at the nexus point of other new offshore gas discoveries in the Eastern Mediterranean, including Israel, Cyprus, and Greece.

It’s not hard to imagine a new Russian pipeline to Europe serving these new partners. Could easing of sanctions also lead to the implementation of the long-stalled plans of Gazprom for a second pipeline under the Baltic Sea to Germany for Russia and its partners, Royal …read more

Source: Is This The Rationale Behind Russia’s Withdrawal From Syria?

    

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"Is This Who We Want" – Hillary Strikes Back With Attack Ad Mocking Trump

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By Tyler Durden

When yesterday we showed Donald Trump’s first long overdue Hillary Clinton attack ad (which starred Jihadi John, a laughing Putin, and a barking Hillary) which had a simple message “we don’t need to be a punchline”, we predicted that it would “resonate.” It did, and within hours had accumulated several hundreds thousands views.

Many wondered how long until Hillary’s response. They didn’t habe long to wait – earlier today, Priorities USA, a pro-Clinton SuperPAC, on Thursday came out with its own attack ad mocking Trump.

Hillary’s attack ad is shown below:

The oddly unimaginative, almost carbon-copy clip uses the same footage and wording as Trump’s, until cutting to a Trump interview with MSNBC from earlier this week.

“I’m speaking with myself, number one, because I have a very good brain, and I’ve said a lot of things,” Trump says in the clip, which ends with the same punchline as that released by Trump a day earlier: “we don’t need to be a punchline”

The ad follows with a shot of Clinton laughing. It is unclear precisely why the footage was taken from the 11-hour Benghazi hearings in October: perhaps it symbolizes Hillary laughing at her devastating foreign policy which led her to defend herself in Congress against accusations her actions led to the death of Americans in Libya.

What is clear is that the as Trump and Hillary increasingly duke it out against each other, this will be the most entertaining election in recent history.

As a reminder, this is the original Trump attack ad released yesterday.

We’ll let readers decide which attack ad is more memorable, and respond to the rhetorical “is this who we want.” As for the U.S. “not wanting to be a punchline,” sadly it’s too late for that, which incidentally explains Trump’s meteoric rise in the polls, one which even JPMorgan has noticed…

…read more

Source: "Is This Who We Want" – Hillary Strikes Back With Attack Ad Mocking Trump

    

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Ireland’s economy is growing as fast as China’s

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Ireland is booming. It grew almost 7% last year. That’s far better than the U.S. and on par with China

…read more

Source: Ireland’s economy is growing as fast as China’s

    

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Kalamazoo official: Uber lawsuit was hoax

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Kalamazoo suspect Jason Dalton isn’t the person who wrote the handwritten lawsuit suing Uber for “psychological damage,” says Kalamazoo undersheriff Paul G. Matyas.

…read more

Source: Kalamazoo official: Uber lawsuit was hoax

    

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Stunning stock market turnaround

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The market meltdown of 2016 has turned into a market miracle. The Dow turned positive for the year on Thursday, recovering from a scary loss of as many as 1,974 points.

…read more

Source: Stunning stock market turnaround

    

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Trump’s 500 businesses would pose ‘ethical dilemma’

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for latest details.

…read more

Source: Trump’s 500 businesses would pose ‘ethical dilemma’

    

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Smokeless tobacco gets banned at baseball games

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Chicago becomes fourth city to ban smokeless tobacco at baseball games, including use by players.

…read more

Source: Smokeless tobacco gets banned at baseball games

    

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Thursday Humor? Bank Of Japan Asks Banks ‘What’ Caused USDJPY Spike

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By Tyler Durden

According to sources, Reuters reports that The Bank of Japan is asking market-participants about the cause of this morning's sudden 150 pip vertical rip in USDJPY. Hhmmm, we wonder?

And this happened today…

And The BoJ wants to know who did it…

  • BANK OF JAPAN ASKING MARKET PLAYERS ABOUT CAUSES OF DOLLAR/YEN MOVES, NOT CHECKING RATES – SOURCE

Today's ramp began at 0810ET, the Mid-Feb ramp began at 0820ET…

…read more

Source: Thursday Humor? Bank Of Japan Asks Banks ‘What’ Caused USDJPY Spike

    

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Anti-Trump Groups Plot "Democracy Spring" – Largest Civil Disobedience Action Of The Century

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By Tyler Durden

Following their apparently delusional belief in the “success” of Tuesday night's violent protests, anti-Trump groups are plotting “Democracy Spring” threatening “drama in Washington” with the “largest civil disobedience action of the century.” The operation, backed by Soros-funded MoveOn.org among others,

With little fanfare and almost no news media attention, some of the same radical groups involved in shutting down Donald Trump’s Chicago rally last week are plotting a mass civil disobedience movement to begin next month. As Breitbart.com reports,

They intend to march across the East Coast in order to spark a “fire that transforms the political climate in America.”

…

The group is backed by numerous organizations, including the George Soros-funded groups MoveOn.org, the Institute for Policy Studies, and Demos.

Next month’s Democracy Spring chaos is set to begin with a meetup on April 2 at the Liberty Bell in Philadelphia.

“Then, in the spirit of Granny D, the Selma to Montgomery marchers, Cesar Chavez and the farmworker pilgrimage, and others who walked for freedom, we will set out on a 10 day, 140-mile march from Philadelphia to the Nation’s Capitol,” states the website.

In Washington DC, Democracy Spring expects “thousands of Americans” to engage in a “sit-in on the Capitol building in Washington DC in what will be the largest civil disobedience action of the century.”

What do they want?

Despite the fact that many of the main groups endorsing Democracy Spring are funded by billionaire Soros, the group complains that “American elections are dominated by billionaires and big money interests who can spend unlimited sums of money on political campaigns to protect their special interests at the general expense.”

But if the status quo goes unchallenged, the 2016 election — already set to be the most billionaire-dominated, secret money-drenched, voter suppression-marred contest in modern American history — will likely yield a President and a Congress more bound to the masters of big money than ever before.

The stage is set for a bold intervention to turn the tinder of passive public frustration into a fire that transforms the political climate in America, that sparks a popular movement that can’t be stopped.

The leaders of the group have already held training sessions, the website says. Democracy Spring states it is requiring “mandatory nonviolent civil disobedience trainings twice a day for those risking arrest from April 11th-16th.”

For those arrested, the group says it has already secured the legal aid of an unnamed lawyer “with decades of experience with civil disobedience cases.”

The group says that it is not plotting violence.

As Chris Cillizza concludes, Trump haters had a bad night Tuesday, and their actions won't make it any better any time soon…

So much of the anti-Trump coverage that is pushed on these primary nights simply misses the boat. It is driven by wishful thinking on the part of the “not Trump” crowd that is desperately seeking a glimmer of …read more

Source: Anti-Trump Groups Plot "Democracy Spring" – Largest Civil Disobedience Action Of The Century

    

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