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The Financial System Is A Larger Threat Than Terrorism

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By Tyler Durden

Authored by Paul Craig Roberts,

In the 21st century Americans have been distracted by the hyper-expensive “war on terror.” Trillions of dollars have been added to the taxpayers’ burden and many billions of dollars in profits to the military/security complex in order to combat insignificant foreign “threats,” such as the Taliban, that remain undefeated after 15 years. All this time the financial system, working hand-in-hand with policymakers, has done more damage to Americans than terrorists could possibly inflict.

The purpose of the Federal Reserve and US Treasury’s policy of zero interest rates is to support the prices of the over-leveraged and fraudulent financial instruments that unregulated financial systems always create. If inflation was properly measured, these zero rates would be negative rates, which means not only that retirees have no income from their retirement savings but also that saving is a losing proposition. Instead of earning interest on your savings, you pay interest that shrinks the real value of your saving.

Central banks, neoliberal economists, and the presstitute financial media advocate negative interest rates in order to force people to spend instead of save. The notion is that the economy’s poor economic performance is not due to the failure of economic policy but to people hoarding their money. The Federal Reserve and its coterie of economists and presstitutes maintain the fiction of too much savings despite the publication of the Federal Reserve’s own report that 52% of Americans cannot raise $400 without selling personal possessions or borrowing the money.

Negative interest rates, which have been introduced in some countries such as Switzerland and threatened in other countries, have caused people to avoid the tax on bank deposits by withdrawing their savings from banks in large denomination bills. In Switzerland, for example, demand for the 1,000 franc bill (about $1,000) has increased sharply. These large denomination bills now account for 60% of the Swiss currency in circulation.

The response of depositors to negative interest rates has resulted in neoliberal economists, such as Larry Summers, calling for the elimination of large denomination bank notes in order to make it difficult for people to keep their cash balances outside of banks.

Other neoliberal economists, such as Kenneth Rogoff want to eliminate cash altogether and have only electronic money. Electronic money cannot be removed from bank deposits except by spending it. With electronic money as the only money, financial institutions can use negative interest rates in order to steal the savings of their depositors.

People would attempt to resort to gold, silver, and forms of private money, but other methods of payment and saving would be banned, and government would conduct sting operations in order to suppress evasions of electronic money with stiff penalties.

What this picture shows is that government, economists, and presstitutes are allied against citizens achieving any financial independence from personal saving. Policymakers have a crackpot economic policy and those with control over your life value their scheme more than they value your welfare.

This is the fate …read more

Source: The Financial System Is A Larger Threat Than Terrorism

    

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Trump wins Mississippi

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…read more

Source: Trump wins Mississippi

    

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Canada to put a new woman on its currency

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Canadian currency is getting a new woman on a redesigned denomination by the end of 2018, and, just like the U.S., authorities are asking the public who it should be.

…read more

Source: Canada to put a new woman on its currency

    

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Hillary’s Scary New Cash Tax

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By Tyler Durden

Submitted by Brian Hunt via InternationalMan.com,

Have you heard of “negative interest rates”?

It’s become a phenomenon with economists and the media.

There’s a good chance you’ve read an article about it. We’ve covered it many times in the Dispatch.

I’m writing to tell you something about negative interest rates you haven’t heard. You certainly won’t hear about it in the mainstream press.

What’s coming at you is a historic event. It’s something our grandchildren will hear stories about…much like the Great Depression or the Cold War.

What’s coming could send the price of gold much higher in the coming years…and hand gold stock owners 500%+ gains.

If you know what’s coming, it could mean the difference between having lots of free cash in retirement or barely getting by.

To understand the gravity of this moment, let’s cover one of the most bizarre ideas in the world…

negative interest rates.

In a normal world, your bank pays you interest on your savings. It takes your money, pools it with other people’s money and loans it out.

The bank makes money by paying out less in interest on your deposit than it earns in interest from borrowers.

For example, it might pay out 3% to depositors while earning 6% from borrowers.

This is how it has worked for decades.

Negative interest rates turn your “normal” bank account upside down.

Negative interest rates could only exist in a crazy world where idiot politicians are in control.

Unfortunately, that’s just what we’re dealing with right now.

Politicians all over the world are ordering banks to charge depositors (you) a fee for storing cash.

It’s a perversion of saving. It’s a perversion of capitalism. It’s a perversion of planning for the future.

And it’s going to result in disaster.

Politicians think that by making it unattractive for you to keep money in the bank, you’ll save less money. Instead, you’ll spend more money on things like smartphones and cars. You’ll invest in things like stocks and real estate.

This would “stimulate” the economy.

This thinking is very, very wrong. No matter what the government does, it can’t force you to spend money. It can’t force you to make investments if you don’t see good opportunities.

Forcing people to pay banks to hold their money is a tax. It is wealth confiscation for the digital age.

The government and the mainstream press won’t dare call it a tax.

But that’s exactly what it is.

A negative interest rate policy is a tax.

Any time you hear a politician, central banker or news anchor say “negative interest rates,” just think “TAX.”

Think “TAX ON MY CASH.”

I’ll say it again: negative interest rates are going to result in financial disaster.

The coming disaster will wipe out many people.

But you don’t have to be one them.

I’ll explain how you can sidestep this disaster—and even make a lot of money as a result of it—in a moment.

But let’s quickly cover one more …read more

Source: Hillary’s Scary New Cash Tax

    

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Deflation Is Coming To The Auto Industry As Used Car Prices Drop, Off-Lease Deluge Looms

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By Tyler Durden

Last week, we learned that vehicle leasing as a percentage of monthly light-vehicle sales hit a record in February at 32.3%.

In other words, a third of the over 1 million cars and light trucks “sold” during the month were leases, according to J.D. Power.

This is indicative of what is now a long-term trend. Have a look at the following chart from WSJ, which shows that since 2009, the share of monthly auto leases as a percentage of vehicle sales well more than tripled:

Of course the thing about leased vehicles is that they come back, and as

All else equal, it puts pressure on lease residuals – though we note most fincos had assumed declining used vehicle prices in their lease writing,” Goldman said, earlier today. “Second, while improving inventory acquisition cost for the dealers, it may put downward pressure on the value of existing dealer inventories, which can be negative for used margins.”

Well yes, declining used vehicle prices “may” be a “negative for used margins” – in fact that’s almost a tautology.

And of course falling used car prices means pressure on new car prices as well, which would be a shock considering

Obviously, the scariest part about all of the above is that consumers still have the pedal to the metal (pun fully intended) when it comes to leases, which means there’s no end in sight to the off-leases and thus no way to determine, at this juncture, how big the residual writedown wave and deflationary auto industry calamity will ultimately end up being.

So, you know… “buckle up.”

* * *

Bonus chart: largest used car price decline for any February since 2008

…read more

Source: Deflation Is Coming To The Auto Industry As Used Car Prices Drop, Off-Lease Deluge Looms

    

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The "Outrageous" Reasons Donald Trump Will Never Be President

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By Tyler Durden

So Un-Presidential…

Source: Townhall.com

…read more

Source: The "Outrageous" Reasons Donald Trump Will Never Be President

    

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Never Go Full-Kuroda: NIRP Plus QE Will Be Contractionary Disaster In Japan, CS Warns

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By Tyler Durden

In late January, when Haruhiko Kuroda took Japan into NIRP, he made it official.

He was full-everything. Full-Krugman. Full-Keynes. Full-post-crisis-central-banker-retard.

In fact, with the BoJ monetizing the entirety of JGB gross issuance as well as buying up more than half of all Japanese ETFs and now plunging headlong into the NIRP twilight zone, one might be tempted to say that Kuroda has transcended comparison to become the standard for monetary policy insanity.

The message to DM central bank chiefs is clear: You’re either “full-Kuroda” or you’re not trying hard enough.

But as we’ve seen, the confluence of easy money policies are beginning to have unintended consequences. For instance, it’s hard to pass on NIRP to depositors without damaging client relationships so banks may paradoxically raise mortgage rates to preserve margins, the exact opposite of what central banks intend.

And then there’s the NIRP consumption paradox, which we outlined on Monday: if households believe that negative rates are likely to crimp their long-term wealth accumulation, they may well stop spending in the present and save more. Again, the exact opposite of what central bankers intend.

In the same vein, Credit Suisse is out with a new piece that explains why simultaneously pursuing NIRP and QE is likely to be contractionary rather than expansionary for the real economy in Japan.

In its entirety, the note is an interesting study on the interaction between BoJ policy evolution and private bank profitability, but the overall point is quite simple: pursuing QE and NIRP at the same time will almost certainly prove to be contractionary for the Japanese.

Here’s how the chain reaction works.

Obviously, as the term spread narrows, bank margins are pinched. NIM at Japanese banks has plunged over the past decade and the correlation between that decline at the flattening 2s10s spread is noticeably strong:

As CS goes on to note, “flattening of the JGB yield curve has also affected the duration of bank liabilities.”

In short, as the spread between term deposits and demand deposits narrowed, it made no sense for depositors to keep their money tied up for longer. So what did they do? Well, they just shifted to demand deposits:

Of course that’s bad news for banks because it increases liquidity risk.

Demand deposits are due.. well.. on demand and so, to the extent you were offsetting some of your maturity mismatch (which is inevitable in fractional reserve banking, but which must nonetheless be managed) with term deposits, the shift forces you to change the composition of your assets. Or, as Credit Suisse puts it:

This means that banks now face greater liquidity risk on the liabilities side of their balance sheets and must therefore invest in more liquid assets. Banks thus have …read more

Source: Never Go Full-Kuroda: NIRP Plus QE Will Be Contractionary Disaster In Japan, CS Warns

    

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Gold Screams (But What’s It Saying?)

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By Tyler Durden

As global stock markets have soared in recent weeks, accelerating most recently after the dud of the G-20 meeting, gold has also rallied, strongly suggesting there is anything but confidence in this ramp.

So Gold Is Screaming, but as ConvergEx's Nick Colas asks, What Is It Saying?

Gold is up 19% so far in 2016, with prices making new one-year highs just in the past week. That shouldn’t be happening.

  • First, gold has been stuck in a nasty (-44% peak to trough) bear market for +4 years.
  • Second, global equity markets have begun to recover so risk-hedging assets like gold should be falling as stocks advance.
  • Finally, isn’t technology supposed to be making all physical forms of wealth obsolete anyway?

Turns out there is a bull case for gold, and it is as simple as supply and demand. World Gold Council data for 2015 shows the slowest growth in mine production since 2009 and the weakest recycled supply since 2007. They expect production to actually fall in 2016. Meanwhile, demand is on the upswing from financial buyers like ETF investors and bullion coin investors. Looks like we can add another year to the +5,000 prior ones where gold has been a relevant asset class.

Investors in risk assets are breathing a sigh of relief as we begin the sprint to the end of the first quarter. Stocks in developed markets have stabilized after a rough start. Oil prices have shown some resilience. The CBOE VIX Index is 17, below its long run average of 10. Even the high yield corporate bond market is acting better.

And yet there is one asset that seems to still ring the alarm bell: gold. This oldest of all investments is up 19% in 2016 and hit a new one year high just last week. That’s significant, because the yellow metal is continuing its winning ways even as stocks and other financial assets seem back on more solid footing.

Many financial analysts and pundits claim that gold is unanalyzable since it has no cash flows. Its appeal, they claim, is based on historical precedent and nothing more. By this logic, gold has either zero value or infinite worth. The difference is simply whether you believe in modern financial systems based on central banks and asset markets or think Armageddon is just around the corner.

But look at gold as just another commodity, like oil or corn or sugar, and you get a different calculus. Price is where supply meets demand. No harsh value judgments about why the demand is there… It exists (and has since before humans knew how to write or use the wheel), which means we can value gold along these lines.

By that metric, the rise in gold prices is perfectly explainable. The World Gold Council keeps tabs on the global industry, and here are their statistics:

Gold Screams (But What’s It Saying?)

Find The Lowest Price HERE


By Tyler Durden

As global stock markets have soared in recent weeks, accelerating most recently after the dud of the G-20 meeting, gold has also rallied, strongly suggesting there is anything but confidence in this ramp.

So Gold Is Screaming, but as ConvergEx's Nick Colas asks, What Is It Saying?

Gold is up 19% so far in 2016, with prices making new one-year highs just in the past week. That shouldn’t be happening.

  • First, gold has been stuck in a nasty (-44% peak to trough) bear market for +4 years.
  • Second, global equity markets have begun to recover so risk-hedging assets like gold should be falling as stocks advance.
  • Finally, isn’t technology supposed to be making all physical forms of wealth obsolete anyway?

Turns out there is a bull case for gold, and it is as simple as supply and demand. World Gold Council data for 2015 shows the slowest growth in mine production since 2009 and the weakest recycled supply since 2007. They expect production to actually fall in 2016. Meanwhile, demand is on the upswing from financial buyers like ETF investors and bullion coin investors. Looks like we can add another year to the +5,000 prior ones where gold has been a relevant asset class.

Investors in risk assets are breathing a sigh of relief as we begin the sprint to the end of the first quarter. Stocks in developed markets have stabilized after a rough start. Oil prices have shown some resilience. The CBOE VIX Index is 17, below its long run average of 10. Even the high yield corporate bond market is acting better.

And yet there is one asset that seems to still ring the alarm bell: gold. This oldest of all investments is up 19% in 2016 and hit a new one year high just last week. That’s significant, because the yellow metal is continuing its winning ways even as stocks and other financial assets seem back on more solid footing.

Many financial analysts and pundits claim that gold is unanalyzable since it has no cash flows. Its appeal, they claim, is based on historical precedent and nothing more. By this logic, gold has either zero value or infinite worth. The difference is simply whether you believe in modern financial systems based on central banks and asset markets or think Armageddon is just around the corner.

But look at gold as just another commodity, like oil or corn or sugar, and you get a different calculus. Price is where supply meets demand. No harsh value judgments about why the demand is there… It exists (and has since before humans knew how to write or use the wheel), which means we can value gold along these lines.

By that metric, the rise in gold prices is perfectly explainable. The World Gold Council keeps tabs on the global industry, and here are their statistics:

Gold Screams (But What’s It Saying?)

Find The Lowest Price HERE


By Tyler Durden

As global stock markets have soared in recent weeks, accelerating most recently after the dud of the G-20 meeting, gold has also rallied, strongly suggesting there is anything but confidence in this ramp.

So Gold Is Screaming, but as ConvergEx's Nick Colas asks, What Is It Saying?

Gold is up 19% so far in 2016, with prices making new one-year highs just in the past week. That shouldn’t be happening.

  • First, gold has been stuck in a nasty (-44% peak to trough) bear market for +4 years.
  • Second, global equity markets have begun to recover so risk-hedging assets like gold should be falling as stocks advance.
  • Finally, isn’t technology supposed to be making all physical forms of wealth obsolete anyway?

Turns out there is a bull case for gold, and it is as simple as supply and demand. World Gold Council data for 2015 shows the slowest growth in mine production since 2009 and the weakest recycled supply since 2007. They expect production to actually fall in 2016. Meanwhile, demand is on the upswing from financial buyers like ETF investors and bullion coin investors. Looks like we can add another year to the +5,000 prior ones where gold has been a relevant asset class.

Investors in risk assets are breathing a sigh of relief as we begin the sprint to the end of the first quarter. Stocks in developed markets have stabilized after a rough start. Oil prices have shown some resilience. The CBOE VIX Index is 17, below its long run average of 10. Even the high yield corporate bond market is acting better.

And yet there is one asset that seems to still ring the alarm bell: gold. This oldest of all investments is up 19% in 2016 and hit a new one year high just last week. That’s significant, because the yellow metal is continuing its winning ways even as stocks and other financial assets seem back on more solid footing.

Many financial analysts and pundits claim that gold is unanalyzable since it has no cash flows. Its appeal, they claim, is based on historical precedent and nothing more. By this logic, gold has either zero value or infinite worth. The difference is simply whether you believe in modern financial systems based on central banks and asset markets or think Armageddon is just around the corner.

But look at gold as just another commodity, like oil or corn or sugar, and you get a different calculus. Price is where supply meets demand. No harsh value judgments about why the demand is there… It exists (and has since before humans knew how to write or use the wheel), which means we can value gold along these lines.

By that metric, the rise in gold prices is perfectly explainable. The World Gold Council keeps tabs on the global industry, and here are their statistics:



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