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By Tyler Durden

Things have not been going according to plan for Kuroda-san and his policy-making ‘Peter-Pan’s in Japan. Since The Bank of Japan unleashed NIRP on its ‘saving’ community – which, according to the textbooks would force money to reach for riskier investments, pumping stocks up, or flush cash into inflationary consumption – stock prices have collapsed and bond prices have exploded… In fact, in six months, bonds are outperforming stocks by a central-bank-credibility-crushing 70%!!!

Rate cuts…not working

h/t @jsblokland

And it’s not just The BoJ that is struggling – since The Fed hiked rates, The S&P is down 3.5% and Treasuries are up 16%!!

2016 – The year when the central-planners were finally exposed!!

…read more

Source: WTF Chart Of The Day: When Central Planning Fails

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By Tyler Durden

As the Democrats hurried to get ahead of the news cycle by releasing a report of their own in advance of the official House Select Committee's report on Benghazi, they also unveiled how a longtime Clinton friend and adviser is benefiting monetarily from their friendship.

Part of what the Democrats released contained a redacted transcript of Clinton confidant Sidney Blumenthal answering committee's questions during the investigation. The redaction marks were easily lifted and as the LA Times reports, the transcript reveals negative things for both Republicans and Democrats. For Republicans, the transcript showed that the investigation was used in part to dig into Blumenthal's financial contracts with David Brock, the founder of liberal website Media Matters. On the other hand, the transcript revealed how lucrative it can be to be a close Clinton friend – not that readers of this site are shocked at that statement. As a reminder of the most recent finding, a Clinton Foundation donor and high frequency trader – with absolutely no experience in the field – found himself magically placed as a nuclear weapons advisor to Hillary during her tenure as Secretary of State.

We know that being a Clinton can be lucrative, even if you have to explain why all of your in-laws rich friends lost all of their investment with you sometimes. But it turns out that being a close friend of the Clinton's can be almost as financially rewarding.

As the LA Times reports, here is the transcript in question that shows Sidney Blumenthal admitting that due to his friendship with the Clinton's and by extension Clinton ally David Brock, he makes around $200,000 a year giving consulting advice to Brock's businesses.

Q: Okay. And what was your relationship with Media Matters at that time period?

A: I was a consultant to Media Matters. I’m sorry I—

Q: That’s okay.

A: I overlooked that.

Q: When did you become a consultant for Media Matters?

A: I would say the very end of 2012.

Q: Okay. And how did that come about, that you became a consultant for Media Matters?

A: I have had a very long friendship with the chairman of Media Matters, whose name is David Brock, from before he founded this organization, and I have sustained that friendship. And he asked me to help provide ideas and advice to him and his organizations.

Q: So you began your relationship, your paid relationship, with Media Matters at the end of 2012.

A: Right.

Q: Does that continue to this day?

A: It does.

Q: Okay. And what is your salary or your contract with Media Matters? How much money are you earning from them?

A: I’d say it’s about $200,000 a year.

Q: And has that been roughly consistent from when you began receiving payment from Media Matters?

*[redacted due to Chairman Gowdy’s refusal to allow release of transcript].

A: I would say it’s — I’d have to check. I think it’s increased a little bit. It’s …read more

Source: Democrats Accidentally Reveal How Lucrative It Is To Be A Friend Of The Clintons

    

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By Tyler Durden

From the very beginning of Vancouver’s housing boom episode courtesy of an invasion of shady Chinese hot-money laundering home buyers, which has now officially driven the average list price of Vancouver single homes above $4 million…

For the first time ever, the average list price of a single family house in the City of Vancouver is now over $4,000,000.

— Vancouver Market (@vancouvermrkt) June 25, 2016

… we have wondered how long before the Chinese government and financial institutions, if not Canada’s local authorities which apparently have no problem with a soaring housing bubble in their midst, finally crack down on these flagrant violators of China’s capital controls, whose children have been so openly flaunting their parent’s illicit wealth as reported in “My Daddy’s Rich And My Lamborghini’s Good-Looking”: Meet The Rich Chinese Kids Of Vancouver.”

We now have the answer.

According to the Globe and Mail, China CITIC Bank has filed a lawsuit in Canada to try to seize the assets of a Chinese citizen the bank claims took out a $10 million loan in China then fled to Canada.

In a first of its kind attempt at intercontinental repossession, the bank is looking to seize numerous Vancouver-area homes, valued at at least $7.3-million, along with other assets, according to the lawsuit, which was filed in the Supreme Court of British Columbia in Vancouver on Friday.

This $3.5 million home in Surrey B.C. is one of four homes a Chinese bank
claims are owned by a fugitive who defaulted on a $10 million loan.

The defendant, Shibiao Yan, owns three multimillion-dollar properties in a Vancouver suburb and lives in a $3-million Vancouver home owned by his wife, according to court documents, the Globe and Mail reports.

China has been in the midst of a major corruption crackdown and has stepped up efforts to find fugitives it says are hiding stolen assets abroad. In which case it will have lots of fruitful leads in Vancouver where virtually all real-estate purchases over the past year by Chinese “figutivies.” The lawsuit comes amid a debate about the role foreign money, particularly from China, has played in Vancouver’s property boom.

“The person involved left China with a large debt owed,” said Christine Duhaime, a lawyer who represents China CITIC Bank in the case, adding that she was not aware of any criminal charges against the man. Yan has not yet filed a response to the lawsuit and the claims have not been proven in court. We doubt he will appear.

Duhaime would not comment on the proceedings, but tweeted that the case was of “global significance for China”. The reason is clear: it sets a precedent for many future such lawsuits, and confiscations.

As CBC adds, last week, Justice Gregory Bowden issued a temporary Mareva injunction against Yan, freezing his assets as the bank tries to make good on an arbitration ruling it claims to have obtained in March, ordering Yan to pay RMB 50 million plus RMB 2 million interest. According to the …read more

Source: The Crackdown Begins: Chinese Bank Sues To Seize Vancouver Real Estate Assets

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By Tyler Durden

“We’re moving into a global recession that has nothing to do with Brexit,” warns Marc Faber stressing that Britain leaving the EU would not be disastrous, saying that if Switzerland can operate in a “single” market and outside of the EU so can Britain.

“Brexit is a victory of ordinary people, common sense and people who are prepared to take responsibility for the sake of freedom against a political and financial elite that only cares if stocks go up or down and does not care about the interests of the average British citizen.“

“We can only hope that more countries will opt out of the failed EU monster. I see only a good contagion.“

When asked why the markets and polls got it so wrong, the editor of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told CNBC, “They were conducted or paid by the elite.”

As CNBC further noted, Faber agreed with presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump that a Brexit is a benefit to his campaign. He said the U.S. could also see a revolt against the political establishment with the election of Trump to the presidency,

“It is already well underway. Brexit is a huge boon for Trump and a wake-up call to Hillary that ordinary people are sick and tired of being lied to and cheated by the crony capitalistic system.”

Finally, as FOX Business reports, the Swiss investor compared the current situation between the U.K. and the EU to Switzerland’s historic fight for its own freedom…

Watch the latest video at video.foxbusiness.com

“In the 13th century we fought the Habsburg Empire to be free and not to have foreign justice and foreign laws and not to pay taxes to foreign overlords,” he explained.

“This is precisely what the EU does with all the countries. They want to impose courts of justice, taxes, regulations, new laws and most of which inhibit economic growth. This is a victory for freedom and for people, the Brits.”

Finally, Faber also said, confirming our earlier persepctive, that the Brexit will be the “perfect excuse” for global central banks to “coordinate the monetary policies to print even more money.”

…read more

Source: "Brexit Sends A Clear Message To Sick Political Elite" Marc Faber Sees "Only Good Contagion"

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By Tyler Durden

Cheer up Brexit…

Somone had to do something… and it appears GBJPY was the momentum igniter du jour to save the world…

As hedge-unwinds were misunderstood as a bullish signal… in stocks

and FX…

Notably VXV/VIX had dropped to its lowest level since August crash – and today's bounce seems like post-event VIX unwinds…

Stocks bounced confidently today.. on low volume

On the day, we pefectly retraced yesterday's drop…

But post-Brexit things remain ugly…

As US equities decoupled from Cable…

Notably the S&P surged up to the opening levels from yesterdsay and faded… while VIX had fallen 7 handles!!!

Financials had their best day in over 3 months.. but are still down over 6% from Brexit

Some context, post-Brexit…

Treasury yields rose modestly on the day by around 2bps, but the curve remains drastically flatter post-Brexit…

The USD Index dropped modestly on the day as GBPJPY dominated the action once again…

Commodities were mixed with gold down, silver up, and with crude rising on the brexit bounce and Norwegian strike 'hopes'…

Finally, another day, another panic bid at the NYMEX close…

…read more

Source: Brexit Hedge Unwind Sparks Volumeless Dead Cat Brounce

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By Tyler Durden

With global equity and especially FX markets underoing historic moves in the last two days, every trader’s playbook has been tossed aside as setups and trendlines everywhere have been broken. So for everyone trading on nothing but momentum – which these days is most, and certainly all algos – here are some observations from BofA’s chief technicial Stephen Suttmeier who says that with the S&P failing to breach 2,100 again, and having broken 2025, “all eyes are now on 1950.”

The S&P 500 has once again stalled within the 2100-2135 resistance. Today’s break of 2025 (May low), if sustained into the close, places the focus on 1950-1930 or 8-9% down from the early June high. The latter level is near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the February to early-June rally near at 1928.69

Another interesting chart: US stock leadership is posting a new weekly high vs. rest of the word.

The US remains leadership and scored another new weekly relative high vs. the rest of the world last week. The last big relative up cycle for MSCI US (MXUS) vs. MSCI World ex-US (MXWOU) was from a November 1988 low until a January 2002 peak. If the current cycle lasts as long, the US could outperform the rest of the world until early 2021.

What about the future? Suttmeier points out a rare event in the S&P: the SPX is up over 1% on Thurs & down over 3% on Fri

Last Thursday’s gain of 1.34% followed by Friday’s drop of 3.59% was the 76th time going back to 1928 that the S&P 500 had a session gain of at least 1% followed by a session loss of at least 3%. This is also the first time this has happened since 11/9/2011 and 8/10/2011. Following this rare event, the S&P 500 has negative average and median 10, 20, and 30-day returns, sub-par 65, 130, 190, and 250-day returns, and is up less often than average over these periods.

Finally, note that Friday (6/24) was was 400 calendar days since the S&P 500 hit a new 252-session (52-week high). This has happened only 19 times since 1929. After going 400 calendar days without a new 52-week high, the S&P 500 has sub-par 10, 20, 30, 65, 130, and 190-day returns but the 250-day return is more in line with the historical average (Table 6). We believe a new 52-week high on the S&P 500 after a long pause would be bullish and this has proven to be elusive given stiff 2100-2135 resistance. However, the silver lining is that 13 out of the prior 18 times the S&P 500 went 400 days without a new 52-week high the S&P 500 hit a new 52-week high within the next year.

…read more

Source: What’s Next For The S&P: “All Eyes On 1,950” The Charts Say

    

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Posted June 28th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

What’s Next For The S&P: “All Eyes On 1,950” The Charts Say

Find The Lowest Price HERE

By Tyler Durden

With global equity and especially FX markets underoing historic moves in the last two days, every trader’s playbook has been tossed aside as setups and trendlines everywhere have been broken. So for everyone trading on nothing but momentum – which these days is most, and certainly all algos – here are some observations from BofA’s chief technicial Stephen Suttmeier who says that with the S&P failing to breach 2,100 again, and having broken 2025, “all eyes are now on 1950.”

The S&P 500 has once again stalled within the 2100-2135 resistance. Today’s break of 2025 (May low), if sustained into the close, places the focus on 1950-1930 or 8-9% down from the early June high. The latter level is near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the February to early-June rally near at 1928.69

Another interesting chart: US stock leadership is posting a new weekly high vs. rest of the word.

The US remains leadership and scored another new weekly relative high vs. the rest of the world last week. The last big relative up cycle for MSCI US (MXUS) vs. MSCI World ex-US (MXWOU) was from a November 1988 low until a January 2002 peak. If the current cycle lasts as long, the US could outperform the rest of the world until early 2021.

What about the future? Suttmeier points out a rare event in the S&P: the SPX is up over 1% on Thurs & down over 3% on Fri

Last Thursday’s gain of 1.34% followed by Friday’s drop of 3.59% was the 76th time going back to 1928 that the S&P 500 had a session gain of at least 1% followed by a session loss of at least 3%. This is also the first time this has happened since 11/9/2011 and 8/10/2011. Following this rare event, the S&P 500 has negative average and median 10, 20, and 30-day returns, sub-par 65, 130, 190, and 250-day returns, and is up less often than average over these periods.

Finally, note that Friday (6/24) was was 400 calendar days since the S&P 500 hit a new 252-session (52-week high). This has happened only 19 times since 1929. After going 400 calendar days without a new 52-week high, the S&P 500 has sub-par 10, 20, 30, 65, 130, and 190-day returns but the 250-day return is more in line with the historical average (Table 6). We believe a new 52-week high on the S&P 500 after a long pause would be bullish and this has proven to be elusive given stiff 2100-2135 resistance. However, the silver lining is that 13 out of the prior 18 times the S&P 500 went 400 days without a new 52-week high the S&P 500 hit a new 52-week high within the next year.

…read more

Source: What’s Next For The S&P: “All Eyes On 1,950” The Charts Say

    

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Posted June 28th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

Odey Makes 21% In Past 2 Days, Nearly Wiping Out Abysmal Start To The Year

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By Tyler Durden

It has been a… volatile year for Crispin Odey. After a less than stellar 2015 in which his flagship fund loss 20%, Odey was delighted when his bearish strategy worked during the selloff in early 2016, resulting in a 14% profit in the first two weeks of the year, leading to his mid-February prediction that “This Shorting Opportunity Is As Great As 2007-2009“.

What followed next was the most brutal short squeeze in history, pushing US stocks in a near-straight line to just why of all time highs with global stocks going along for the ride. By late March, Odey’s head was spinning when as we reported citing his investor letter, his $11 billion fund was being rocked by unprecedented 5% daily swings, lamenting “It’s No Longer A Market But A Battlefield.”

By mid-April it was carnage: according to the FT, “the value of the €729m Odey European Fund had fallen 31.1% YTD, dragging it back to its lowest level since January 2012. His large bets against currencies and equities have gone awry, making his stockpicking fund one of the worst performers among large vehicles this year.” And yet, Odey refused to stop fighting the central banks:

Losses in the banking sector at this point in the cycle are really bad news because banks are already suffering from weakening margins. They need rights issues to deal with these losses, but why should anyone subscribe to a rights issue when zero interest rates promise no let up to a fall in profits? The only way that banks could become attractive to underwriters of the shares are if profits are rising and the only way that profits can rise is if their loan book gets repriced. Yes, only higher interest rates would make banks attractive, but higher interest rates would bring on the recession that has been kept at bay by QE and zero interest rates. Less QE and more QED.

Impressive conviction, even more impressive that it came at a time when Odey was down over 30% for the year.

Well, after a truly hair-raising first half to 2016, if not so much for billionaire Odey as for his LPs, he appears to have finally hit a home run with Brexit. According to Bloomberg, Odey’s “winning run continued with the flagship Fund up 21% in just two days.” The days in question: Friday and Monday, when the market’s reaction to the Brexit vote was nothing short of surreal (it does, however, make one wonder what his loss would have been had Leave won).

In any case, congratulations to Odey. Here are the details:

Odey Asset Management’s boost from last week’s vote for Britain to leave the EU continued into a second day, with the flagship Odey European Inc. (OEI) fund recording a total gain of ~21% over Friday and Monday, according to an e-mail to investors seen by Bloomberg News.

Fund performance on Friday June 24:

• OEI +15.7%, OEI Mac +15.7%, Swan +12.4%, Opus +3.66%

Fund performance on Monday June …read more

Source: Odey Makes 21% In Past 2 Days, Nearly Wiping Out Abysmal Start To The Year

    

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Posted June 28th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

House Benghazi report strategically leaked

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The House Benghazi report was strategically leaked to certain media Tuesday morning, frustrating Democrats who had yet to see the full report. …read more

Source: House Benghazi report strategically leaked

    

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Posted June 28th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

European Dead-Cat-Bounce Dies – Big Banks End Lower

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By Tyler Durden

Well that didn’t last long. With hopes of a face-ripping ride higher this morning as Draghi jawboning lifted bank stocks and Cable, the bounce was nothing but an opportunity for sellers to escape at better prices. While Deutsche eked out a tiny gain, RBS, Unicredit, Credit Suisse, and UBS all tumbled to end the day red…

And Cable has rolled over notably… back below 1.33!

…read more

Source: European Dead-Cat-Bounce Dies – Big Banks End Lower

    

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Posted June 28th, 2016 in Uncategorized.

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